It is the last regular season game of the year, and again Accuscore is projecting another close one. Having done 16 of these Accuscore posts, (whatever you think of Accuscore), it is rather good at “generally predicting the outcomes” of the Chiefs’ games. Accuscore was wrong the first couple of weeks when using last years’ stats, but when it started getting actual stats from this year, Accuscore safely predicted the Chiefs to “eek” by their opponents just about every week. Here is what it has to say about the Raiders this week:
"AccuScore is forecasting a close game with the Oakland Raiders winning 47% of simulations, and the Kansas City Chiefs 53% of simulations. In close games, turnover margin is especially important. The Oakland Raiders commit fewer turnovers in 44% of simulations and they go on to win 75% when they take care of the ball. The Kansas City Chiefs wins 76% of the simulations in which they commit fewer turnovers. Darren McFadden is averaging 70 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (26% chance) then he helps his team win 70%. Jamaal Charles is averaging 53 rushing yards per sim. If he can have a great game with better than average rushing yards and at least a 1 rushing TD (19% chance) then he helps his team win 76%. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KC -4"
So what say ye Addicts? I am actually surprised that Accuscore only has us at 53%.
By the way for those of you wondering why I have not posted an article in about a month, I apologize [to all three (3) of you (maybe)]. Although the Chiefs have had wonderful end to 2010, I have not. I plan on getting back to the site next week. I am so glad for all of us die hard Chiefs that we are going back to the Playoffs!