Patrick Mahomes has dominated the Kansas City Chiefs over the years, posting a 9-1 record against his AFC West rival.
So, why not cash in on Mahomes' excellence? Following a lack luster effort from the Chiefs offense in a loss to the Eagles, the team will look to bounce back against the Raiders poor defense. I created a correlated same-game parlay on the reigning NFL MVP to boost our odds on a potential big payout.
This four-leg SGP is +900 odds, so if you place $10 on this and win, you'll get $90! I suggest doing this at Caesars Sportsbook, who is matching all new users first bets up to $1,000!
Best Same-Game Parlay for Chiefs vs. Raiders in Week 13
- Patrick Mahomes to throw for 300+ yards (+220)
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 34.5 pass attempts (-120)
- Chiefs -9 vs. Raiders (-110)
- Chiefs Team Total OVER 27.5 (+120)
Patrick Mahomes to throw for 300+ yards (+220)
Mahomes is averaging just over 300 yards for his career in 10 games, passing for 3,040 yards. While the Raiders bolster a top 10 Dropback/EPA mark, I believe this game is going to feature big games from the Chiefs passing game on a fast track at Allegiant Stadium.
The Raiders defense may be short handed with Maxx Crosby banged up, giving Mahomes more time to operate wiht little pressure, and I think we see him put up a massive statistical performance.
Patrick Mahomes OVER 34.5 pass attempts (-115)
Mahomes has cleared this in seven of 10 games this season, and considering I believe the Chiefs look to get the aerial attack going, this is an easy bet to add to my SGP to boost our odds.
With Crosby potentially limited or out, that's going to open up the passing game even more for him to keep his passing volume up.
Chiefs -9 vs. Raiders (-110)
The Chiefs offense has struggled this season, there's no doubt about that. Despite posting good metrics, ill-timed turnovers and drops have kept them from living up to their potential. Now is the time for a bounce-back spot against their divisional rivals.
The Raiders defense has been a decent unit this season, but their offense leaves a lot to be desired. I have no faith in an offense that's 28th in EPA per Play and 27th in yards per play to be able to move the ball against this stout Chiefs defense.
The only way to move the ball against the Chiefs' defense is by running it and the Raiders are dead last in Rush EPA and 31st in yards per carry.
Chiefs win big.
Chiefs Team Total OVER 27.5 (+120)
If the Chiefs are going to win big, I see the team flirting with 30 points, so I'll take an alternate point total on the team and count on them to get to 28.
The Chiefs have scored 28 or more in every single game that Mahomes has played in, scoring 30 or more in nine of them. At + money, I think this is a nice way to enhance our payout as Kansas City has owned the Raiders in the Mahomes era.