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Will Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs regress this season?

By Lyle Graversen

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 20: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs gestures in the second half against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 20, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 20: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs gestures in the second half against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 20, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) /
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GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – DECEMBER 30: Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers warms up before a game against the Detroit Lions at Lambeau Field on December 30, 2018 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images)
GREEN BAY, WISCONSIN – DECEMBER 30: Aaron Rodgers #12 of the Green Bay Packers warms up before a game against the Detroit Lions at Lambeau Field on December 30, 2018 in Green Bay, Wisconsin. (Photo by Dylan Buell/Getty Images) /

Aaron Rodgers – Green Bay Packers – 2011

Aaron Rodgers is often viewed as the most physically talented quarterback in the NFL. Patrick Mahomes may already be pushing him for that title, but Rodgers has put together an impressive career. His most prolific season was in 2011 when he led the Packers to a 15-1 record and looked poised to bypass Peyton Manning and Tom Brady for the crown of best quarterback in the NFL. While Rodgers has still been a great quarterback since that year, I don’t know if he has reached the heights that many envisioned him hitting after that 2011 season. Should Rodgers serve as a warning sign to Mahomes fans to not set the bar too ridiculously high?

Here is what Aaron Rodgers and the Green Bay Packers did in 2011 and then the following season.

2011: 68.3% completions, 4,643 yards passing, 309.5 yards/game, 9.2 yards/attempt, 45 TDs, 6 INTs, 122.5 QB rating, 15-1 record, 0-1 playoff record (lost divisional round)

2012: 67.2% completions, 4,295 yards passing, 268.4 yards/game, 7.8 yards/attempt, 39 TDs, 8 INTs, 108.0 QB rating, 11-5 record, 1-1 playoff record (lost divisional round)

Once again we see a drop in statistics across the board, albeit a small one. Rodgers was still one of the best quarterbacks in the league in 2012, his numbers just weren’t quite as good. Instead of 2011 being the start of Rodgers dominating the NFL it was instead the peak (statistically) of what is still a great career. Aaron Rodgers is probably the quarterback on this list with the most similar skill set to Patrick Mahomes. The question now for Mahomes is can he continue to ascend or like Rodgers will he continue to come up just short of his historic break out season.

Next up is the most prolific single season in NFL history.

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