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Chiefs roster evaluation: Heavy investments at wide receiver work out

Scott Loring
Scott Loring

Arrowhead Addict

KANSAS CITY, MISSOURI - OCTOBER 27: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs after a catch against the Green Bay Packers during their NFL game at Arrowhead Stadium on October 27, 2019 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by Jamie Squire/Getty Images)

KANSAS CITY, MO – JANUARY 19: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs the ball into the end zone for a touchdown during the AFC Championship game against the Tennessee Titans at Arrowhead Stadium on January 19, 2020 in Kansas City, Missouri. The Chiefs defeated the Titans 35-24. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO – JANUARY 19: Tyreek Hill #10 of the Kansas City Chiefs runs the ball into the end zone for a touchdown during the AFC Championship game against the Tennessee Titans at Arrowhead Stadium on January 19, 2020 in Kansas City, Missouri. The Chiefs defeated the Titans 35-24. (Photo by Joe Robbins/Getty Images)

2019 was a challenging year for the Kansas City Chiefs’ wide receiver corps. But the group proved they were up for the task.

A lot could have gone wrong for the Kansas City Chiefs wide receiver group in 2019. The Chiefs were in good position with Tyreek Hill and Sammy Watkins set to return as starters. After losing third option Chris Conley in free agency, the plan was to allow Demarcus Robinson to step up into Conley’s vacancy. Then, just hours before the first night of the NFL Draft, the forecast turned from cruise control into horror, as the superstar Hill’s status was in flux after news of a possible domestic issue was brought to light.

No one knows for certain how that plot twist might have affected the team’s decisions, but the next day in Round 2, general manager Brett Veach pulled the trigger on a trade to move up five spots and select speedy Georgia WR Mecole Hardman.

Kansas City was suddenly thrust into a situation in which they could potentially have to replace their All Pro receiver with Hardman, a raw 21-year-old waterbug. While the former Bulldog was loaded with tools to become a playmaking star in a Chiefs uniform, the timeline was concerning. Especially with the team in win-now mode after coming up just short in the AFC Championship Game.

In the months after the Hill saga unfolded, new information came to light, and long story short, Hill was cleared to return. Suddenly the Chiefs were armed with Hill and Hardman to go along with Watkins and Robinson. By the way, it wouldn’t hurt to have this other guy freeing up space for them, a pretty good tight end by the name of Travis Kelce. (We’ll talk about him tomorrow).

After missing several games with injuries in 2018, Watkins had been a disappointment. As the summer days carried on, the expectation for the 26-year-old Watkins was that he would produce when healthy, but of course that came with the caveat of only being expected to be healthy for 10-12 games.

A few other names were being tossed around as potential breakout candidates in 2019:

Byron Pringle developed quite a fan following as a former Kansas State Wildcat. The 6’1” 203-lb. Pringle had missed all of 2018 with an injury, but fans were eager to see how he could fit into the group, as both a receiver and as a kick returner.

Marcus Kemp and Gehrig Dieter were two other familiar names with hopes of making the Chiefs’ roster in a reserve role. Each had made small contributions in 2018 and had their sights set on making the next step in their promising young careers.

A few undrafted rookies also were earning some chatter as dark horses to make the roster: Cody Thompson, Felton Davis, Jamal Custis, and a little while later in camp, a 6’6” 230-lb. behemoth named Joe Fortson. The Chiefs clearly had a full quiver of pass-catchers, and as the team hit the road for training camp,

KANSAS CITY, MO – JANUARY 19: Sammy Watkins #14 of the Kansas City Chiefs catches a 60-yard touchdown pass in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship game against the Tennessee Titans at Arrowhead Stadium on January 19, 2020 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)
KANSAS CITY, MO – JANUARY 19: Sammy Watkins #14 of the Kansas City Chiefs catches a 60-yard touchdown pass in the fourth quarter of the AFC Championship game against the Tennessee Titans at Arrowhead Stadium on January 19, 2020 in Kansas City, Missouri. (Photo by David Eulitt/Getty Images)

The Chiefs arrived in St. Joseph fully healthy and ready to go. Kansas City was expected to be one of the league’s premier offenses, and one of the many contributing factors to that was the overall team speed. Everywhere you looked, 40-yard dash times were being quoted. The nicknames were flying, the t-shirts were selling, and the outlook for the Chiefs WR group was to exceed even some of the greatest groups in league history. Comparisons to the Rams’ Greatest Show on Turf unit from 20 years ago were plentiful.

The team prepared to leave for its season opener in Jacksonville with Hill, Watkins, Robinson, Hardman and Pringle, with veteran receiver DeAnthony Thomas set to rejoin the team the following week after serving a one-game suspension.

The unfortunate truth was that not all of the receivers would be able to make the final roster. By the conclusion of the preseason, the Chiefs had released Thompson, Fortson and Custis, and put Dieter, Kemp and Davis on IR.

Thompson and Fortson would catch on with the Kansas City practice squad, though Thompson would later leave for other opportunities. Fortson stayed with the practice squad through the duration of the season and will be a part of the puzzle in 2020.

Late in the first quarter in Week 1, Hill caught a pass near the sideline at midfield and left for the locker room. Just days after signing a $54 million extension, the fourth-year pro suffered a gruesome shoulder injury in which his collarbone punctured his sternum. We would later learn that Hill’s injury would keep him out for the first quarter of the season.

But this would be just the first example of what became a frustrating motto that would describe the culture of the 2019 Kansas City Chiefs: Next man up.

Without Hill in the lineup, the Chiefs were without their primary deep threat. Losing their top wideout would cause some offenses to collapse under their own weight, but the Chiefs receivers pulled up their bootstraps and filled in the gaps.

In Jacksonville it was Watkins, who chipped in 9 catches for 198 yards and 3 touchdowns. The following week it was Robinson who stepped up his game and finished with a line of 6/172/2. In Week 3, Hardman had his coming out party with 97 yards on 2 catches, including an 83-yard catch and run for a touchdown in his career home opener against the Ravens.

In Week 5, Watkins left the game against the Colts almost immediately with an injury. It was Pringle who shined in this one, racking up 6 receptions for 103 yards and a remarkable 28-yard touchdown catch on a comebacker at the goal-line after Mahomes stretched the play.

But without both Hill and Watkins, the Chiefs offense was mostly constipated. That night became the first time a Mahomes-led team scored fewer than 26 points.

Hill would return the following week against the Texans, and it didn’t take long for him to make a splash. Less than five minutes into the game, Mahomes dropped back to pass on a 3rd-and-21 at the Texans 46-yard line. The Chiefs’ young signal caller saw a flag for a defensive penalty and took a shot deep to his trusty deep threat. Hill skied for the ball in double coverage and came down with it at the 2-yard line. He turned and powered into the endzone between three would-be tacklers, much to the delight of the Arrowhead crowd.

Hill continued to dominate even when Mahomes was knocked out with a knee injury in the middle of the season. Leading 20-6 in the third quarter in Denver, Hill easily slipped away from Broncos cornerback Chris Harris on a drag route before cutting upfield. Third string quarterback Matt Moore floated a perfect pass 20 yards downfield, and Hill took it the last 37 yards to paydirt.

Watkins returned in Week 8, and the Chiefs WR group was back to full strength. Hill again made the highlight reels in Week 9 with an absolutely dazzling 40-yard touchdown catch to open the scoring against the Vikings. Moore faked a handoff to running back Damien Williams before lofting another flawless pass at the pylon. Hill left his feet and corraled the pass for his fourth score of the season. His pivotal 40-yard grab in the 4th quarter led to kicker Harrison Butker‘s game-tying 54-yard field goal, and moments later Hill would make a clutch 13-yard reception on 3rd and 4 to set up Butker’s 44-yard game-winner with just three ticks on the clock.

Hardman showed flashes in limited snaps in 2019, averaging over 20 yards per reception. His lightning speed was on display in Week 10 at Tennessee when Mahomes leaped in the air while in the pocket on 3rd and 9, hitting his rookie receiver at midfield. Hardman saw a seam between two Titans defenders, turned on the afterburners and there was no catching him.

We would see another flash from Hardman in the Week 14 victory at New England, on a play curiously similar to the 3rd and 15 pass from the Super Bowl that we’ve all come to know as Wasp. Hardman caught a pass from Mahomes and took advantage of another poor angle from a defender who miscalculated Hardman’s acceleration. Hardman played in less than half the snaps in 2019, but is expected to have a much larger role in his second season. Had he had enough receptions to qualify, his 20.7 yards per catch would have led the NFL. The rookie amassed a line of 26/538/6 in 2019.

Robinson peaked early in the season, with a masterful performance in Oakland and one particularly astounding grab against the Ravens in Week 3 that may have earned him millions when the free agency period begins. But he finished with 32/449/4. For what it’s worth, as the fifth-leading pass catcher for the Chiefs, Robinson had more yards than any other team’s fifth-best receiver in the league in 2019.

Hill and Watkins, as expected, led the team in catches and yards. Neither had the type of season you would come to expect from them, but that is more because of missed time rather than poor play. Hill’s final line was 58/860/7 while Watkins accumulated 52/673/3.

For the second straight season, Watkins came on strong in the playoffs, racking up more yards (288) than Hill (213). Both were prime time performers for Kansas City in 2019 and were a huge part of what made the Chiefs the juggernaut that they are.

In the final regular-season tilt of the year, the Chiefs needed a win and some help from the Dolphins in order to secure a bye week in the playoffs. Late in the game, Hill was matched up with a linebacker on a critical 3rd down and hauled in a 47-yard gainer that helped seal that win. Without that play, the Chargers would have gotten the ball back down 3 points with just under three minutes on the game clock.

Despite missing several games each, the Chiefs receivers played an integral part in the team’s Super Bowl run. It’s easy to look at things now and think that they will always be this good. They won’t. Let’s take a look ahead to 2020 with the wide receiver group.

MIAMI, FLORIDA – FEBRUARY 02: Byron Pringle #13 of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts prior to Super Bowl LIV against the San Francisco 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium on February 02, 2020 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)
MIAMI, FLORIDA – FEBRUARY 02: Byron Pringle #13 of the Kansas City Chiefs reacts prior to Super Bowl LIV against the San Francisco 49ers at Hard Rock Stadium on February 02, 2020 in Miami, Florida. (Photo by Andy Lyons/Getty Images)

What we learned

Here’s what we learned about the future of the Chiefs’ WR corps: The names and numbers are going to be a little different, but the results should stay the same. Chiefs Kingdom has come to have very high expectations from the passing game, and rightfully so when you have the 2018 NFL MVP throwing the ball.

Hill will return as the unquestioned WR1 in 2020. He continues to display polish in his route-running, and with a little more work at bringing the ball in with his hands, Hill will remain in the discussion as one of the top four receivers in the NFL. He is arguably the most explosive player in the league, regardless of position, and as long as he is in the lineup, he makes everyone else’s job a little bit easier.

Watkins is not expected to return. He will have the highest cap number among any WR in the NFL in 2020, and while he is a good player, that number should be reserved for elite players. Watkins has stated that he would like to remain in Kansas City (and who could blame him?), and Veach has also indicated that he would like to find a way to arrange that. The problem is finding a place to meet at an agreement on what is appropriate salary. It’s not beyond the realm of possibility that the two can come together on a number, but it is not expected.

By cutting Watkins, the organization can save $14 million against the cap, and with other vital contract negotiations going on, Veach may need those dollars elsewhere. Yes, Watkins’ release would still cost $7 million in dead cap, but he can be replaced for less than the difference.

Robinson is also not expected to return. It’s not for lack of need in Kansas City; Robinson has served as quality depth for a few years now. It’s just the fact that it is highly likely that one or more out of 31 teams will be ready to offer Robinson a number that will not be anywhere near what the Chiefs can afford to offer him. Like a year ago when the team let Chris Conley go when offered a big contract, this is probably a situation where Robinson will get paid to start somewhere and the team will cordially wish him good luck and move on.

If Watkins and Robinson are not on the roster in 2020, that means Hill and Hardman are your primary targets, the problem there is that the team is missing their X-receiver in Watkins; a bigger target who can be counted on to move the sticks. Like Hill, Hardman thrives in a role where he can play off the line at the snap, often be in motion, and he won’t be able to do that if he’s not in the slot. So there are some snaps to be earned somewhere.

After those two, the team will also have Pringle, Fortson, Kemp, Davis and Dieter each vying for a bigger role as well. But that leaves us with some questions. Are those young prospects going to be sufficient for Veach and Reid, or will the team look to add another starter in free agency? Will they be able to avoid temptation during the draft, with what appears to be one of the deepest and most talented receiver crops in history? Or will they add yet another young weapon to replace Watkins? Time will tell.

One thing is certain. Whomever is in the huddle with Patrick Mahomes is going to get prime opportunities. It’s what they do with those opportunities that counts.

Scott Loring

Scott Loring

Scott has covered the Kansas City Chiefs for Arrowhead Addict since May of 2019. Scott is a numbers junkie and has been a staunch fan of the Chiefs ever since 1989, when Christian Okoye and Derrick Thomas came on the scene. A graduate of Shawnee Mission South, Scott now resides in central Missouri, where he is an educator at an elementary school.