Kansas City Chiefs’ Dwayne Bowe had his best season ever as an NFL player. He more than doubled his single season record for TDs in 2010 and broke the infamous 1000 yard receiving barrier for the second time in his young career. Which made me ponder the following question: what are the odds of Dwayne Bowe repeating his 2010 great statistical season? If you have followed football over the years, you know that the odds are not necessarily in his favor. The following is a list of current and past NFL wide receivers’ statistically best years followed by the next year for comparison:
Braylon Edwards:
Year 2007 Receptions 80 Yards 1,289 TDs 16
Year 2008 Receptions 55 Yards 873 TDs 3
Randy Moss:
Year 2007 Receptions 98 Yards 1,493 TDs 23
Year 2008 Receptions 69 Yards 1,008 TDs 11
More after the jump….
Jerry Rice:
Year 1987 Receptions 65 Yards 1,078 TDs 22
Yeas 1988 Receptions 64 Yards 1,092 TDs 9
Larry Fitzgerald:
Year 2009 Receptions 97 Yards 1,092 TDs 13
Year 2010 Receptions 90 Yards 1,137 TDs 6
Cris Carter:
Year 1995 Receptions 122 Yards 1,371 TDs 17
Year 1996 Receptions 96 Yards 1,163 TDs 10
Michael Irvin:
Year 1995 Receptions 111 Yards 1,603 TDs 10
Year 1996 Receptions 64 Yards 962 TDs 2
Anquan Boldin:
Year 2008 Receptions 89 Yards 1038 TDs 11
Year 2009 Receptions 85 Yards 1,024 TDs 4
Dwayne Bowe:
Year 2010 Receptions 72 Yards 1,162 TDs 15
Year 2011 Receptions ? Yards ? TDs ?
You can obviously see sometimes slight and sometimes drastic reductions in production after a star receiver has his statistically best season. There are many factors that go into such, all of which Dwayne Bowe will possibly face in 2011: new offenses, new offensive coordinators, double coverage, injuries, etc. What is also troubling is Dwayne’s tendency to absolutely disappear in games (1 catch in Game 1, 0 catches in Game 13, 1 catch in Game 14). I hate to be a downer, but unless the Chiefs get good veteran wide receiver to take off the heat from Dwayne Bowe he will have drastically reduced numbers next year. Any thoughts?