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Predicting Tyreek Hill’s final numbers for 2018

By Brandon Norris

CARSON, CA - SEPTEMBER 09: Wide receiver Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates a touchdown with wide receiver Chris Conley #17 after scoring to lead 38-20 in the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Chargers at StubHub Center on September 9, 2018 in Carson, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images)
CARSON, CA - SEPTEMBER 09: Wide receiver Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs celebrates a touchdown with wide receiver Chris Conley #17 after scoring to lead 38-20 in the fourth quarter against the Los Angeles Chargers at StubHub Center on September 9, 2018 in Carson, California. (Photo by Harry How/Getty Images) /
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After a monster Week 1, Tyreek Hill is set to put up some very impressive numbers for a 16-game season. Brandon Norris tries his hand at his totals.

Let’s have a little predictive fun.

Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver Tyreek Hill is far more than a gadget player though many still fail to see that around the NFL. Over the last two seasons, he has done nothing but improve his craft and, in the process, he has become one of the NFL’s premier wideout threats.

During Week 1 after taking a 91 yard punt return to the house, Hill went on to have a hell of a day. He posted 169 yards on only 7 receptions. He put up 2 receiving touchdowns along with a 24.1 yard reception average. If you wondering, that’s pretty good.

If we where to project those stats out this is what they would look like. Over 16 games at those numbers you’re looking at 112 receptions, 2,704 yards and 48 receiving touchdowns. The idea of this trend repeating every week for those kind of numbers is lunacy, yes. This is just stating the kind of impact a guy like Hill can have for an offense.

Hill has become a good route runner and is superior at tracking the ball. He’s also amazing in contested catch situations. His hands are about as reliable as it gets, and his speed is incomparable. Hill is just beginning his third year in the league and only his second as a starting wide receiver, so he isn’t even close to his ceiling.

If Hill isn’t being mentioned as a top 5 wide receiver at the absolute floor by the end of the season, then some analysts need to look for a new career. Just because he is faster than all doesn’t mean he hasn’t proved he can do the same thing the other top wide receivers can just faster.

With all this being said, here is a shot at predicting Hill’s stats in 2018. Unlike the unrealistic numbers mentioned earlier, Hill could definitely finish a 16-game season with something like 105 receptions, 137 targets, 14 touchdowns, 1,650 receiving yards, 15.71 yard reception average, and a 76.6 catch percentage.

Only 1 week of the NFL season is over, but exciting things are on the horizon. Remember this when the season is over. Let’s see just how close these predictions become.

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