49ers vs. Chiefs final score prediction for Super Bowl 58 (Why Kansas City can go back-to-back)

There are so many ways to bet on Super Bowl 58, but a lot of them come down to the final score when talking about the spread, moneyline and total winner. 

So, with the Kansas City Chiefs set to take on the San Francisco 49ers in Super Bowl 58, let’s take a shot at all three. This is a rematch of Super Bowl 54, and it should be a great game based on the latest odds, which have the Chiefs set as slight underdogs. (When will people learn to bet on Patrick Mahomes as an underdog? Maybe Sunday?)

Want to impress all of your friends on Super Bowl Sunday and correctly pick the final score of the San Francisco 49ers-Kansas City Chiefs matchup? 

It’s one of the hardest things to do in any NFL game – especially the Super Bowl – but it’s still possible. 

Everyone would love to do it, as it’s not only a lucrative way to bet on a game, but it also could help you predict who is going to win Super Bowl Squares before the game even begins! 

Nonetheless, I’m going to take on this task, as I think the Chiefs are on their way to back-to-back titles for several reasons. Let’s break down the odds and my prediction for the final score of Super Bowl 58: 

49ers vs. Chiefs odds, spread and total for Super Bowl 2024

Chiefs final score prediction

I love the Chiefs to win this game, and I love them even more at FanDuel where they are 2.5-point underdogs. 

Patrick Mahomes is playing in his fourth Super Bowl in his NFL career, and he’s 2-1 in those games, winning outright as a dog against the Philadelphia Eagles last season. 

In his already historic NFL career, Mahomes has been an underdog 12 times. He’s 10-1-1 against the spread in those games and 9-3 straight up. That includes two playoff wins as an underdog this season in Buffalo and Baltimore.

While the 49ers are a great team – and have been Super Bowl favorites all postseason – the team has also failed to cover the spread in both of its playoff games, mainly because it fell behind early in them. 

That’s not going to work against Mahomes and the experience of the Chiefs. As much as the 49ers have some Super Bowl experience, Kansas City has about three times that, and the team knows what it takes to win on the NFL’s biggest stage. 

This Kansas City defense may be the most underrated unit all postseason, and let’s be honest, we’re taking Mahomes over Purdy every day of the week and twice on Sunday. 

That’s my thoughts on the side, but what about the total? 

Well, this game is lining up to go UNDER the total as well. 

In the last 10 years, 60 percent of the games refereed by Super Bowl official Bill Vinovich have gone under the total. 

This year’s total is all the way up at 47.5 points, but why? These two teams ranked No. 2 and No. 3 in the NFL in scoring defense this season, and as great as Mahomes is, the Kansas City defense did a great job shutting down Miami, Buffalo and Baltimore en route to the Super Bowl. 

I think that OVER bettors may fall in love with the 49ers playmakers and the lore of Mahomes and take the OVER. I’m going the other way with this one being low scoring. 

So, with all of this information, where do we end up? 

With the Chiefs winning and covering in a close one. Give me Kansas City by three for the third Super Bowl in the Mahomes era. 

Final score prediction: Chiefs 20, 49ers 17

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Odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.

Find Peter Dewey's betting record here.