Chiefs vs. Ravens best NFL prop bets for AFC Championship Game

Jan 21, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco (10) rushes
Jan 21, 2024; Orchard Park, New York, USA; Kansas City Chiefs running back Isiah Pacheco (10) rushes / Mark Konezny-USA TODAY Sports
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The Kansas City Chiefs will play in the AFC Championship for the sixth straight season. This time, they'll take on the Baltimore Ravens, who finished the season as the No. 1 seed.

The Chiefs enter the game as underdogs, but we're not talking about that in this article. Instead, we're talking player props.

I have three players I'm targeting for player props for this Sunday afternoon AFC Championship showdown between the top two teams in the conference.

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Chiefs vs. Ravens prop bets

  • Isiah Pacheco OVER 62.5 rushing yards
  • Travis Kelce OVER 5.5 receptions
  • Lamar Jackson UNDER 208.5 passing yards

Isiah Pacheco OVER 62.5 rushing yards

The path to victory for the Chiefs is to run the ball early and often. The Ravens rank 23rd in opponent yards per carry, giving up 4.4 yards per rush, while also ranking in the bottom half of the league in opponent rush EPA and opponent success rate.

Pacheco has surpassed 62.5 rushing yards in four of his last five starts and has averaged 66.8 rushing yards per game. That means all he has to do is hit his season average and this bet will be a winner.

Travis Kelce OVER 5.5 receptions

With as strong as Ravens' secondary is, Patrick Mahomes is going to have to rely on old faithful, Travis Kelce, to get the ball down the field through the air. He's averaged 6.2 receptions per game this season so as long as he hits his season average, he's going to be in a great spot to go over this total.

Lamar Jackson UNDER 208.5 passing yards

Lamar Jackson may get some things going with his legs, but he's going to struggle to move the ball through the air on Sunday. The Chiefs have allowed the fourth fewest passing yards per game this season at 177.6 and they sport one of the best secondaries in the NFL.

I'll take the UNDER on the MVPs passing yards total.


Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!