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Chiefs picked to regress by PFF

By Matt Verderame

Jan 16, 2016; Foxborough, MA, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) reacts from the field against the New England Patriots during the second half in the AFC Divisional round playoff game at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots won 20-27. Mandatory Credit: Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports
Jan 16, 2016; Foxborough, MA, USA; Kansas City Chiefs quarterback Alex Smith (11) reacts from the field against the New England Patriots during the second half in the AFC Divisional round playoff game at Gillette Stadium. The Patriots won 20-27. Mandatory Credit: Stew Milne-USA TODAY Sports /
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Pro Football Focus thinks the Kansas City Chiefs will regress in 2016.

There are opinions all over the spectrum when it comes to the Chiefs in 2016. When I was at the NFL Draft, former running back Maurice Jones-Drew told me he views Kansas City as a favorite to win Super Bowl 51. Meanwhile, USA Today has the Chiefs going 7-9.

For its part, Pro Football Focus has released its projections of the AFC, and you won’t like them. Kansas City is picked to finish third in the AFC West behind the Oakland Raiders and Denver Broncos, finishing 9-7.

Oakland was picked to go 11-5 while Denver is pegged at 10-6. Oddly enough, all three are chosen to go to the playoffs. For the record, the San Diego Chargers are selected as a distant fourth place at 6-10.

Frankly, I would be stunned if the Chiefs win less than 11 games without a serious rash of injuries. The roster is about the same (trade Sean Smith for Mitch Schwartz), the schedule is easier and the injuries can’t be much worse than they were last year (fingers crossed) with guys like Jamaal Charles, Justin Houston, Ben Grubbs and Phillip Gaines missing huge chunks of time.

All in all, the fact this projection is viewed negatively shows how far the team has come. If the Chiefs had been picked to make the playoffs four years ago, we would have thrown a party.

Now? The playoffs are old hat. Win the Super Bowl.

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