Well KC fans, draft day is finally here. All the speculation, all the scouting reports, all the rumors, all the mock drafts, now we finally get some real answers.
But before pick #11 goes on the clock, I have a bit of advice for KC fans.
Be prepared for ANYTHING.
I know that some fans have their heart set on a certain player. The top two names you here people clamoring for are David DeCastro and Luke Kuechly. They are both great players. They both make sense. They both would make the team better. Will I be surprised if one of those two are the pick? No, not at all. But here’s the thing, I also wouldn’t be surprised a bit if LSU DT Michael Brockers was the pick. I also wouldn’t be surprised if the latest rumor that came out yesterday, Mark Barron, was the pick. I certainly wouldn’t be surprised if they traded back either.
So I guess what I’m trying to say is that I think anyone who is putting all their hopes on one certain pick are setting themselves up for disappointment. There are just so many different ways they could go. I listed 4 players above and didn’t even mention my personal favorite, Fletcher Cox. Then there are the “risk/reward” picks like Ryan Tannehill and Dontari Poe. I may not think KC is going to pick them, but if they did I wouldn’t fall out of my chair.
I also know that they could pick somebody that no one has even mentioned yet. If they do trade back then the options become even more wide open.
I was trying to think about what percentage of chance I think odds makers would put on the Chiefs #11 pick. Would it look something like this?
Trade Back 15%
All Others 5%
We could debate all day about the exact numbers, but you get my point. Even if you’re a fan of the Chiefs drafting one of the most likely guys like DeCastro, that would still mean there’s an 80% chance that they don’t draft the guy you want.
You want to really make your head hurt? How about the fact that thus far Scott Pioli has always had the Chiefs’ first round pick in for a private work out and the only players on that list above that we know worked out for the Chiefs are Brockers, Poe, and Tannehill.
So buckle up KC fans because anything could happen tonight. Regardless, you know you can tune in here to AA for all your draft coverage and analysis. Happy Draft Day everyone!