Bengals-Chiefs line movement highlights concerns for Patrick Mahomes ankle
After opening as small home favorites for the AFC Championship game, the Kansas City Chiefs are now underdogs to the Cincinnati Bengals.
Of course, a lot of this line movement is generated from quarterback Patrick Mahomes’ high ankle sprain that will very likely hamper his play in the conference title game. While it appears that there is no doubt he will play, how he will play is what is piquing bettors interest.
Here’s the updated odds for the AFC Championship Game:
Bengals vs. Chiefs odds, spread and total
Patrick Mahomes Injury Status
It’s the most important ankle in the state of Missouri this week as head coach Andy Reid said that the Chiefs are taking Mahomes’ injury day-to-day, but that Mahomes is going to play on Sunday.
While he may play, bettors are skeptical as this is a significant line move to post the Chiefs as home underdogs in the title game. This is the fourth meeting between the two teams in the last two seasons, including Week 13 when the Bengals won as home underdogs of 2.5 points 27-24. Cincinnati has won all three meetings, including last season’s AFC Championship game in Kansas City. Now, with Mahomes injured, this will be the first time that KC is an underdog.
According to Action Network, nine times in the last 20 years teams has a home team opened as a favorite and closed as an underdog is 5-4 straight up and 6-3 against the spread.
There appears to be market resistance at +3 for the Chiefs, as the thought of getting Mahomes and co. at a field goal or more is too attractive to pass up, even if he is on an injured ankle, but this is a story worth monitoring leading up to kick off on Sunday.
Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.