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Bengals vs. Chiefs prediction, odds, spread, injuries, trends for NFL Week 17

By Iain MacMillan

Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) scrambles in the first quarter of the AFC
Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) scrambles in the first quarter of the AFC / Sam Greene/The Enquirer / USA TODAY
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This year's edition of Bengals vs. Chiefs won't quite have the same zip to it with Joe Burrow sidelined and the Bengals at risk of falling out of the playoffs, but this is still an important game for Kansas City nonetheless.

With just two weeks remaining, the Chiefs have yet to clinch a postseason berth, let alone the AFC West. Winning at least one of their final two games is going to be absolutely imperative. Luckily for them, they're big time favorites at home to Cincinnati.

If you want to find out my best bet for all 16 NFL Week 17 games, check out the latest edition of the "Road to 272 Bets".

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Bengals vs. Chiefs odds, spread, and total

Bengals vs. Chiefs betting trends

  • The OVER is 6-1 in the Bengals' last seven games
  • Bengals are 5-2 ATS in their last seven games vs. Chiefs
  • The OVER is 5-0 in the Bengals' last five road games
  • Bengals are 3-8 ATS in their last 11 games vs. AFC opponents
  • Chiefs are 1-4-1 ATS in their last six games
  • The UNDER is 8-3 in the Chiefs' last 11 games
  • The UNDER is 12-3 in the last 15 meetings between these two teams
  • Chiefs are 1-6-1 ATS in their last eight games played in December

Bengals vs. Chiefs injury reports

Cincinnati Bengals injury report

  • Mitchell Wilcox - TE - Questionable
  • Ja'Marr Chase - WR - Questionable
  • Jalen Davis - CB - Questionable

Kansas City Chiefs injury report

  • Kadarius Toney - WR - Questionable
  • Isiah Pacheco - RB - Questionable
  • Clyde Edwards-Helaire - RB - Questionable
  • L'Jarius Sneed - CB - Questionable
  • Donovan Smith - OT - Questionable

Bengals vs. Chiefs how to watch

  • Date: Sunday, Dec. 31st
  • Game Time: 4:25 p.m. EST
  • Venue: GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium
  • How to Watch (TV): CBS
  • Cincinnati Bengals Record: 8-7
  • Kansas City Chiefs Record: 9-6

Bengals vs. Chiefs key players to watch

Cincinnati Bengals

Dax Hill: Even with Burrow sidelined and Jake Browning as their quarterback, the Bengals offense has continued to produce. It's not their offense that is the issue, it's their defense, which has been one of the worst in the NFL this season. Now, they need to step up in a big way if they want to play in the postseason and that starts with the play of their safety, Dax Hill. The Bengals miss Vonn Bell and Jessie Bates, who found new homes in the offseason, and Hill needs to immediately fill that void left by the former safeties.

Kansas City Chiefs

Justin Watson: Someone other than Rashee Rice needs to step up in a big way if the Chiefs want to make a run in the postseason. Kadarius Toney isn't that guy and it doesn't look like Skyy Moore or Marquez Valdes-Scantling are either. That leaves Justin Watson to try to produce as the No. 2 WR. He's currently second on the team in receiving yards with 419, but just fifth in receptions with 26.

Bengals vs. Chiefs prediction and pick

This Bengals team does not much up well with the Chiefs. Despite Kansas City looking abysmal lately, now is the time to buy low on them with the Chiefs holding a significant stylistic advantage in this one.

First of all, let's start with the Bengals defense, which continues to bet one of the worst in the NFL. Entering Week 1, the Bengals rank 29th in opponent EPA per play, 31st in opponent success rate, and dead last in opponent yards per play, allowing an average of 6.1 yards per snap.Even more importantly, they're 28th in opponent dropback EPA and 31st in opponent dropback success rate, meaning Patrick Mahomes is going to have one of the easiest matchups hes had all season.

Let's also take a look at the Bengals offense. Jake Browning has made their pass offense look great at time, but the key to beat the Chiefs is running the football successfully and that's not something the Bengals do well.

The Bengals average just 3.9 yards per carry this season which ranks 25th in the NFL. Meanwhile, the Chiefs secondary is a top 10 unit by virtually every metric.

Styles make fights, my friends, and the Chiefs have the advantage in this one. I'll lay the points with Kansas City.

Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

You can check out all of Iain's bets here!

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