Kansas City has reeled off four straight wins since getting Travis Kelce and Chris Jones back into the fold and oddsmakers are forecasting another big win this week!
Denver has been downright awful this season, losing to the Zach Wilson-led Jets this past week, and that’s a big reason why Kansas City is a 10.5-point favorite (-550 moneyline odds).
Let’s dig into these odds a little further to see how we can find value betting on these odds:
Broncos vs. Chiefs Week 6 Opening Odds
It’s tough for NFL teams to cover spreads greater than 10 points.
Kansas City, for instance, was 1-5-1 against the spread last season when favored by more than 10 points.
But we don’t HAVE to bet on the spread here (and not the moneyline, either, at odds like those!).
The better play instead might be taking Over 50.5 total points.
Denver is DEAD LAST in the NFL in allowing 0.559 points per play while ALSO ranking 7th in the league in yards per play on offense.
That means there’s a good chance that Kansas City (No. 1 in the NFL in 3rd down conversions) takes an early lead and Denver might have to chase points.
The over has gone just 2-3 in Kansas City’s games this season, but has gone 4-1 in Denver games, including the past four in a row.
The over hasn’t been particularly close, either, with the total points going over its projected number by 10 or more points in each of the last four games.
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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.