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Will Patrick Mahomes and the Kansas City Chiefs regress this season?

By Lyle Graversen

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 20: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs gestures in the second half against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 20, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - JANUARY 20: Patrick Mahomes #15 of the Kansas City Chiefs gestures in the second half against the New England Patriots during the AFC Championship Game at Arrowhead Stadium on January 20, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Ronald Martinez/Getty Images) /
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ATLANTA, GEORGIA – FEBRUARY 03: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots makes a pass against the Los Angeles Rams during Super Bowl LIII at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on February 03, 2019 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images)
ATLANTA, GEORGIA – FEBRUARY 03: Tom Brady #12 of the New England Patriots makes a pass against the Los Angeles Rams during Super Bowl LIII at Mercedes-Benz Stadium on February 03, 2019 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Maddie Meyer/Getty Images) /

Tom Brady – New England Patriots – 2007

I don’t think I need to spend any time here going through all Tom Brady’s career accomplishments. Unless you’ve been living under a rock you have to recognize him as the greatest of all time if for no other reason than his six Super Bowl wins. Much like Marino, Brady has had countless great seasons throughout his career but his 2007 season stands out as his most prolific. That having been said, Brady’s follow up to his 2007 season is a little harder to judge because Kansas City’s own Bernard Pollard broke his leg in the season opener the following year and Brady missed the remainder of the season. So for the sake of this comparison to how he followed up his 2007 season I opted to use his 2009 season. If you feel that skews the numbers I can respect that, but Brady’s 2007 season was too prolific to leave out of this discussion and his 2009 numbers are the best we have as a follow up.

So here is how Tom Brady and the Patriots did in 2007 and then his next full season.

2007: 68.9% completions, 4,806 yards, 300.4 yards/game, 8.3 yards/attempt, 50 TDs, 8 INTs, 117.2 QB rating, 16-0 record, 2-1 playoff record (lost in Super Bowl)

2009: 65.7% completions, 4,398 yards, 274.9 yards/game, 7.8 yards/attempt, 28 TDs, 13 INTs, 96.2 QB rating, 10-6 record, 0-1 playoff record (lost in Wild Card game)

Just like Marino we see statistical drops across the board. Brady’s numbers weren’t drastically lower other than touchdowns where he had 22 less than his 2007 season. The Patriots themselves lost six more regular season games and were one and done in the playoffs that season. Perhaps you can chalk it up to rust after missing a year to injury but even the greatest quarterback in NFL history saw a drop off in play after his most prolific season. The good news for Patriots fans is that despite never hitting that level of statistical production again, Brady did go on to win three more Super Bowls after that historic season.

Next up is the most prolific season in a very prolific career.

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