Andy Reid, Patrick Mahomes and his (in)evitable regression

KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 9: Head coach Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs talks to quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 during a timeout in the second quarter of the game against the Baltimore Ravens at Arrowhead Stadium on December 9, 2018 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 9: Head coach Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs talks to quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 during a timeout in the second quarter of the game against the Baltimore Ravens at Arrowhead Stadium on December 9, 2018 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Peter Aiken/Getty Images) /
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PHILADELPHIA – NOVEMBER 29: Donovan McNabb #5 of the Philadelphia Eagles stands with Head Coach Andy Reid from the sidelines against the Washington Redskins during their game at Lincoln Financial Field on November 29, 2009 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images)
PHILADELPHIA – NOVEMBER 29: Donovan McNabb #5 of the Philadelphia Eagles stands with Head Coach Andy Reid from the sidelines against the Washington Redskins during their game at Lincoln Financial Field on November 29, 2009 in Philadelphia, Pennsylvania. (Photo by Al Bello/Getty Images) /

Donovan McNabb

After leaving Green Bay, Reid moved on to Philadelphia as the Eagles’ head coach where he served from 1999 to 2012. His first quarterback, Donovan McNabb, only started six games in his rookie season. For obvious reasons, only his second year and the year following (both with Reid) will be included. In his first full season, McNabb earned Pro Bowl honors and had amassed nearly 4,000 yards by way of air and ground on his own.

2000 (first full season with Reid)

330/569 completions/attempts, 3365 passing yards, 58.0% completion rate, 21 passing touchdowns, 13 interceptions; 86 rushes, 629 rushing yards, 6 rushing touchdowns

Statistically, McNabb had a pleasant season. Reid and McNabb compiled an 11-5 season together, and a decent albeit short playoff run. The following season, McNabb showed no signs of slowing down.

2001 (second season with Reid)

285/493 completions/attempts, 3233 passing yards, 57.8% completion rate, 25 touchdowns, 12 interceptions; 428 rushing yards, 2 rushing touchdowns

McNabb also earned Pro Bowl honors in the 2001 season, and had roughly the same statistical year as compared to the year before. In fact, his 1.6~ TD to INT ratio in 2000 was improved to over 2.0 in the following season. So far, regression has not been in Reid’s playbook when it comes to handling quarterbacks—something he is so widely known for.