When will Andy Reid eclipse Hank Stram’s wins record with Chiefs?

Entering his 10th year as the head coach of the Kansas City Chiefs, Andy Reid has a total of 112 wins in his tenure at the helm. He is currently second on the Chiefs’ all-time coaching wins list, behind only the first man to ever assume the responsibility; 2003 NFL Hall of Fame inductee, Hank Stram.

Stram concluded his coaching career in 1974 with 129 total wins, three AFL titles, and a Super Bowl victory (SBIV). Big Red’s resume in Kansas City is eerily familiar to Stram’s through his first nine seasons, and he is poised to take over as the most successful coach in team history sooner rather than later.

Andy Reid is on track to pass Hank Stram for first place on the team’s all-time wins list for a head coach. When will it happen?

Reid has been a remarkably consistent winner throughout his head coaching career that spans 23 years. He has averaged roughly 10 wins per season since 1999, and 11.5 a year since coming to Kansas City in 2013. If the Chiefs predicted wins for the 2022 season are to come to fruition, the gap between Reid and Stram would shrink from 17 to 4 at the conclusion of the regular season.

Additionally, since joining the Chiefs, Andy has averaged one playoff win per season. While a singular playoff win in ‘22 would surely be disappointing, the frequency of playoff success was lesser prior to Patrick Mahomes’ arrival in 2018. For prediction’s sake, we will account for that average and put the upcoming season’s win total at 14—including the playoffs. That would leave only three wins between Andy Reid and a tie with Hank Stram’s record for the most wins in Chiefs history.

With Kansas City starting the season 4-0 in three of the four years of the Mahomes era, it’s not crazy to think that history could be made by week four of 2023. However, with the recent and booming emergence of heightened talent and competition in the AFC, the Chiefs will face more increasingly challenging schedules in the coming years than ever before.

Conservatively, Andy Reid will become the most winningest coach in Kansas City Chiefs history by Week 7 of the 2023 season.  Accomplishing the feat on that timeline would require a .720 winning percentage between now and then, just a tic ahead of the .696 clip that Reid has won at thus far in his time coaching the Chiefs.