Stunning Patrick Mahomes underdog trend should excite Chiefs fans vs. Bills in divisional round

Patrick Mahomes has dominated as an underdog in his NFL career. Can he keep that up in the divisional round?

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes.
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. / Jay Biggerstaff-USA TODAY Sports

The Kansas City Chiefs find them as underdogs in the divisional round against the Buffalo Bills, the first time in Patrick Mahomes' career that he's been an underdog in the playoffs.

However, this shouldn't be a cause for concern for Chiefs fans. Mahomes has been an underdog 10 times in his NFL career, and he and the Chiefs are an impressive 8-1-1 against the spread in those games.

They've also won seven of those 10 games outright.

Kansas City comes into this week's matchup as a 2.5-point underdog in Buffalo, but the team showed it can play in cold weather -- winning a matchup in freezing temperatures against Miami on Wild Card Weekend.

Here's a look at the latest odds for this game:

Chiefs vs. Bills odds, spread and total

Patrick Mahomes underdog trend is great sign for Chiefs

The Chiefs weren't underdogs in any game that Mahomes played in during the regular season in 2023, but he's clearly thrived in that spot in his career.

Plus, Mahomes is 2-0 against Buffalo in his postseason career, and this season he has arguably the best defense in Kansas City that he's had in his entire career. The Chiefs rank No. 2 in the NFL in points allowed per game.

For Chiefs bettors, this trend is an invitation to bet on Mahomes to at least cover the spread. Personally, I don't mind a bet on the Chiefs to win, as we've seen Andy Reid and Mahomes make deep playoff runs season after season.

Until the Bills prove they can beat this Chiefs team in the playoffs, why wouldn't bettors consider taking Mahomes in this spot?

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's betting record here.