KC Chiefs vs Bills: Top prop bets to make for Sunday Night Football

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 24: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills is tackled by Tyrann Mathieu #32 and Alex Okafor #57 of the Kansas City Chiefs in the second half during the AFC Championship game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 24, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 24: Josh Allen #17 of the Buffalo Bills is tackled by Tyrann Mathieu #32 and Alex Okafor #57 of the Kansas City Chiefs in the second half during the AFC Championship game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 24, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images) /
facebooktwitterreddit
Prev
2 of 3
Next
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – JANUARY 24: Kansas City Chiefs fans celebrate in the fourth quarter during the AFC Championship game between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on January 24, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI – JANUARY 24: Kansas City Chiefs fans celebrate in the fourth quarter during the AFC Championship game between the Buffalo Bills and the Kansas City Chiefs at Arrowhead Stadium on January 24, 2021 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images) /

2. Clyde Edwards-Helaire – Rushing Yards (53.5)

We would take the over for Clyde Edwards-Helaire on rushing yards here if the total were 20 yards higher than it already is. That’s how silly this line feels at the present moment.

The Chiefs have been very, very effective rushing the football in each of the last two weeks, and Edwards-Helaire has gone for 100 or more yards in each of those games. Given the push along the offensive interior that the Chiefs are getting between Joe Thuney, Creed Humphrey, and Trey Smith, it’s hard to see how that doesn’t happen again.

Here’s the thing: while Patrick Mahomes might love to air it out, the Bills are not going to stack the box defensively. Instead, they’re going to do what they can to limit the big plays from the likes of Tyreek Hill and Mecole Hardman from hurting the defense deep. That means there will be a real emphasis on securing the run game. Even if CEH doesn’t go off like he has the last two weeks, 54 total rushing yards still feels like a very manageable total.

Pick: Over (-120)