2014 Kansas City Chiefs Mock Draft: Pre-Free Agency Edition

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Apr 26, 2013; New York, NY, USA; NFL commissioner Roger Goodell speaks before the second round of the 2013 NFL Draft at Radio City Music Hall. Mandatory Credit: Debby Wong-USA TODAY Sports

Apr 26, 2013; New York, NY, USA; NFL commissioner Roger Goodell speaks before the second round of the 2013 NFL Draft at Radio City Music Hall. Mandatory Credit: Debby Wong-USA TODAY Sports

With NFL free agency around the corner it is time to reset the Chiefs’ mock draft. Last time we did a pre-NFL Combine mock draft to get an idea of what the Chiefs were looking at with their six draft picks. With the combine done and the big board for FanSpeak’s draft simulator updated to reflect stock changes, there have been some changes to who is available and when.

We can safely expect for this board to change as teams fill needs through free agency so this is by no means a final draft. However, this mock could help give an indication of what holes the Chiefs are going to have to fill via free agency given what will likely be available to them in the draft.

Let’s get this thing started.

Round 1: Kansas City Chiefs
Trent Murphy
DE/OLB, Stanford

Ideally the Chiefs would trade down to add more picks. If they could trade down twice that’d be even better. Trying to figure out what the trade market in this draft is going to be like is difficult given the depth of the talent available but there could be a few teams who chose to jump up a few slots to land their “missing piece.” For the purposes of this mock we will assume a trade partner does not exist.

In this particular mock draft simulation all the non-wide receivers which have been mocked to the Chiefs were gone, including Ha’Sean Clinton-Dix, Ra’Shede Hageman, Calvin Pryor, and Eric Ebron. With “Plan A” wiped out, I went with the best available pass rusher. May be the best pass rusher available.

Murphy has the measurable things teams should be looking for as a pass rusher. At 6-5, 250 pounds with a 33 7/8 inch arms, he’s as big or bigger than Anthony Barr, Christian Jones, Kyle Van Noy, and C.J. Mosley. What may be a killer for him to some people is his 4.86 official 40 time at the combine. The lack of straight line speed may cause some to be wary of him.

However, Murphy could be the quickest pass rusher in the draft even with the “poor” 40 time.

TOP THREE-CONE DRILL TIMES AT THE NFL COMBINE (DL and LB)
 
PLAYERPOSITIONTIME
Tyler StarrLB6.64
Trent MurphyLB6.78
Anthony BarrLB6.82
Kony EalyDE6.83
Jordan TrippLB6.89
Ryan ShazierLB6.91
Kevin Pierre-LouisLB6.92
James MorrisLB6.94
Jackson JeffcoatDE6.97
Preston BrownLB6.98

Murphy had the best three-cone drill of all the top pass rusher prospects at the combine, a time faster than all but one of the running backs. In fact, his cone drill was even faster than Sammy Watkins. While this drill isn’t the only indicator of a top pass rusher, it is one of the key measurements that can predict future success. Again, it doesn’t guarantee success, but rarely will you find a successful pass rusher with cone drill time over 7.2 seconds. When you’re working with a time like Murphy’s then the ceiling grows.

Consider this list.

Notable NFL Pass Rushers
PLAYER3-CONE DRILL
Von Miller6.70
DeMarcus Ware 6.85
J.J. Watt6.88
Clay Matthews 6.90
Justin Houston6.95
Robert Quinn6.99
Chris Long7.02
Jared Allen7.11
Cameron Jordan7.12
Greg Hardy7.13

There are a bunch of things to consider here, including things like size and weight. Watt is moving 290 pounds incredibly fast, hence the reason he is so difficult to block. By no means am I suggesting Murphy is going to become Watt. However the drill helps indicate the potential Murphy has to become an excellent pass rusher. His quickness is a tool he has in his bag to work with. Add in his length and motor and there is reason to believe he can be a very good player for the Chiefs.

Murphy is known for being very solid with his technique and disciplined within the defense. Stanford moved him around a lot between defensive tackle, defensive end, and a stand-up pass rusher. A year to hone his skills behind Tamba Hali and focus on just being a 34 strong side outside linebacker would do him a lot of good. In the meantime he provides the pass rushing depth the Chiefs need and could become Hali’s replacement.

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Tags: Cornelius Lucas David Fales Dee Ford Dri Archer Jared Abbrederis Kansas City Chiefs Mock Draft Pierre Desir

  • berttheclock

    So, Ben, I see that you like going to the rodeo and watching steer wrestlers. Yes, Murphy does have the strength of one as he does wrestle steers. However, as to that speed you suggest, Starr is faster on blitzing and Starr will available in the lower rounds. Teams will look more at Murphy than Starr, if only due to Murphy playing at Stanford where he was surrounded by a great deal of talent than Starr, who played at South Dakota. Neither is a complete player at this time. Starr can be confused by both the read option and fakes, but, he can line up as an extra D-B, only to flash speed in blitzing. Murphy, on the other hand, appears to have more speed off the hand to the ground than standing up as a LB. But, he is a light for a DE. Rob Rang has compared Murphy with what he saw in Jared Allen prior to Allen’s draft. Rang saw a great deal of rawness with Allen, which, Allen overcame by sheer hard work in the NFL. Whether, Murphy can improve in the same fashion remains to be seen. One other point about Starr is something the Giant’s blog said about him. Low risk high reward if he makes it. Possibly, the same could be said about Murphy, as well. But, another comparison would be South Dakota versus Idaho State. Allen proved a top player could come from a small school. Starr might prove the same in time. Also, remember one other thing. Allen was picked more for his ability to be a long snapper than DE. However, one thing coaches have a hard time finding and that is speed. Starr won’t win 40s, but, his 3 cone was exceptional. Murphy’s was not too shabby, so, both of them might prove to be valuable low risk high reward selections. Both have similar builds and long arms.

  • Tristian

    Murphy will be a steal for sure and Abberderis is underrated for sure. He just makes plays either on special teams or reciever. Would love him as a pick for KC. But you failed to mention Abberderis’ concussion history. According to various teams he has had 3 or 4 concussions but according to him he has had 1. Gee wonder who I trust? I think he slips even farther into round 4. Like him alot but the concussion problems whether real or not has me worried he is Austin Collie 2.0

    • berttheclock

      He did own up to the one suffered against Penn State, by saying “Yea, a little bit”. But, the more serious one was against Oregon State and he had to sit out one game following that concussion. Several GMs have indicated they will take a closer look at his concussions. However, for a strong reason to make an attempt for him was his 10 catch performance against a top defender for “The” Ohio State team. Guys his size don’t make All Big Ten for nothing. Perhaps, his saying only one was due to that one game sit out, whereas, he considered the others to be mere dings. However, all of that said, it does bring the element of risk into play by selecting him.

  • Tony Parker

    Really like the moves and route running ability of Abberderis, plus he stays on his feet.
    Were the O-lines that bad or is Murphy that good?

    • berttheclock

      Depends where you rate Pac 12, 13, 14 and to the stars through expansion football. I love it when folks knock the league, but, look at the many stars from that conference who light up the NFL. Allen from Cal, for example. The various ones from Nike and even Stanford.

  • berttheclock

    Glad to see Desir added to your list. He has been mentioned by jimfromkcj. He looks as though he is about the same size and speed of Walt Aikens from Liberty and first year was at Illinois. However, he can use his hands far better that Aikens and Aikens is known for allowing receivers too much space on curls.

    BTW, Ben, is there any way you can find out which Pro Days are being followed by the Chiefs? Most Pro Days reports just put down various numbers of pro teams in attendance. The only one I’ve see where any one was named was the Tuesday Northwesters/Eastern Illinois Pro Day, where Jim Harbaugh appeared to be scouting Garropolo.. That makes more sense of Harbaugh stopping by KU the next day. However, were any of the Chiefs management in attendance at the various Pro Days? That might indicate any direction Dorsey is going to take.

    • Ben Nielsen

      I’ll look into the pro day thing.

  • Brian Dempsey

    I like it. GREAT analysis Ben. Good points about the 3-cone drill. Only Von Miller was faster amongst the veterans. There are times when you have to dismiss 40-times and simply draft a football player

    • berttheclock

      That is why I mentioned Tyler Starr who had the fastest 3 cone, but, was not a speedster in the 40. It represents more quick speed from a stop. Many of those top 40 speeds are not from the start, but, acceleration once they get moving. That quick speed from a stop is highly important for a blitz, as you well know.

  • Stan Colbert

    That Fanspeak draft is addictive!!! I notice the times I did it this week at the end Britt from Missouuri and Connor Shaw from South Carolina are still on the board. your thoughts?

    • Ben Nielsen

      It is addictive!

      I like both Britt and Shaw as prospects but I’m not sure if they fit the Chiefs.