Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 9

A full betting preview for NFL Week 9 action in Germany between the Dolphins and Chiefs
Oct 29, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Kansas City Chiefs linebacker Willie Gay (50) celebrates his
Oct 29, 2023; Denver, Colorado, USA; Kansas City Chiefs linebacker Willie Gay (50) celebrates his / Ron Chenoy-USA TODAY Sports

The Miami Dolphins and Kansas City Chiefs will face-off in one of the most anticipated games of the 2023 NFL season on Sunday as the NFL Europe Series continues in Germany.

The Chiefs and Dolphins have looked like two of the best teams in the league this season and this game could very well be a preview of the AFC Championship. In this article, we're going to break down everything you need to know to bet on the game.

If you want my best bet for every game on the Week 9 slate, you can find them in the latest edition of the Road to 272 Bets here.

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Dolphins vs. Chiefs odds, spread, and total

Dolphins vs. Chiefs betting trends

  • Dolphins are 9-2 ATS in their last 11 games
  • The OVER is 6-3 in the Dolphins' last nine games
  • Dolphins are 8-1 ATS in their last nine games vs. AFC opponents
  • Chiefs are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games
  • The UNDER is 4-1 in the Chiefs' last five games
  • Chiefs are 14-2 straight up in their last 16 games

Dolphins vs. Chiefs injury reports

Miami Dolphins injury report

  • Brandon Jones - S - Questionable
  • Durham Smythe - TE - Questionable
  • Terron Armstead - OT - IR
  • Xavien Howard - CB - Questionable
  • Jevon Holland - S - Questionable

Kansas City Chiefs injury report

  • Richie James - WR - IR-R
  • Nick Bolton - LB - IR
  • Willie Gay - LB - Questionable

Dolphins vs. Chiefs how to watch

  • Date: Sunday, November 5
  • Game Time: 9:30 am EST
  • Venue: Frankfurt Stadium
  • How to Watch (TV): NFL Network
  • Miami Dolphins Record: 6-2
  • Kansas City Chiefs Record: 6-2

Dolphins vs. Chiefs key players to watch

Miami Dolphins

Tyreek Hill: The former star receiver for the Chiefs, Tyreek Hill, will get a chance to play against his former team in a pivotal game that may help determine the No. 1 seed in the AFC. Hill is on pace to smashing the record for the most receiving yards in a single NFL season, including being on pace to be the first receiver to eclipse 2,000 yards.

Kansas City Chiefs

Trent McDuffie and L'Jarius Snead: The matchup everyone is going to be watching on Sunday is Tyreek Hill against the two starting cornerbacks of the Chiefs. The Kansas City secondary has been one of the best in the NFL this season, but now it has its toughest test to date. The game may be won or lost on the play of McDuffie and Snead.

Dolphins vs. Chiefs prediction and pick

It may be a bit of a boring bet to place, but I think the UNDER 51 is the smart move in this AFC showdown.

The Chiefs secondary has the tools to slow down, if not completely shut down, the passing game of the Dolphins. They're allowing just 5.5 yards per pass attempt and they're second in opponent dropback success rate and third in opponent EPA per dropback. With that being said, I do think the Dolphins will find some success on the ground against them, but that's going to keep the clock moving and limit their explosive plays that hurt an UNDER bet.

While the Chiefs offense has been effective, it hasn't been the explosive high-scoring unit that we're used to seeing, so we need to adjust how we view this Chiefs squad. With a good defense and an offense that takes what's given to them, they're built to win more lower scoring games than years past.

With the total in the 50s, I'm backing the UNDER.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!