The Chiefs enter as big favorites against the Chicago Bears on Sunday and betting intrigue will flood towards the Kansas City side.
Patrick Mahomes looks as good as advertised in the teams Super Bowl defense, but the numbers haven't showed yet. Is this the breakout statistical game for the reigning MVP? I constructed a four-leg Patrick Mahomes-centric same-game parlay that has a payout of +650 in hopes of him showing out against a lackluster Bears defense.
Best Same-Game Parlay for Bears vs. Chiefs
- Chiefs Team Total Points OVER 30.5
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 299.5 Passing Yards
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 19.5 Rushing Yards
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Chiefs Team Total Points OVER 30.5
The Bears defense has looked all out of sorts this season, posting the second worst yards per play defense through two games against two lackluster offenses in the Packers and Buccaneers.
The Bears allowed 38 points to the Packers at home and 27 to the Buccaneers, what's going to happen when the team faces the Chiefs? Kansas City has dealt with some bad drops through two games that has supressed its point total, but we saw flashes of the Super Bowl winning offense with Travis Kelce catching a touchdown in his season debut last week.
Kansas City should have little issue crushing the 30-point barrier.
Patrick Mahomes OVER 299.5 Passing Yards
After the Chiefs receiving corps sustained a ton of injuries and drops in the Week 1 loss, we saw the team's passing game pick it up in Week 2 as Mahomes totaled 305 yards on 41 passes.
Now, he faces the worst defense of the three in the Bears. The Chiefs preference is to attack through the air, even when ahead, and I believe an average outcome for Mahomes is at 300 yards. We'll add this one to the card.
Patrick Mahomes OVER 19.5 Rushing Yards
After rushing for at least 30 yards in both games, let's take Mahomes to just get to 20 on Sunday. No. 15 is comfortable taking off and gaining chunk yards when nothing is there down the field. With the Bears suspect defense on the other side, I see Mahomes limiting any potential mistakes and using his legs often.
Patrick Mahomes OVER 2.5 Passing Touchdowns
Mahomes has two touchdown passes in both games, can he break through on Sunday and get to three passing touchdowns? He passed for eight touchdowns in 17 regular season games last season, so we are asking for about an average outcome for the Chiefs signal caller.
The Chiefs offense is sitting on a big performance at home after two low output efforts. Stacking these positive Mahomes outcomes is the best look. If Kansas City is breaking through 30 points as I played above, Mahomes is very likely to pass for three touchdowns.
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