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Best NFL Prop Bets for Chiefs vs. Raiders in Week 18

By Brian Giuffra

Nov 13, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) gestures on the line of scrimmage against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second half of the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports
Nov 13, 2022; Kansas City, Missouri, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes (15) gestures on the line of scrimmage against the Jacksonville Jaguars during the second half of the game at GEHA Field at Arrowhead Stadium. Mandatory Credit: Denny Medley-USA TODAY Sports /
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While the Raiders are playing out the string, the Chiefs have a lot to play for. Win at we claim the No. 1 seed in the AFC playoffs and a coveted bye. Lose, and the Raiders only enhance their draft position. That motivational discrepancy has me excited to bet on a few prop bets on KC because personal and group motivation goes a long way in football.

Below, you’ll find my favorite prop bets for the game. But either way, you can win $200 GUARANTEED if ONE TD is scored by either team in this game.

BetMGM Chiefs Offer

New BetMGM users in Kansas: win $200 on a $10 bet when one TD is scored in this game by following these instructions.

  1. Sign up for BetMGM using this link
  2. Deposit $10 or more in your account
  3. Bet $10 or more on any Chiefs-Raiders wager

Annnnnd, you’re done! As soon as one TD is scored in this game, you get $200 in free bet! Considering how great the Chiefs offense is and how unmotivated Vegas is, this is as easy as it gets.

Now, onto my prop picks.

Chiefs vs Raiders Prop Bet Picks

Jerrick McKinon OVER 32.5 Receiving Yards (-115)

Considering the Raiders have given up the most receiving yards to running backs in the NFL, and considering McKinnon has cleared this number in three-of-four games (with the one miss being 31 receiving yards) this seems almost too good to be true. Rather than overthink it or overanalyze it, I’ll just plop a bet down and let the chips fall where they may.

Patrick Mahomes UNDER 324.5 Passing Yards (-120) 

People have been touting this as a must-bet OVER because Mahomes is 430 yards away from breaking Peyton Manning’s single-season passing yard record of 5,477. Well, where others zig, I zag.

Simply put, I don’t see the Chiefs needing Mahomes to throw for 325 or more yards to win this game, nor do I see the Chiefs putting out a unique game script designed for him to reach that number. While Mahomes has eclipsed this mark in three of the last four games, he was held under 300 by Vegas earlier this year and the Vegas defense is better against the pass than the run. I could also see Mahomes resting in the fourth quarter with the Chiefs holding a big lead. If that’s the case, 325 seems far too high to me.

Those are the two props I’m focused on for Chiefs-Raiders. Either way, we can all win $200 by signing up for BetMGM and taking advantage of the TD offer. Doesn’t get easier than that.

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