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Betting advice for the 2020 Kansas City Chiefs season

By Kelly Thompson

DENVER, CO - OCTOBER 17: Quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs throws a pass near head coach Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs before a game against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High on October 17, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images)
DENVER, CO - OCTOBER 17: Quarterback Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs throws a pass near head coach Andy Reid of the Kansas City Chiefs before a game against the Denver Broncos at Empower Field at Mile High on October 17, 2019 in Denver, Colorado. (Photo by Justin Edmonds/Getty Images) /
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Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs
Tyreek Hill, Kansas City Chiefs (Photo by Focus on Sport/Getty Images) /

Tyreek Hill

Total Receptions O/U – 69.5 (-120)

Many of the bets on Tyreek Hill should be decided on whether or not you think the All-Pro wideout can stay healthy for 16 games. During the course of this offseason, Hill has been working out (ridiculously) in an effort to do just that. In 2018, when fully healthy for 16 games, Hill had 87 receptions on 137 targets. In 2019, even with only playing in 12 games, the speedster still had 89 targets, but recorded only 58 receptions. 2020 should fall somewhere in the middle.

Recommendation: Take the Over

Total Receiving Yards O/U – 1150.5 (-110)

Like his receptions total, whether or not you’re betting on Hill to have over 1151 receiving yards depends on whether or not you think he’s going to be healthy for 16 games. Hill had only 860 yards in 12 games in 2019, but had 1183 in 15 games in 2017 and 1479 yards in 2018. Hill has stated that his goal is to eclipse 2000 yards this season, which seems unlikely given the talented arsenal around him. Nonetheless, expect him to be healthy.

Recommendation: Take the Over

Total Receiving Touchdowns O/U – 6.5 (-120)

This way may not matter if Hill plays in 10 games or 16 games – this offense is going to be prolific – like, 2018 prolific, and maybe even better. In that season, Hill had 12 touchdown receptions. In 2019, even while missing four games, “Cheetah” had seven receiving scores. This may be the easiest bet of all to make.

Recommendation: Take the Over

Lead the League in Receiving Yards +1400

If you believe in Tyreek Hill’s ability to surpass 2000 receiving yards, then you should most certainly take this bet, because no receiver in the history of the National Football League has done so. But, its precisely because it’s never been done that this feels like a sucker bet.

Recommendation: Pass on this bet

Offensive Player of the Year +4000

Wide receiver Michael Thomas was named the AP Offensive Player of the Year in 2019 after breaking the record for most receptions in a single season (149) and recording the seventh most receiving yards in a single season all time (1725). The New Orleans Saints All-Pro added nine touchdown receptions to round out his OPOY resume. Can Tyreek Hill surpass two of those three totals? Does it matter if Carolina Panthers running back has another season with over 2000 yards from scrimmage?

Recommendation: Pass on this bet

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