Chiefs vs. Eagles best prop bet predictions and picks for Super Bowl 2023

Jan 29, 2023; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (left) and quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrate after winning the AFC Championship game against the Cincinnati Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 29, 2023; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs tight end Travis Kelce (left) and quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) celebrate after winning the AFC Championship game against the Cincinnati Bengals at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

There are more bets available to sports bettors at the Super Bowl than any other single sporting event, giving us the chance to cash in on the big game.

We have plenty of Super Bowl coverage for you to dive into, but let’s stick with the standard player props. Who can we count on as the Kansas City Chiefs face the vaunted Philadelphia Eagles defense? There’s of course Patrick Mahomes and Travis Kelce, the most devastating quarterback and tight end duo in the NFL right now, but there’s also a way to bet on Jerick McKinnon.

Here’s my three favorite prop bets for Super Bowl 57.

Best Super Bowl 57 prop bets

  • Patrick Mahomes OVER 39.5 pass attempts
  • Travis Kelce OVER 79.5 receiving yards
  • Jerick McKinnon UNDER 19.5 rushing yards

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Patrick Mahomes OVER 39.5 pass attempts

Mahomes went over this in both Super Bowl’s that he played in and I think that the game script is going to call for him to be slinging it yet again. While Mahomes went over this in only seven of 17 regular season games and one of his two playoff games, I think that the fact that the total is high (50.5) and the team is slight underdogs is going to lead to a pass-happy attack.

Both offenses are formidable and I don’t expect a defensive struggle. The Chiefs want to air the ball out and put pressure on the Eagles run-first offensive style.

Ultimately, I think that given the need to put scoreboard pressure on Philly, we’ll see Mahomes keep the ball in his hands and throw the ball around the field.

Travis Kelce OVER 79.5 Receiving Yards

Who better to thrive in a pass-happy game script than Mahomes trusty weapon in Kelce? Kelce has been a zone buster for years now and he thrives in the postseason, going over way over this number against the Jaguars (98 receiving yards) and narrowly missing it against the Bengals (78). In 12 career games with Patrick Mahomes as his quarterback, Kelce has gone over this total in nine of them.

Simply put, when the games matter most, Mahomes finds Kelce.

Jerick McKinnon UNDER 19.5 Rushing Yards

This isn’t a knock on McKinnon, but I do think he doesn’t play much of a factor in the run game. Isaiah Pacheco has become much more of a bellcow as the season has progressed and McKinnon is more of a passing downs back. He has more than six carries just four times this season and that’s not even factoring in that McKinnon limped off to the sideline during the AFC title game, and was seldom used after.

Given that I believe this game is going to favor the Chiefs passing game, I don’t see the team handing it off much and certainly not to McKinnon. I think this is the best way to fade Chiefs running backs given that Pacheco is now the lead back.

Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

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