Kansas City Chiefs ‘Pick ‘Em’ Against Seattle Seahawks

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Have an idea of what’s going to happen on Sunday at Arrowhead? Vegas doesn’t.

The Kansas City Chiefs are at home against the Seattle Seahawks and sports gambling site Bovada has this game as an early pick ’em.

Typically the home team is given three points at home so a pick ’em line means Vegas thinks the Seahawks would be a three-point favorite if the game were played on a neutral site. Basically Bovada is saying the Seahawks are a better team but because the game is being played at Arrowhead that makes this game a toss up.

Through nine weeks the Chiefs are 8-1 against the spread, although some Vegas sites say the Chiefs are 7-2 against the spread. Either way, the Chiefs have been a good team to bet on this season. At worst, the Chiefs are 7-1 against the spread since their confounding loss to the Tennessee Titans to start the season. When in doubt, bet on the Chiefs to cover.

Two things to consider about this game:

One, the Chiefs can put a serious strangle hold on a wild card spot with a win on Sunday. At 7-3 with two games forthcoming against the win-less Oakland Raiders on the schedule and tie-breakers over the Miami Dolphins and Buffalo Bills, the Chiefs would have to have a significant collapse in the final six weeks of the season to not make the playoffs.

Two, Chiefs fans know they can make a statement on Sunday. Seattle has been lauded the last few seasons as being the most difficult place to play in the NFL. Obviously, Chiefs fans take exception to such a claim.

The sound record is one thing, but with the opportunity to make the defending Super Bowl champions look silly in the ‘Loudest Outdoor Stadium in the World’ is something that may carry more weight. Add in the fans’ knowledge that this game could really solidify a playoff spot, the likelihood snow will be on the ground (it’s supposed to snow on Saturday), and KC’s history of showing up for big games, Arrowhead should be crazy.

Need one more reason to pick the Chiefs?

Russell Wilson has been a mess since week six against Dallas. In the Seahawks first four games of the season he had quarterback ratings of 110.9, 119.1, 99.9, and 127.3. Since then?

vs. Dallas: 47.6 (2.89 adjusted yards per attempt)

at St. Louis: 110.1 (9.81)

at Carolina: 77.5 (5.44)

vs. Oakland: 63.9 (5.11)

vs. New York Giants: 53.7 (4.82)

In that same span he’s thrown three touchdown passes and four interceptions, including three games (Dallas, Oakland, Giants) where he did not throw a touchdown pass.

In his last two games against Oakland and the Giants, he has competition percentages of 48.57 and 58.82.

For reference, Percy Harvin was traded the day before the St. Louis game.

Does this mean Russell Wilson sucks as a quarterback? No. But he’s certainly not coming into Arrowhead on fire. The Chiefs can win this game, and not just because they are at home.