Looking at Patrick Mahomes’ first quarter of the NFL season shows that he is going to continue being great. Expect to see the same quarterback and his magnificence from here on.
Heading into Week 5, there has been a large enough sample size of what to expect from Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Patrick Mahomes. We haven’t seen a drop-off in production. In fact, the season has started much better than most anticipated. A complete team blunder versus the Indianapolis Colts stained an otherwise hot beginning. The Chiefs’ record sits at 3-1 with a significant factor being how well Mahomes has played up to this point.
A major component of the offensive game plan is now to spread the football around. Mahomes more than ever is leaning on a variety of ways to attack defenses. The Chiefs running backs have been exceptionally involved in the aerial attack. They also keep opposing defenses accounting for the ground game since the rushing scheme is more prevalent than in years past. Tight end Travis Kelce has seen a large target volume each game thus far. Outside of Kelce, the wide receivers have been effective unless you’re speaking in fantasy football terms. Of the 11 touchdown receptions, only 2 have been hauled in by wide receivers.
Patrick Mahomes’ statistics break down how fast of a start this offense has gotten off to this season. 11 passing touchdowns and 1,106 yards passing through 4 games. Nonetheless, he only has 2 interceptions. If you calculate those numbers for an entire season it would be approximately 47 touchdowns, 4,700 yards, and 9 interceptions. Mahomes is at his career average with a completion percentage of 66%. His passer rating ranks 2nd amongst starting quarterbacks in the NFL at 108.4. Projecting these stats for the duration of a full season compares within close range to his MVP campaign in 2018.
Predicting the remainder of the season is no perfect science. In those 4 games that have already taken place, there have certainly been spectacular moments. There have also been instances where Patrick Mahomes needed to perform at a higher level. Chemistry should continue to develop with the players who have played Andy Reid’s system for only 1 month. Is it possible to see an even better Mahomes? Yes. Has the potential already been reached for this offense? Not at all.
One thing we do know is that Mahomes is still impressing the football world even as this offense continues to grow.