With the addition of a 17th regular season game to the official schedules in the National Football League in 2021 for the first time ever, oddsmakers at Las Vegas sports books are having to adjust their expectations for bettors this offseason. The newest totals are out, and the folks at DraftKings have the K.C. Chiefs listed at 12 total wins on the season.
With the mark set at 12 wins exactly, the line reads -110 for both the over and under in this particular situation. It’s a good indicator that the Chiefs could somehow go either direction, but even the under seems a little silly with a 16-game schedule, let alone a 17th game added. The Chiefs won an astounding 14 regular season games last year and it could have easily been 15 if the team had taken their Week 17 assignment seriously instead of resting all of its starters against the L.A. Chargers in the season finale.
With Patrick Mahomes under center, the Chiefs have never lost more than 12 games in a single year—that’s a 75 percent win clip. Then if you factor in yet another game, it only makes sense to think the Chiefs will win more than 12. The AFC West doesn’t look any more challenging than it did before, but even in offseasons where rivals stocked up, the Chiefs still steamrolled over them.
The K.C. Chiefs have been projected for 12 wins in 2021.
While the Chiefs face a relatively tough schedule with several playoff teams involved, the matchup is typically viewed from the other side—that is to say that the Chiefs are the team to be feared in the matchup. The only game that should truly worry anyone would be the visit from the Green Bay Packers and Aaron Rodgers, but they didn’t even make the Super Bowl last year and it’s a home game for K.C.
In short, expecting the Chiefs to lose 5 times or even more in a given season with this amount of proven talent feels like a fool’s errand.