Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 11
The game of the year will take place on Monday Night Football of Week 11. Strap in folks, we have a rematch of Super Bowl 57 when the Kansas City Chiefs host the Philadelphia Eagles.
The Chiefs won and covered as slight favorites in the Super Bowl, and they're in a very similar spot on Monday night, set as slight favorites to the defending NFC champions. Is Kansas City the team to bet on once again?
Check out this week's edition of the "Road to 272 Bets" for my best bet for all 14 NFL Week 11 games.
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Eagles vs. Chiefs odds, spread, and total
Eagles vs. Chiefs betting trends
- Eagles are an NFL-best 8-1 straight up this season
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games vs. Eagles
- Eagles are 11-2 straight up in their last 13 road games
- Eagles are 1-5 ATS in their last six games vs. AFC West opponents
- Chiefs are 4-1 ATS in their last five games
- The UNDER is 5-0 in the Chiefs last fie games
- Chiefs are 11-1 straight up in their last 12 home games
- Chiefs are 9-3 ATS in their last 12 games vs. NFC East opponents
- Chiefs are 7-2-1 ATS in their last 10 games played on a Monday
Eagles vs. Chiefs injury reports
Philadelphia Eagles injury report
- Justin Evans - S - IR
- Bradley Roby - CB - Questionable
- Grant Calcaterra - TE - Questionable
Kansas City Chiefs injury report
- Clyde Edwards-Helaire - RB - Questionable
Eagles vs. Chiefs how to watch
- Date: Monday, November 20
- Game Time: 8:15 pm EST
- Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
- How to Watch (TV): ABC/ESPN/ESPN+
- Philadelphia Eagles Record: 8-1
- Kansas City Chiefs Record: 7-2
Eagles vs. Chiefs key players to watch
Philadelphia Eagles
D'Andre Swift: The one way the Eagles can attack this Chiefs team is on the ground which is where D'Andre Swift comes in. He's having a good but not great season so far, averaging 4.5 yards per carry. If he can pick things up just a notch, this Eagles offense is going to be extremely dangerous.
Kansas City Chiefs
Rashee Rice: While the Chiefs are susceptible on the ground, the Eagles are susceptible through the air, which is going to make their wide receivers pivotal components to this offense this week. If anyone has stepped up at that position this season, it's been Rashee Rice but we're still waiting for that one big breakout game. It could come on Monday night.
Eagles vs. Chiefs prediction and pick
The Eagles haven't impressed me this season despite having the best record in the league. They're just 11th in the league in Net Yards per Play at +0.2 and have shown a ton of holes, especially defensively. They're just 19th in opponent EPA/Play and 17th in opponent success rate.
The Chiefs' defense ranks fourth and fifth in those two stats, respectively. They're also allowing teams to convert 42.61% of third downs against them, which is 25th in the NFL.
The Chiefs offense has struggled to score, but they're still fifth in the league in yards per play and sixth in EPA/Play.
At the end of the day, the biggest difference in this game is the two defenses and it's the Chiefs who have been much better on that side of the ball. I'll take them to win and cover the short spread at home.
Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.
You can check out all of Iain's bets here!