James Lang-USA TODAY Sports

2013 NFL Draft: Branden Albert Trade Talks Tipping Chiefs' Hand

The 2013 NFL Draft is just days away and that means the rumors of what the Kansas City Chiefs are going to do with the No. 1 pick are beginning to heat up.

Here are just a few of the rumors and reports we’ve heard in recent days:

1. The Chiefs will absolutely select LT Luke Joeckel.

2. Some Chiefs position coaches prefer LT Eric Fisher to Joeckel.

3. The Chiefs are going to select DE Dion Jordon.

4. The Chiefs are “desperate” to trade out of the No. 1 pick.

5. The Chiefs have given the Miami Dolphins permission to speak with Branden Albert’s representatives.

6. Branden Albert and the Dolphins are now in contract talks.

7. The Chiefs are fascinated with QB Geno Smith. He reminds them of Donovan McNabb.

So what does this all mean?

During this time of year, it can be helpful for teams to put out as much conflicting information as possible.  The less opposing teams know about the Chiefs’ intentions, the better.

For example, let’s say the Philadelphia Eagles are in love with Dion Jordan. Perhaps Philly is convinced that the Chiefs are taking a Joeckel, the Jaguars are taking Fisher and that the Raiders are taking Geno Smith or Dee Milliner. That is good news for the Eagles because they can feel confident that Jordan will fall to them at No. 4.

Then, suddenly, a few reports start leaking out that the Chiefs are interested in Jordan. This could cause some doubt for the Eagles. At the same time, Philly has also likely seen the reports that the Chiefs very interested in trading back. So maybe, to guarantee they can get their man, the Eagles will be willing to call up the Chiefs and offer up their second-round pick to swap spots in the first round. The Eagles could never be sure if the Chiefs would have selected Jordan or not but if they want him bad enough, they might be willing to part with an extra pick to snag him.

Thus, the Chiefs benefit from putting out some misinformation.

Of course, the situation mentioned above is a simple example and tricking other teams into believing what you want them to believe isn’t necessarily easy.

During last year’s draft, however, the Minnesota Vikings were able to convince the Cleveland Browns to move up to select HB Trent Richardson. The Vikings were picking one slot ahead of Cleveland. Minnesota has Adrian Peterson (albeit he was coming off a serious injury) so the Browns probably weren’t worried that the Vikings were going to select Richardson themselves. What probably happened is that Minnesota convinced the Browns that another team was willing to trade to move ahead of Cleveland in order to land Richardson. The Browns had an abundance of draft picks acquired the previous year when they traded with the Falcons so Atlanta could acquire WR Julio Jones, so Cleveland pulled the trigger on the trade to ensure they got Richardson.

Since the Chiefs have the first pick, they seem to be trying to feign interest in all of the top four or five prospects, while also letting it be known that they are more than willing to move back. This way, KC is saying to the rest of the league “look, we don’t really want to pick here but if we do pick, we might take your guy so if you want him, come and get him.”

This strategy might work for the Chiefs if not for one fatal flaw in their plan.

Branden Albert.

The Chiefs have tipped their hand with the whole Branden Albert trade rumors thing and I am not sure why.

By cutting Eric Winston and dangling Albert, the Chiefs are broadcasting to the entire NFL that they are just a trade away from needing two starting tackles. Sure, the Chiefs might be trying to convince folks that they plan to start Donald Stephenson at one spot or even that Geoff Schwartz is in the mix but I don’t think anyone is buying that particular bag of magic beans.

The cutting of Winston and dangling of Albert is making everyone, from draft pundits to NFL GM’s, think that not only are the Chiefs planning to draft a tackle No. 1 overall, but that they have to.

It seems the Chiefs are more concerned with dealing Albert and ensuring they can get a second-round pick back after dealing their own to the San Francisco 40ers for Alex Smith, than they are with putting forth a believable smokescreen to the rest of the league in regards to their intentions with the No. 1 pick.

If Albert is traded to the Miami Dolphins before the Chiefs make their first selection then it is hard to see KC finding a trade partner. For one thing, the Chiefs would need to land one of the top three tackles to replace Albert and since Joeckel, Fisher and Lane Johnson are all projected to go in the top ten, that would severely limit how far back the Chiefs could move.

In fact, even with Albert still on the roster, the belief will be that the Chiefs are going tackle anyway. Albert is only on a one-year franchise contract and his relationship with the team has clearly soured somewhat this offseason.

At this point, if I am John Dorsey, I’m not trading back any farther than No. 6, currently occupied by the Cleveland Browns. A six, there are pretty good odds that Lane Johnson will still be on the board, thanks to the high ratings for players like Milliner, Jordan and the uncertainty over where QB Geno Smith will land.

At this point, the only way I could see the Chiefs not being forced to not select a tackle at No. 1 is if KC suddenly did a 180 and signed Branden Albert to a long-term contract but that appears to have as much of a chance of happening as Tyson Jackson leading the league in sacks this year.

None of us knows exactly what is going to happen Thursday night but if I were a betting man, I’d say Albert is finally dealt to Miami for a second-round pick and the Chiefs select either Luke Joeckel or Eric Fisher No. 1 overall.

But what do I know? The new regime has surprised me before. Maybe they’ll do it again.

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  • dominicscarlatti

    Maybe this is why we’ve heard “experts” opine that the Chiefs and Fins will wait until after the first round is completed to consummate and announce a BA trade?

    At this point, I would be surprised if any team worked a deal for our first overall pick.

  • Doug McD

    I believe they already have a trade partner in line for the 1-1 pick. Possibly even multiple offers. Waiting until Thursday will only make the value go up. We just have to wait and see who wants it the most.

  • Nate Milburn

    and Geno Smith will go to Oakland and be a thorn in KC’s neck for years to come…

    • berttheclock

      Do you really believe Reggie McKenzie is that stupid, especially, when, he needs far better defense?

      • KCMikeG

        Flip a coin over which is more stupid. Betting your entire year on an unproven QB who sat on the bench all last year and has only started two games or drafting a QB who could be your QBOTF, or not, while your defense circles the drain.

        • Jason Seibel

          This is the Raiders we’re talking about.

      • micah stephenson

        Why wud the raiders geting Geno b stupid? O let me guess, you think Matt Flynn is a franchise QB.

    • Jason Seibel

      If you say so…

    • micah stephenson

      Dont worry about Jason and Bert. They b hating on Geno.

  • Adam Schwartz

    I think this whole situation is crazy Albert should have a long term deal and we should be replacing Winston at 1, and being happy that Alex Smith is what we got with our 2nd rounder, tell me 1 QB at 33 who is better than Alex? That’s what I thought this is nuts

    • Jason Seibel

      The problem is Albert thinks he’s worth more than he is. All of yhe LTs in this year’s free agent class had that mindset.

      • micah stephenson

        Thats becus people are acting like LT is MORE important than QB.

        • dominicscarlatti

          You just implied that BA is so stupid that he would let the opinions of pundits and AA posters determine the amount of yearly salary he would accept in a free-agent deal. BA isn’t stupid, but someone else here clearly is, Micah…

          • Jason Seibel


          • micah stephenson

            Ha ha ha what? That wasnt even funny. You must riding Dominics dick!

          • micah stephenson

            Hey man. Quit wasting yo time trying to hate on a player. Albert cud careless wat you thought! Alberts agent is using Duane Browns contract he signed with the texans last yr as a starting point for his contract. If it was left up to u haters, ud want to pay him min wage.

          • micah stephenson

            And watch the dis respect with the name calling! Im not stupid. But im not gon stoop down to trying to personally insult you. If and when I did if I had to, you wud not like it.

        • Jason Seibel

          Nobody is acting like that Micah. But QB’s need to be worth the pick and NOBODY except you and your Team Geno followers think that Smith is worth more in the draft than Joeckel and Fisher.

          • micah stephenson

            Who said anything about Geno? Im simply saying LTs want alot of money becus people hav started acting like the LT is as important as QB. But from the way the OTs are geting paid the air has been let out that ballon. The QBs are geting paid. The OTs aint. Has nothing to do with Geno u Geno hater!

  • Jason Seibel

    This Revis trade could bode well for KC. That would give NYJ two first rounders to play with.

  • Tyler Alexander

    I know we don’t know what we think we know. I do know the draft guru’s are wrong more than they’re right and I know GM’s don’t care what they think. Take Tyson Jackson for example, he was a reach by all observers yet turned out to be the best pick in the top ten that year. We hope for good draft grades from guys that make more mistakes than any of us could afford at our jobs… just sayin.

  • dioxintribe

    If the Jets can get a first round pick for Revis, the Chiefs should get high second round pick for Albert or a combined deal to trade down and still get Joeckel, Fisher would be an ok second option. Now I don’t believe the Chiefs are “desperate” about anything (I’m sure their coaches “leaking” that they want Fisher is calculated – Reid wouldn’t put up with it otherwise.) They’ve created a lot of confusion for an otherwise thought “boring” draft. These are veterans at this game.

  • Chief Hokie

    I don’t think we’ll be able to trade out of the number one spot. There’s no superstar worth trading up for. If the Eagles want Dion Jordan and we take him then worst case scenario for the Eagles is that they have to settle for joeckel or Fisher – which covers a need for them and prevents them from having to sacrifice extra picks. The only way I could see us trading down is if some team were to fall in love with geno smith since he’s a top tier qb.

    • Jason Seibel

      The Jets…

  • Bigtexjayhawk

    Here we go. Will the Jets trade up to#1 to snag Geno?? The Chiefs havent tipped off anything. Sure they hv a need at LT but do hv Stephenson. Would love to trade back and grab 2 more picks in 1st and 2nd rd. competition for all jobs!! They will draft Tyler Wilson or Matt Scott

    • http://www.arrowheadaddict.com Patrick Allen

      I wondered that but the rumor is they are trying to trade back, not up.

  • yeahjc25

    thank you for continuing to cover the chiefs before the draft. Im sad at how few sites continue to put out new content. AA has really taken a step ahead with constant content

    • steve james

      I have actually been amazed at how much they put up this time of year. It sure keeps me in fan mode and fires me up for the season. Heck I even watched a couple of last years games again just to get my Chiefs fix. They still lost though:(

      • http://www.arrowheadaddict.com Patrick Allen

        Thanks guys. We have your back. We keep up this pace all year round so worry not!

  • yeahjc25

    its possible kc realized they stand no chance to get any team to move up, and felt it best to just be transparent
    save your lies and smokescreens and use them to get the player you want/need. like Rodgers falling to GB when they still had favre. he sat for years and years on that bench, and no one thought GB was going to take him, but they did, kc needs to have people think they know what they are doing, have that actually confirmed, then down the line, the chiefs pull a fast one