It is time once again for our weekly Accuscore predictions. For those of you unfamiliar with Accuscore, it is a computer program which simulates the game 10,000 times based upon season statistics and then predicts a winner. This week Accuscore is leaning towards Indy. Junk in junk out, right?
"The Indianapolis Colts are a solid favorite with a 73% chance to beat the Kansas City Chiefs. Joseph Addai is projected for 59 rushing yards and a 37% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 26% of simulations where Kansas City Chiefs wins, Matt Cassel averages 1.08 TD passes vs 0.57 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.77 TDs to 1.17 interceptions. Jamaal Charles averages 88 rushing yards and 0.72 rushing TDs when Kansas City Chiefs wins and 54 yards and 0.31 TDs in losses. The Indianapolis Colts has a 49% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 90% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is IND -9 — Over/Under line is 44"
So what say ye addicts? Accuscore has not had the Chiefs favored for any game this year. Why would this week be any different? How do you calculate momentum, swagger, and discipline?