Betting on the defense
Total defense and special teams touchdowns per team
On the defensive side of the football, you can make a number of wagers including whether or not teams score either on defense, or on special teams. The O/U for both teams is at 1.5, and the heavy favorite (-1400) is on the under. It is tempting to bet the Over here (+650), and given how turnover prone Brady has been, and how good the Chiefs secondary has been, it might be worth taking a look. Two non-offensive scores, though, is a lot.
Will a team record a sack or a touchdown first?
This is another wager that we’d place in the ‘tough to call’ category. Sacks are not an incredibly uncommon occurrence over the course of a football game, but both teams have the ability to score a lot of points. Worth considering is that both of these teams are excellent at putting pressure on the quarterback; inversely both quarterbacks are pretty good at avoiding sacks, too. It’s surprising that touchdown (-140) is the favorite over sack (even), we think. We’d go sack, here.
What will be the first turnover?
In an interesting wager, one could decide to gamble on how the game’s first turnover will occur. A team forcing an interception is the favorite (-165); while forcing a fumble could produce a better return (+140). If you’re into the long odds, you could bet on there being no turnovers in the game to potentially haul in the biggest reward (+800). These defenses are too good, though, we think. An interception makes sense as the bet here.
Who will be the first team penalized for pass interference?
An even money, if not incredibly interesting bet is to consider who will be the first team flagged for a pass interference call (you could also pick first penalty overall, or first holding call, as other variants of this wager). Bovada sets no favorite in this department, but if we were wagering we’d go Tampa Bay. They have a less talented secondary and the speed of the Chiefs receivers makes it more likely they’re interfered with.
Will a team record a safety?
We cannot imagine why anyone would bet one way or another on a safety in the game. Betting no, at 1-to-20 odds (-2000) seems foolish; but betting yes, even with the potential for a strong return (+750) seems far fetched. The quality of the quarterback play in this one likely decreases the odds of a safety, too. We’d avoid this bet all together.
Will any kick be returned for a touchdown?
Return touchdowns are great fun in any NFL contest, but they’re also relatively rare occurrences. Experts have placed the heavy favorite to no, there will not be a return touchdown (-850) over yes (+450). They’re probably correct, but given the skill of returners in this game, it could be an interesting wager to take the ‘yes’ gamble.