Vegas doesn’t care the Chiefs are 3-3 and these Super Bowl odds prove it

The Kansas City Chiefs may be out of the AFC playoff picture currently, but Vegas seems to think they'll play a role in how things shake out in January and February.
Detroit Lions v Kansas City Chiefs
Detroit Lions v Kansas City Chiefs | David Eulitt/GettyImages

As it stands right now, if the season ended today, the Kansas City Chiefs would be on the outside of the playoff picture looking in. This would obviously be a devastating occurrence, but it’s also why the NFL schedules more than six games in a season. Teams like the Broncos, Jaguars, Patriots, and Chargers would make the hypothetical “let’s just do this now” playoffs, while the league’s most prolific winner, Patrick Mahomes, would get an early start on his mad scientist workouts with trainer Bobby Stroupe—and likely fit in some golf while he’s at it.

Do any of you think that Mahomes and the Chiefs will actually miss the playoffs? Neither do I, and neither do the sharps in Las Vegas. Coming into Week 7, the Chiefs are dead even with the Buffalo Bills as betting favorites to win Super Bowl 60 at +650 (a $100 bet would pay $650 if the Chiefs win their fourth Lombardi in seven seasons) and are also once again the favorites to win the AFC West at +125. The Chargers have slipped from favorite status to +195, slightly behind the Chiefs, over the last two weeks.

This just shows that what we, the fans, have seen over the last four weeks is having an impact on the betting public and sportsbooks as well. There are currently 17 teams—over half the league—with better winning percentages than the Chiefs. Thirteen of those teams have more wins through the first six weeks than Kansas City. And none of that matters.

The Chiefs may be out of the AFC playoff picture currently, but Vegas seems to think they'll play a role in how things shake out in the end.

Kansas City’s offense is humming along in a year that looks like Mahomes may just collect his third MVP trophy, and the defense, under the direction of maestro Steve Spagnuolo, has shown glimpses of brilliance amid consistently solid play across the board so far in 2025. Even if the Chiefs are sitting at 3–3 at the moment, there’s growing optimism both here in Chiefs Kingdom and around the NFL that this is no average team.

It’s far too early to start pounding chests over a 3–3 team, especially when you consider how fleeting health can be in the NFL. The Chiefs have enjoyed tremendous injury luck so far, outside of losing Xavier Worthy for a couple of weeks to start the season. But it’s another indication that Kansas City’s recent run of dominance isn’t likely to end anytime soon.

Let’s hope all the haters and gasbags who declared the Chiefs dead after an 0–2 start spend all their money trying to swing the odds away from Kansas City. It would be such a shame if those individuals put their money where their mouths—and keyboards—are (they won’t) and ended up getting proven wrong once again by Mahomes and the Chiefs.

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