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Chiefs vs. Raiders predictions for a rivalry game no one saw coming

Much more is at stake in Week 4 between the Chiefs and Raiders than what fans might have originally predicted. Our picks are here.
ByMatt Conner
Sep 27, 2026; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA;  Las Vegas Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty (2) looks on before the game against the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome.  Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images
Sep 27, 2026; New Orleans, Louisiana, USA; Las Vegas Raiders running back Ashton Jeanty (2) looks on before the game against the New Orleans Saints at Caesars Superdome. Mandatory Credit: Stephen Lew-Imagn Images | IMAGN IMAGES via Reuters Connect

This isn't just any game day. Not only is it rivalry week for the Kansas City Chiefs, who are making their annual trek to Las Vegas to take on the Raiders at Allegiant Stadium, but both teams are tied atop the AFC West at 3-0. It's a surprise for both sides, since the two franchises combined for 9 total wins one year ago.

The Chiefs are looking resurgent with the addition of Kenneth Walker to the backfield this offseason and a healthy Patrick Mahomes under center. The Raiders switched head coaches once again, but Klint Kubiak has his team playing inspired football. It doesn't hurt to have offensive weapons like tight end Brock Bowers and running back Ashton Jeanty either.

Whoever comes out on top will sit alone in first place in the division at 4-0 and give them an early edge after the first month of the regular season. Who will win? Our picks and predictions are here for Week 4.

Christian Ainsworth

The Chiefs' offense builds off the momentum from last week, moving the ball efficiently through the air against a struggling Raiders secondary. Defensively, they force a couple of turnovers to secure the road win. Chiefs 31, Raiders 17

Matt Chabot

I predict the Chiefs will win on the back of yet another Travis Kelce 100+ yard receiving game with at least 7 catches to pick apart the Raiders' zone-heavy defense. Chiefs 31, Raiders 21

Matt Conner

Respect to the Raiders for finding some real momentum, but their schedule gets very tough at this point, and if you said they were going to be 4-8 after the next several games, I'd believe it. Chiefs 27, Raiders 20

Bransen Gibson

Well, this game is spicier than it looked a month ago. The Raiders have been surprisingly competent so far this season and have shown improvement in their 3-0 start, but the Chiefs should be out of their league. Kansas City looked underwhelming against Miami, but with the top spot in the AFC West on the line, the Chiefs will kick things up a notch and take care of business on the road. Chiefs 27, Raiders 21

Lyle Graversen

The Raiders are definitely an improved team, but I still have doubts that their defense can stop the Chiefs. Brock Bowers and Ashton Jeanty will likely find some success, but not enough to keep pace. Chiefs 30, Raiders 20

Braden Holecek

This game feels like it could be tight all day. Kansas City and Las Vegas can each play at a methodical pace. Leaning on the running backs and tight ends could allow the Chiefs and the Raiders to be patient and not as aggressive on defense. I am going to trust Patrick Mahomes and the Chiefs' offense to continue their consistency on crucial downs and walk away with a win over the Silver and Black. Chiefs 26, Raiders 19

Scott Loring

Outside of Mansoor Delane’s first-quarter interception, Kansas City’s defense has struggled in the first quarter of their games, surrendering 42% of their total points allowed in the opening frame. Patrick Mahomes continues his CPOY tour with a stellar performance in Las Vegas, including the season’s first Cyrus Allen sighting. Chiefs 25, Raiders 17

Shawn O'Brate

At the beginning of this season, it felt like this would be one of the easier games of the season, even in Las Vegas, but now that “Kirko” has the Raiders at 3-0 it’s not so black-and-white (or should it be black-and-grey?). Even then, the Chiefs' run game has not been stopped so far, and I don’t see former Ravens legend Maxx Crosby stopping it all by himself. K9 scores (at least) once, and Mahomes will find someone like Worthy or Royals, or possibly even Cyrus Allen for a TD, while everyone doubles Kelce to prevent him from finding the fountain of youth again. Chiefs 24, Raiders 17

Charles Robinson

Andy Reid and Patrick Mahomes have never faced an undefeated Raiders team in Vegas before, but that doesn't matter. Chiefs 27, Raiders 14

Owen Smith

The Chiefs will not play a perfect game, but will ultimately win by two scores and prove the Raiders' 3-0 start is a mirage. Chiefs 23, Raiders 14

Hunter Stanton

The battle for AFC West supremacy is upon us, with two 3-0 teams battling it out; with that said, it will be a close game with the Chiefs pulling away 4-0. Chiefs 24, Raiders 20

Lucas Strozinsky

The battle of 3-0 teams! Just like we all expected a month ago. This will be their toughest test of the season so far, and I think the Chiefs will pass. Chiefs 30, Raiders 26

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