Chiefs vs Bills predictions: Writers are split as AFC powerhouses collide in Week 11

The Kansas City Chiefs' undefeated record was a few seconds and an arm's length away from ending last week against the Denver Broncos. However, how they win doesn't matter nearly as much as winning in the first place. The AFC's top dog remains the team to beat as they travel to ORchard Park for another date against the rival Buffalo Bills in a must-see game.

This game has been circled on the calendar for quite some time and both teams' performances have maintained that status. The Bills are on a five-game winning streak and sit comfortably on top of the AFC East. That winning run made fans quickly forget a 35-10 loss to the Baltimore Ravens, another am Kansas City beat albeit narrowly so.

The Kansas City Chiefs undefeated record is on the line this Sunday against the Buffalo Bills

Chiefs and Bills fans should expect a classic midseason matchup here, a mere appetizer for what is hopefully a higher stakes postseason meeting. How do our writers think this entry will play out?

Christian Ainsworth
How did the Chiefs pull off that week 10 miracle against the Broncos?! That type of grit (and luck) is only present in teams destined to go undefeated! My prediction: The Chiefs rout the "September Champs" with a strong offensive showing that takes advantage of a defense with the 5th highest completion percentage for QBs and ranks 10th highest in total yards allowed.
Chiefs 28, Bills 20

Patrick Allen
The Chiefs are road underdogs against the Buffalo Bills this week, which usually doesn't work out well for the favorite in the Patrick Mahomes era. Still, the Chiefs haven't played enough "pretty football" to earn Vegas' respect. The Chiefs will eventually lose, and this week against a quality opponent on the road would be as reasonable a time as any to drop a game. But until this team, which has won 15 straight NFL games, actually does lose, I ain't picking against them.
Chiefs 20, Bills 17 (OT)

Price Carter
The Bill's ability to stretch the Chiefs' defense with two good tight ends and two good pass-catching running backs will be a major challenge. The Bills also have an above-average offensive line that could mitigate the Chiefs' pass rush much like the Broncos game. Injuries to players like Amari Cooper, Spencer Brown, and Dalton Kincaid loom large. We tend to hold things back in these games and I’m not sure that Chiefs offense is dynamic enough without Pacheco, Brown, and Rice to keep pace.
Bills 24, Chiefs 21

Matt Conner
Buffalo has scored 30 points per game over the last month, and that’s often without playmakers like Keon Coleman and Amari Cooper. The Chiefs’ defensive track record speaks for itself. One force is going to give on Sunday, which is what makes this such a compelling matchup. I’m going to go against the grain here and pick the Bills only because I don’t think the Chiefs will remain perfect and if any remaining opponent looks formidable, it’s this one.
Bills 21, Chiefs 20

Bransen Gibson
Oh boy, this feels like a big one. With a chance to shape the top end of the seedings in the AFC, it really does feel like a playoff game in November. The Chiefs have a huge chance to all but lock in the number one seed, and I think they'll take it. Kansas City's run game has been one of the most successful in the league, and that matches up perfectly against a Buffalo team that ranks almost last in rushing yards per attempt. It might not be pretty, but I think Hunt and the Chiefs will pound the rock and grind out a win.
Chiefs 20, Bills 17

Braden Holecek
Obviously, this is going to be one of the toughest games left on the Chiefs' schedule. Winning in that Buffalo environment in last year's playoffs certainly gave Kansas City some good experience for heading up there again. This could easily be the first loss for the Chiefs. But seeing how Buffalo's front seven handles the balance of KC's offense is what could decide the contest. This is the kind of game that the Chiefs come through in if the running game can sustain positive gains. That is what is worth watching for the most.
Chiefs 26, Bills 23

Felix Johnson
Ok, I am the new guy, so I’m not sure how the rules are supposed to go when the team is undefeated with the league’s best QB and dogs on the road. That’s awesome, but the levee’s got to break at some point and the road matchup in upstate New York seems prime.
Bills 27, Chiefs 23

Scott Loring
Historically, the Bills have entered their annual regular season game with the Chiefs by pulling out all the stops, while KC has left something in the tank. That might change this year. A win on Sunday will give KC an almost insurmountable lead for the 1-seed. Iexpect the Chiefs to come out firing on all cylinders early.
Chiefs 30, Bills 27

Jacob Milham
The Chiefs' undefeated run has been entertaining and reminded fans how much of a coaching edge Kansas City has over the league. I credit that edge to nullifying the individual gaffes fans see on Sundays that make games closer than they need to be. It will also make Sunday's game closer than it needs to be. But Buffalo will continue their regular-season dominance over Kansas City with this week's trip to Orchard Park.
Bills 27, Chiefs 20

Greg Morse
The Chiefs have had a very difficult schedule so far, but this will probably be the most difficult yet. As weird as it may seem, this matchup could determine the #1 seed. The Chiefs would probably need to win out if they lose to the Bills, which isn’t impossible, but still crazy to think about for a team that is 9-0 and well ahead of everyone except Buffalo in the standings. With all that said, I have my doubts about a victory for KC. Their margin of victory every week seems to get smaller and smaller and is now razor-thin. I think the law of diminishing returns finally gives them a loss.
Bills 24, Chiefs 20

Shawn O'Brate
The Bills are on a tear right now and after the Broncos game, I don’t know how the Chiefs will respond on the road. I know Mahomes doesn’t usually have two bad games back-to-back, but if he does, it is likely against this Bills' defense that has been much better than people expected after losing so many key names. I think Mahomes and Andy Reid try to get rookie WR Xavier Worthy more involved and allow a (possibly) healthy JuJu Smith-Schuster to get back to form alongside Travis Kelce and Kareem Hunt. It’ll be close all game long, but the Chiefs will ultimately pull it out with a late field goal or touchdown.
Chiefs 25, Bills 23

Charles Robinson
This one looked big when the schedule was released in May, and sure enough, heading into Week 11, this has “game of the year” written all over it. Josh Allen has put together what many would consider an MVP campaign so far in 2024, but again finds the Chiefs in his way in one way or another. Until Kansas City chokes one away, I can’t pick against them. Mahomes is 12-1-1 in his career as an underdog, and the Chiefs are +2.5 heading into Buffalo. I think he gets lucky win number 13 here.
Chiefs 27, Bills 25

Lucas Strozinsky
Normally, this would be a game I pick the Bills, but I think the Chiefs will go into Orchard Park and win. If Mahomes can be protected from his blindside, they should be able to move the ball. If they can also limit Josh Allen, they should emerge victorious.
Chiefs 24, Bills 21