The Kansas City Chiefs and Denver Broncos will play the first of two games against each other in the final stretch of the season on Sunday of Week 14.
The Chiefs are listed as heavy 9.5-point favorites, but what about prop bets? Will Patrick Mahomes have a big game? Can the Chiefs defense keep Russell Wilson in check?
Let’s dive into my favorite prop bets for this Week 14 AFC West showdown.
Best NFL Props Bets for Kansas City Chiefs vs. Denver Broncos
- Patrick Mahomes OVER 271.5 Passing Yards
- Isiah Pacheco OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards
- Russell Wilson OVER 19.5 Completions
Patrick Mahomes OVER 271.5 Passing Yards
Patrick Mahomes is the MVP favorite and averaging 317.5 passing yards per game, but yet his passing yards total for Week 14 is set at only 271.5? That’s disrespectful.
I’m aware that the Broncos have one of the best pass defenses in the NFL, but I don’t care, especially considering they’ve stumbled a bit as of late. Over their last three games, the Broncos have allowed 6.9 yards per pass attempt, which ranks in the middle of the pack in the NFL over that stretch.
Isiah Pacheco OVER 66.5 Rushing Yards
Not only do I think Patrick Mahomes is going to have a good game, but Isiah Pacheco should be targeted to put up strong numbers as well. The hole of the Broncos defense is their inability to stop the run, ranking 20th in opponent yards per carry, allowing 4.5 yards per rush.
Pacheco has also seen an increased work load over the past four weeks, averaging 16.75 carries and 81 rushing yards per game. I think he’s set up to have another successful Sunday today.
Russell Wilson OVER 19.5 Completions
If there’s one weakness the Chiefs defense has, it’s allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete their passes at a high rate. They rank 29th in the NFL in opponent completion percentage, allowing opposing quarterbacks to complete 68.06% of their passes against them.
Wilson is averaging exactly 19.5 completions per game this season, but not only does he face a defense that allows a high completion percentage, but the game script should force the Broncos to throw the football early and often.
As a Chiefs fan, this will give you something to cheer for if/when the game is already in hand for Kansas City.