What’s changed with Cincinnati Bengals since Week 17 (and what hasn’t)

KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 12: Orlando Brown #57 of the Kansas City Chiefs prepares to block Clelin Ferrell #99 of the Las Vegas Raiders during the second quarter at Arrowhead Stadium on December 12, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO - DECEMBER 12: Orlando Brown #57 of the Kansas City Chiefs prepares to block Clelin Ferrell #99 of the Las Vegas Raiders during the second quarter at Arrowhead Stadium on December 12, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images) /
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CINCINNATI, OHIO – JANUARY 02: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs hands the ball off to Darrel Williams #31in the second quarter of the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium on January 02, 2022 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
CINCINNATI, OHIO – JANUARY 02: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs hands the ball off to Darrel Williams #31in the second quarter of the game against the Cincinnati Bengals at Paul Brown Stadium on January 02, 2022 in Cincinnati, Ohio. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

At a glance, it might seem easy to look at the AFC Championship Game and say that it’s a similar matchup to the Week 17 game that these two teams—the Cincinnati Bengals and Kansas City Chiefs—played just four weeks ago. To be sure, there are a lot of palpable factors that are completely or mostly the same: personnel, weather, and team identities.

However, there are a handful of x-factors that should be considered when comparing and contrasting the Bengals’ 34-31 victory on January 2nd in Cincinnati with today’s AFC Championship Game.

First and foremost, that game was not a must-win game for the Chiefs. Entering that matchup, the Chiefs did hold the inside track on the conference’s #1 seed, but there was no level of urgency resembling anything like a playoff game. The Bengals, on the other hand, had a division title in their sights. Sunday is a different game.

There are also two other factors that play into Kansas City’s hands. This game is at Arrowhead, where the Chiefs are the NFL’s first team to win six home playoff games in three years. They now have a shot to win a seventh.

Even more importantly, “Playoff Pat” is a version of the Chiefs quarterback the Bengals have never seen before, and if they fail to plan accordingly, it will be a very long afternoon for their defense.

Let’s unpack a few other variables for the AFC Championship Game.