Best NFL Prop Bets for Seahawks vs. Chiefs in Week 16 (Climb Back on the Isiah Pacheco Train)

The Kansas City Chiefs continue to frustrate their bettors week after week, yet once again find themselves as double digit favorites at home against a Seattle Seahawks team that’s free-falling their way out of the NFC playoff race.

Rather than try to make any sort of attempt to figure out the best way to bet on the spread or total for this Week 16 matchup, here are three betting props that offer very good value ahead of Saturday afternoon’s kickoff.

Let’s dive in!

Best NFL Prop Bets for Seahawks vs. Chiefs

• Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown Scorer (+100)
• Jerick McKinnon OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards (-115)
• Kenneth Walker III OVER 49.5 Rushing Yards (-114)

Isiah Pacheco Anytime Touchdown Scorer

I got caught up on the Pacheco bandwagon last week, not only betting him to score an anytime touchdown, but also to drop two scores on a Houston Texans run defense that ranked worst in the NFL by a mile in stopping the run.

Turns out a Chiefs running back did get two touchdowns, but it was Jerick McKinnon instead of Pacheco. A fumble turned into seven points for the Texans on a 17-yard scramble from Davis Mills, and the rookie running back found himself playing only 27 of the 77 snaps for the game.

While that might lead you to think the oddsmakers in Vegas project McKinnon to be the beneficiary around the red zone once again, that’s not the case at all. Pacheco has much shorter odds this week (+100) than McKinnon to find paydirt (+155) against another terrible run defense in Seattle (4th-most rushing yards allowed to RBs).

Lost in the shuffle from last week was that he still rushed 15 times for 86 yards and continued to look dominant as an inside runner. With temperatures in the single digits, expect plenty of angry runs and finally delivering after a few week hiatus.

BONUS PICK: OVER 1.5 TDs (+550)

Jerick McKinnon OVER 23.5 Receiving Yards

McKinnon’s number is on the move and going fast!

The previous two weeks, he’s caught 112 receiving yards, followed by 70, hauling in an impressive 15 receptions on 17 targets in the backfield. Mahomes can throw it through a tornado if he wants to, but given Kansas City’s recent reliance on the do-it-all back, this number is simply far too low.

I found him at 20.5 at PointsBet late Friday afternoon, with his consensus number several yards higher, so if you want it, you’ll need to get it sooner rather than later. I’d bet this up to 25.5, especially given the weather forecast and need for short, quick-hitting passes in the cold.

Kenneth Walker III OVER 49.5 Rushing Yards

Much like McKinnon’s number, Walker has also seen his prop numbers shoot up in light of the single-digit temperatures expected at Arrowhead this Saturday.

The numbers from last week don’t look great, rushing for only 47 yards on just 12 carries. However, the game came against the league’s best team against the run in the San Francisco 49ers, and Seattle found themselves trailing for much of the matchup.

While they are 10-point underdogs on the road, with game script unlikely to favor lots of running in the second half, I still don’t trust the Chiefs defense to take Walker out of the game. He still played 48 of the 64 snaps vs. the Niners last week, and Pete Carroll still wants

I also like Walker’s OVER on receiving yards in this game as well, as the Chiefs have allowed the third-most receiving yards and second-most catches to running backs this year.

Follow all of Ben’s betting plays in real-time HERE!

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Game odds refresh periodically and are subject to change.