Chiefs DVOA Analysis: Week 10

by Chiefs

So here we are. I sounded the alarm even before the Dolphins game that the Chiefs were in danger of only winning four games this season. Two weeks hence, that is looking like a much more realistic possibility than it did even then, agreed?

Anyway, why is that?

It is because the Chiefs are, generally speaking, a very soft, very weak team in the most important aspects of the game. To make matters worse, even after being humiliated by Miami, they did not rally, they did not refocus, they did not improve, they simply stagnated.

While I feel bad for Matt Cassel, it really does not matter that he got hurt. He was not playing well anyway.

Sigh.

Who or what is this team?

Breaking it down, courtesy Football Outsiders stats, after the jump.

Welp, gaze in wonderment.

Outside of Jackie Battle and Special Teams nobody is standing out. I mean nobody. Even Steve Breaston, a bright spot this season for a while there, apparently took the day off against Denver. Let me rephase all that – division game, in Arrowhead, against the Broncos. See what I’m saying?

For the first time this season, Dwayne Bowe finds himself sporting a below average DVOA percentage. Hmmpph. Didn’t see that one coming.

Generally speaking, the weighted DVOA is further proof that the Chiefs did not rally after the Miami game. More like threw in the towel, actually. No wait, I understand it, they were looking past this game, too, because of the all-important MNF match-up with the Patriots. It would probably be best to just think of the Miami/Denver games as falling under the broad heading of Double Dutch Clutch Combo Trap. Problem analyzed. Problem solved.

I have to raise a painful question here. Our record is 4-5 after playing the easiest nine-game schedule in the league. Playing the way we are, what will that record likely be upon completion of the hardest seven-game stretch in the league?

I’m going to close this out with some tidbits of information that I find rather curious. In terms of attempts, the Chiefs stand at 3rd in the league when it comes to running the ball. So in other words, our identity on offense is that of a running team. We should understand the run well and understand where our strengths and weaknesses lie in that department, correct?

We do our best running when we go the Left B Gap where we rank #1 in efficiency. The league average attempt percentage to the Left B Gap 15%. The Chiefs attempt percentage to the Left B Gap is 12%.

Not done yet.

The Chiefs choose to run outside the Right End 18% of the time but rank 27th in efficiency when doing so. The league average attempt percentage outside the Right End is 10%.

WTF is that all about?

That’s my Double Take.

What’s your take, Addicts?

Never miss a chance to get your fix! Follow Arrowhead Addict on Twitter and be sure to like our Facebook page.

Comments
Comments have been disabled for this post.
Sort: Newest | Oldest

We gave you some dap on the radio show about that prediction before the Miami game. You are owed several apologies that you will never receive.

Thanks Big Matt. And the sad thing is, I wish right now I could instead be saying the Chiefs proved me wrong. I did hear about that radio show - is that something I can still link and listen to?

@Double D I think so just scroll through the older posts and find the link to it.

Ughhhh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!! I called you out for being negative before the Miami game, only fair that I man up and admit that you were right and I was wrong. I really thought that our numbers looked so bad because of those first two games and that we had turned the corner. I guess it won't be the first time my homer glasses cloud my vision. Those running stats at the end are really absurd. I've already changed my tune on Cassel and now I'm finding it harder and harder to stick up for Haley. In Palko we trust? (wimper)

@LyleGraversen Yeah, I guess it has to come back to Haley. A consistent trend is misuse, in my opinion, of the run game, whether Weis was OC or Muir. I know we had a #1 rushing attack last year, but I think it could have been better. I always feel the offense puts too much trust in Cassel and the pass, whether JC is healthy or not. Maybe they were running at RT to try to keep the end from beating BRich to quickly on passing downs? Good lord, if Gaither is alive why is he not in??!!

I agree. Bring in Gaither and anyone else who can fog a mirror. Powe, Houston, Stanzi et.al. I am just like all the rest in the Chiefs Nation. This Haley/ Cassel experiment has run it's course. Look at the teams who take five years to bring along a QB. They end up on the scrap heap and the team has to start all over again. Look at the Jets as an example. I think it is obvious that Ryan has lost all faith in the # five pick from three years ago. Sanchez has regressed from his first year. The Jets had one of the top defenses in the NFL, so that masked some of his deficiencies. Now that the defense is not as good, it is showing in the loss column. Go back and see where Matt Cassel is in his maturation as a QB. He has absolutely regressed. He could be a competent back-up in KC, but his starting days should be over. Just another example of the Chiefs not having reliable back-ups on the roster. We are at six and counting on the IR. Pretty soon they will be following the lead of Dick Vermiel when he coached the Eagles like 35 years ago, and had open tryouts. Come one, come all. Yeah, and how did that work out?

Big Matt 199 pts

We gave you some dap on the radio show about that prediction before the Miami game. You are owed several apologies that you will never receive.

Double D 43 pts

Thanks Big Matt. And the sad thing is, I wish right now I could instead be saying the Chiefs proved me wrong. I did hear about that radio show - is that something I can still link and listen to?

LyleGraversen 313 pts

Double D I think so just scroll through the older posts and find the link to it.

LyleGraversen 313 pts

Ughhhh!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

I called you out for being negative before the Miami game, only fair that I man up and admit that you were right and I was wrong.

I really thought that our numbers looked so bad because of those first two games and that we had turned the corner. I guess it won't be the first time my homer glasses cloud my vision.

Those running stats at the end are really absurd. I've already changed my tune on Cassel and now I'm finding it harder and harder to stick up for Haley.

In Palko we trust? (wimper)

sidibeke 259 pts

LyleGraversen Yeah, I guess it has to come back to Haley. A consistent trend is misuse, in my opinion, of the run game, whether Weis was OC or Muir. I know we had a #1 rushing attack last year, but I think it could have been better. I always feel the offense puts too much trust in Cassel and the pass, whether JC is healthy or not.

Maybe they were running at RT to try to keep the end from beating BRich to quickly on passing downs? Good lord, if Gaither is alive why is he not in??!!

RICK TORREY 52 pts

I agree. Bring in Gaither and anyone else who can fog a mirror. Powe, Houston, Stanzi et.al. I am just like all the rest in the Chiefs Nation. This Haley/ Cassel experiment has run it's course. Look at the teams who take five years to bring along a QB. They end up on the scrap heap and the team has to start all over again. Look at the Jets as an example. I think it is obvious that Ryan has lost all faith in the # five pick from three years ago. Sanchez has regressed from his first year. The Jets had one of the top defenses in the NFL, so that masked some of his deficiencies. Now that the defense is not as good, it is showing in the loss column. Go back and see where Matt Cassel is in his maturation as a QB. He has absolutely regressed. He could be a competent back-up in KC, but his starting days should be over. Just another example of the Chiefs not having reliable back-ups on the roster. We are at six and counting on the IR. Pretty soon they will be following the lead of Dick Vermiel when he coached the Eagles like 35 years ago, and had open tryouts. Come one, come all. Yeah, and how did that work out?