KC Chiefs vs Bills: Top prop bets to make for Sunday Night Football

3. Tyreek Hill – Receiving Yards (89.5)

The Bills swallowed Tyreek Hill whole during the regular season matchup between the teams in 2020 and then allowed Hill to do whatever he wanted in the second one. It didn’t work either way as the Chiefs put both games away fairly easily despite one being the AFC Championship game.

Here’s what we think the Bills learned in the process. In the first game, they kept Hill from doing much at all—to the tune of 3 catches for 20 yards—but the Chiefs put up nearly 250 yards rushing in that game, which was more offense than the Bills had in total that day (we told you these were easy games for the Chiefs). This time, however, the Bills have Star Lotulelei back after opting out a year and Ed Oliver is looking better to form a nice run-stopping duo.

It makes sense for the Bills to blanket Hill in the secondary and keep him from making big plays. Given that his yardage total here at 89.5 is quite generous, I’d take the under while knowing I had plenty of room to work with even if he has a better than expected performance.

Pick: Under (-120)

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