Arrowhead Addict
FanSided

2016 Kansas City Chiefs: Over/Under

By Lyle Graversen

Oct 4, 2015; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles (25) against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. The Bengals won 36-21. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports
Oct 4, 2015; Cincinnati, OH, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Jamaal Charles (25) against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium. The Bengals won 36-21. Mandatory Credit: Aaron Doster-USA TODAY Sports /
facebooktwitterreddit
Prev
2 of 8
Next
Dec 13, 2015; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) throws a pass during the first half against the San Diego Chargers at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Dec 13, 2015; Kansas City, MO, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) throws a pass during the first half against the San Diego Chargers at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports /

Alex Smith Passing Yards

Over/Under Line: 3,500 yards

No Chiefs player is more debated than quarterback Alex Smith. I’ve set the line for 2016 at 3,500 yards. Smith set a personal best in passing yards in 2015 with 3,486 yards. His three year average in Kansas City under Andy Reid is 3,354.7 yards. So the question here is basically if you think Smith will continue to improve in his fourth season in KC and set another personal best or if he’ll regress closer to his average?

My Prediction: Under

Do I think Smith could go over 3,500 yards in 2016? Yes, but I’m still taking the under here for two main reasons. First, Smith has played at least 15 games in his first three seasons in KC. That’s great for a quarterback that runs the ball a lot and takes his fair share of sacks. I hope he’s healthy again in 2016 but you have to think there’s a risk there.

Second, the Chiefs now have a fantastic three headed rushing attack with Jamaal Charles, Charcandrick West, and Spencer Ware. If the Chiefs commit to running the football it could limit Smith from setting a new personal best in passing yards.

What do you think, over or under 3,500 passing yards for Alex Smith?

Next: Jamaal Charles carries per game

Home/Kansas City Chiefs News