It’s the Super Bowl, you’re going to have plenty of action on the big game. Whether it’s the first song at halftime, the point spread, or a first touchdown bet, you’re going to look to make some money on this game.
Luckily for you, we have plenty of coverage for the Super Bowl, including our game preview here, but I crafted a same-game parlay for you to give you an enhanced payout in the Chiefs’ bid to take down the Eagles and win their second title in the Patrick Mahomes era.
Here’s a three-leg parlay for you to sink your teeth into ahead of next Sunday’s big game that pays out +1357 odds.
Best same-game parlay picks for Super Bowl 57
- Travis Kelce 2+ Touchdowns
- Eagles First Half Team Total OVER 12.5
- Chiefs Second Half Team Total OVER 12.5
Travis Kelce 2+ Touchdowns
Kelce has caught a touchdown in 10 of 13 games with Patrick Mahomes under center. If you want to be safe and take him -130 to haul in a touchdown that’s fine, but I’m going to take a shot at two touchdowns at +430, something he has done in three of those 13 games.
The Eagles haven’t been challenged by tight ends all that much this season and allowed the 15th most yards per game against the position this season. Mahomes targets Kelce more than anyone else and given the fact that Philadelphia isn’t as strong against TEs as their whole defensive profile indicates, I expect that Kelce gets plenty of looks in close. As you’ll see below, I like both teams to score in this one, and I’ll happily count on a massive Kelce output.
From the math perspective, +430 translates to about an 18.87% implied probability, but he has done it in 23% of his playoff games and has a good matchup.
Eagles First Half Team Total OVER 12.5
The Eagles are the best first-half team in the league by a wide margin. The team averages more than 18 points per game in the first half this season (ironically the Chiefs are second at 15.5), and I expect Nick Sirianni to have a sound game script early in the game.
Further, the Chiefs are the third worse red zone defense this season in terms of touchdown percentage. Kansas City allows six on red zone drives more than 65% of the time. The Eagles have thrived in the first half of games and I expect that to continue in the Super Bowl, so I’ll target the Eagles team total for this SGP.
I think the Eagles can get into the red zone at least twice in the first 24 minutes, and the percentages lean towards the team finding the end zone twice.
Chiefs Second Half Team Total OVER 12.5
Kansas City is fifth in the NFL in second-half scoring, below their average in the first half, averaging just below 13 points per game.
However, I believe the game script is going to lead to a high-scoring second half. Given the Eagles’ propensity to build leads in the first half, and their efficiency in the red zone, the early portion of this game favors Philadelphia. However, the second half favors the best player on the field, and that’s Mahomes.
I’ll take Mahomes in the second half to simply perform at average out of halftime where the team can adjust to the Eagles’ scheme.
I believe the extra time to prep can help this Eagles team that has rolled through their competition in the first half. However, we haven’t seen the team pressured much in the second half, and I’ll back Kansas City to find the end zone at least twice in the third and fourth quarters.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.