Kansas City Chiefs: The Tipping Point

A positive epidemic. It’s what Clark Hunt was hoping for. Chiefs ticket sales are up significantly. Why? Overall fan morale is climbing the charts.

In his book called, “The Tipping Point: How Little Things Can Make a Big Difference,” Malcolm Gladwell says,

The tipping point is that magic moment when an idea, trend, or social behavior crosses a threshold, tips, and spreads like wildfire… the moment of critical mass, the threshold, the boiling point.”

Sounds… and feels… a lot like what is transpiring at your local Arrowhead homestead.

When does a team turn… good? When can a fan say, wow, we just got better and now… we are a good team. A winning team.

Fans must be thinking this already… or off season ticket sales wouldn’t be sailing as they are (up 112%).

For the 2013 Kansas City Chiefs it could be the signing of Alex Smith. Could it have been signing two corners in free agency? Bringing in TE Anthony Fasano to pair with Tony Moeaki? Was it when Clark Hunt ushered Romeo Crennel out and Andy Reid in?

Who knows  for sure? However, it’s clear that fans have come to the point where they… believe.

The big question a lot a of Chiefs fans have right now is about the Chiefs draft and who they might pick. Is there anyone in this draft that could… put the Chiefs over the top… and make them a championship level competitive team?

It’s the time of year when all teams have their questions. No one is doubting that the Super Bowl Champion Ravens are having the same questions having lost hall of fame ILB Ray Lewis to retirement and future hall of fame safety Ed Reed to free agency all in one off season.

Every team is searching for the player who can get them over the tipping point.

  • I’m sure the Miami Dolphins believe they have gotten a lot better by adding speedy WR Mike Wallace to their receiving corp and Brent Grimes at corner. Ex-Atlanta Falcons CB Grimes says, “the Dolphins are building something great.”

  • The Cleveland Browns have acquired LB Paul Kruger and DT Desmond Bryant and you can bet that many fans there believe they have gotten over the hump.

  • Even recent Super Bowl runner-up San Francisco, has not only traded for sturdy WR Anquan Bolden but, added place kicker Phil Dawson. You can only imagine that 49er fans believe that these, not so little moves, will help them get back to the game’s biggest game.

  • In Seattle, the Seahawks are now considered early Super Bowl favorites by adding pass rushing talents of Cliff Avril and Michael Bennett to an already stellar defense. Anyone doubt that these players may have gotten them over the tipping point? At least that’s the perception.

The tipping point for the Chiefs? First, you have to understand, there are tipping points… and then there are tipping points.

Right now, the Chiefs are coming to the tipping point of, first, becoming a team with a winning record… then comes getting into the playoffs.

Once those goals are accomplished… they can begin to talk about competing for a Super Bowl tipping point… like the Seahawk fans, I’m sure, are discussing right now.

So, have the Chiefs had a tipping point this off season?

Yes, and… not yet.

The Tipping Point: The YESes

On the defensive side of the ball, the Chiefs have made enough improvements to say they’ve passed a tipping point. Now, they should be able to compete in any game and could end up with a top ten defense.

When CB Brandon Carr left in free agency last spring many believed Stanford Routt could be his perfect replacement. That didn’t work out so well.

Now, with both CB Dunta Robinson and CB Sean Smith coming in, the defensive backfield should be considered one of the strongest in the league.

Does the defense still need a better pass rush? Yes, but with better coverage, and more time to get to the QB because of that, Tamba Hali and Justin Houston may both end up with hallmark seasons. Especially in terms of sacks.

The run defense will be as stout, if not better because they’ve essentially swapped underachieving DE Glenn Dorsey for overachieving DE Mike DeVito, who is excellent against the run.

Having a better defensive backfield and another year of experience should help the Chiefs number one draft pick in 2012, DT Dontari Poe, who came on strong at the end of last season. The 6-5, 350 physical freak should come into his own this year and if he can give the Chiefs a little push in the pass rush… opposing QBs will be in real trouble on passing downs.

The Tipping Point: The NOT YETs

The ILB position will need to be addressed for the defense to take the last tipping point step. Many expect Reid and Dorsey to take an ILB in the draft.

On the offensive side of the ball coach Andy Reid and GM John Dorsey made an early move, before free agency started, and made a deal for San Francisco QB Alex Smith. Then, once free agency began, they signed back up QB Chase Daniels from New Orleans who once starred at Missouri. While this may not represent a tipping point… these moves have certainly brought the QB position to the brink of the tipping point as far as creating a winning team is concerned.

Drafting Geno Smith would put the Chiefs over the tipping point at the QB position. If not immediately, in the near future. In fact, Geno Smith’s upside could lead the Chiefs to a whole other tipping point: championship level competition as a signal caller. We’ve only ever had that in Kansas City… in the form of Montana and Dawson.

If the Chiefs choose not to draft Geno Smith, another backup QB will need to be addressed.

Running back Jamaal Charles has already taken the RB position over the tipping point — a few years ago — but the position is just an injury away from disintegrating in a flaming heap (see 2011). So, at some point this off season, Reid and Dorsey may want to address the backup RB issue. Running backs already on the roster… Shaun Draughn or Cyrus Gray… could be the answer but, neither has asserted themselves yet.

The addition of WR speedster Donnie Avery should help to open up lanes for Jamaal Charles to run because of Avery’s ability to stretch the field vertically. Reid’s shorts-quick-passing system with more routes for slot receivers, like Dexter McCluster or Devon Wylie, and RB’s out of the backfield, should help to stretch the field horizontally. No matter how the field gets stretched, there’s going to also be more room for WR Dwayne Bowe to do his after-the-catch-magic. The addition of Donnie Avery can be a tipping point for the whole offense… if he’s effective.

~ ~ ~

In Malcolm Gladwell’s book, he outlines The Law of a Few, a few critical components for this tipping point to take place. These include: the connectors, the mavens, and the salespeople. They all appear to be fully functioning for the Chiefs right now.

Malcolm says the connectors are people who have the, “…ability to span many different worlds is a function of something intrinsic to their personality, some combination of curiosity, self-confidence, sociability, and energy.” John Dorsey? Could be. His ability to relate directly to potential players has had them wanting to come to play for the Chiefs like in no other off season in memory. Dunta Robinson says, “Well, first things first, Dorsey and coach Reid, those guys, when I came in, they were a wonderful group of guys and they made me feel right at home.”

Malcolm says the mavens are, “…information specialists… people we rely upon to connect us with new information. They accumulate knowledge, especially about the marketplace, and know how to share it with others.” While the coaches the Chiefs have hired could already be a called a special group, hiring Brad Childress as the “Spread Game Analyst/Special Projects” coach should make it clear who the group of “mavens” are for the Chiefs. It’s clear that the Chiefs are leaving no stone unturned now that Dorsey and Reid are programming the Chiefs motherboard.

Malcolm says the salespeople are, “…are persuaders… charismatic people with powerful negotiation skills.” Both Andy Reid and Johns Dorsey may in fact possess these sales powers and the same can be said about the connectors.

Andy Reid may have sold the fan base on the Chiefs turning the corner more than anyone since Marty Schottenheimer. Like Schott, Reid comes to town with solid credentials lacking only that one big pelt on the wall. Many are believing he can get the job done.

I’m sold… or I should say… I’m in the process of being sold.

Yet, the job is clearly undone.

The tipping point… for what may happen with the whole team in 2013… can come down to what happens next for the offensive line.

Trading Branden Albert to gain more cap space appears to be a given. However, many have pointed out the futility in dumping one LT (Albert) and replacing him with another (Luke Joeckel, Eric Fisher, or a free agent).

Dealing with the LT position must be a priority, yes, yet, if you evaluated all of the positions along the offensive line, LT would be the position which needs addressing least of all. Once that position is settled, the interior must take precedence more than any other position group on the field for the Chiefs. Especially if the Chiefs hope to cross the tipping point — from playoff competitor — to championship contender.

If the Chiefs decide to draft a QB like Geno Smith first in the draft, while it may affect what can be done to fix the offensive line, it may provide a lift that can only measured by, or appreciated by, considering his impact on the tipping point scale. Malcolm says that rapid growth results because of “The Law of a Few” who exhibit some kind of exceptional behavior.

Exceptional behavior.

That kind of contribution doesn’t usually come from a LT but, when “the” high profile position such as QB excels, he offers that… exceptional behavior. Then, as Malcolm has stated, rapid growth is possible.

Drafting QB Geno Smith looks like it could offer that inspirational, rapid growth, movement… moment. Whatever Andy Reid and John Dorsey decide there, it’s clear they are covering all their bases.

With the draft yet to come, the opportunity for a significant “tipping point” is on the horizon. The Chiefs have been making a lot of moves this off season. The right ones? It appears so. Why? Because according to Malcolm’s tipping point theory, “… the paradox of the epidemic: that in order to create one contagious movement, you often have to create many small movements first.”

The small steps are being taken.

And I’m getting tipsy.

~~~

How about it Addicts, do you have any favorite “tipping point” moments this off season?

Topics: KC Chiefs

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  • elly violette

    I’m excited for the season to start like a lot of other KC fans. If I wasn’t out of the country I’d be there on opening day. The draft will be the big thing to me. One way or the other, they have to make the offensive line better. That’s the big issiue as far as I’m concerned. Or, it’s the tipping point as you would say.

    • micah stephenson

      Why is the line an Issue? We have Albert and Stephenson.

      • elly violette

        How long do you think Albert will be around? Then… the Chiefs will be minus their two starting tackles from last year… proabably our best linemen last year — and you really feel the need to ask that question?

        • micah stephenson

          Albert is still on the team as of now. He has not been traded. Last year they draft Stephenson to groom to replace albert just incase they lose him. So for now we hav 2 OTs. If we lose Albert next yr then we get another OT next yr. We wont hav a chance to get the best rookie QB next yr unless A.Smith bombs. We will have a chance to get a good olineman next yr no matter where we pick.

          • elly violette

            So… are you saying… keep Albert and put Stephensen in at right tackle? I think he can be good there… but how good is the question. Ever since Reid came to the Chiefs I thought he’s be re-doing almost the whole offensive line. Don’t you think that that’s the direction he’s headed? I do. Plus… someone has to be cleared from the Chiefs roster to make financial space for the rookies coming in from the draft. If Albert isn’t going… then who do you suggest the Chiefs move to get enough money so they can sign their drafted rookies? That’s why I think Albert will still be moved before the draft.

          • micah stephenson

            Yea. You start Albert and Stephenson at LT/RT. GENO @ QB. JC at RB. Bowe is yo #1 wr. Mcluster and Avery the between the 20s wr. Baldwin & Fasano comes on inside the 20s. Its not perfect but its a good start.

          • KCMikeG

            We could also sign FA Andre Smith to play RT and keep Albert as he will cost less on a long term contract than the franchise tag after he finds out he can’t get the big payday on the free market. Stephenson has another year to develop or is our insurance policy at either OT spot. There are some very good OL prospects in the 3rd & 4th round too.

  • Chief Hokie

    The Cleveland Browns – or any Cleveland team for that matter – will never “get over the hump.” They are and forever will be a doomed city.

    • ladner morse

      You better not say that in front of Paddy… he’ll be forever wounded. Of course, I guess that comes with the territory if you’re a Cleveland fan.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=100005102554690 Jason Taylor

    Drafting Geno Smith could offer that moment?

    Because an unknown, unproven quarterback who displayed flashes of brilliance against weak opponents and just regular skills against great opponents would cause the Chiefs fan base to suddenly think Superbowl.

    I just have one thing to say about Geno Smith… Maybe two…

    Jamarcus Russel…. Vince Young.

    The tipping point at quarterback has already happened. We have a quarterback, period. It’s time to stop hoping we draft Geno Smith because if we do draft him… We wasted our 1st round pick on a quarterback who won’t play and punched our current quarterback right in the face. We also then wasted our second round draft pick.

    Lets hope we lock down Albert. Renegotiate his contract, free up space and take the best defensive player on the board.

    Alex Smith looked like a franchise quarterback to a franchise with a monster defense. Lets create the monster and make people fear the Chiefs defense. The offense has Charles… Bowe… And Smith… With good talent around those three our offense is fine.

    • ladner morse

      There are a lot of fans wanting Geno Smith… and there are likely a number of Chiefs players wanting him too… so drafting him would offer a boost to all of them. It’s about perception. I’m not saying Geno Smith is a lock to succeed. I’m saying that drafting him could provide that jump in emotion that people need from time to time… to turn a corner. To see their team as a winner — instead of a team that’s just “trying” to win.

      That’s what the “Tipping Point” is all about.

      • elly violette

        Okay.. I see what you’e saying about the tipping point. But, what abuot the opposite? I thought it was not a great move to get rid of RT Eric Winston.. .so is there a negative tipping effect? Times when fans would say… my team just got worse.

      • steve james

        And how much of a tipping point would it be to wiff on a number one pick? Every body says how valuable the QB position is and how its value at number one is in effect greater than other positions. That makes wiffing on a number one who is also the QB a crushing blow and huge tipping point in the other direction. R&D obviously think they are just a few pieces from competing in the division and on to bigger better things. With this in mind how much damage do you do when you take a number one and bench him to develop? How does that make an immediate impact and get you over the hump? The scenario for Geno to end up a starter is a bad one all around for the Chiefs as you know he would sit until Alex got hurt or just stunk. In that scenario I would have to wonder if taking Luke # 1 might have avoided either scenario and got us past the tipping point. I know a lot of people think Geno is the best thing for the Chiefs. I am not saying I wouldn’t be excited to draft a QB #1. I just think it is not him and not now.

        • ladner morse

          I think there are a couple of tipping point impacts. One is like water in a jar… at some point you have enough water to fill the need. But, the other kind of tipping point… like we can experience here… comes in a moment… it’s an instantaneous experience. I heard that Branden Albert wants the Chiefs to draft Geno Smith… if that’s true.. and you understand player alliances on teams… you also understand the his long time teammates want this for him too. Of course it’s understandable… he DOESN’T want Joeckel or Fisher… because he doesn’t want to be replaced. But, if that moment comes on draft day and teh Chiefs do select Geno — there’s a whole group already within the team make-up who will cheer and support that decision. THAT will represent a “tipping point”… from an emotional point of view. It’s not always about filling the jar with more water til it’s full. It’s about inspirational moments.

      • elly violette

        I get the tipping point and all that……. but, I don’t really get it when fans say they don’t want Geno Smith. You make a good point about him giving the Chiefs a big lift…. ike a tipping point moment……. but I don’t think that’s the reason some fans don’t like him. Why do you think that there is a group of fans who don’t like him???? I don’t get it.

    • Chris Tarrants

      So if Geno goes to another team and tears it up and gets them a ring, and Alex gets us a handful of winning seasons but nothing more then what? Then draft a franchise QB? No because we will be too low on the draft board. Drafting him is the smartest thing we could do, if it turns out that he can be used a killer trade bait or if he is the QB of the future for kc either way he needs to be our first pick

      • ladner morse

        Jason… do you hear the passion that Chris has for Geno Smith. If the Chiefs draft Geno… they will be tapping all that passion from a fan base… and I beleive from others on the team… who will raise their own level of effort. For fans.. it will be as simple as buying season tickets or making sure they watch more games.. or even following the Chiefs more on the news. It’s not about if Geno fails… it’s about the emotional lift… that come s from taking the odds on favorite of people’s hearts.

        Geno may indeed not be the BPA… but.. his abilities as a QB coupled with the desire peolpe have for the Chiefs to draft a QB who “could be” a franchise QB… is all that needed right now to produce that tipping point.

        • Doug McD

          I think the tipping point has already happened. Ticket sales seem to be way up, like 125% if I remember it right. The fans are with this team and coaching staff now. Going with Geno would in my opinion only confuse and hold back the team in frustration when things aren’t what they expect. Hopefully the house doesn’t stay divided – only winning will solve the dilemma. With winning either option will work.

          Great read, keep it coming!

          • micah stephenson

            How wud going with GENO SMITH confuse the team and hold them back? You get 2 good QBs, let them duke it out, the best man starts, the other plays back up. nothing confusing about it at all.

        • Chris Tarrants

          Exactly! I really hate to even bring this up but 4 years ago Denver was a miserable place to play, Mcdaniels sucked the life out of that franchise and then they brought in Tim Tebow who sent a surge and s charge of electricity to the team that couldn’t be measured in just wins or jersey sales but it got the fan base excited again

          • micah stephenson

            Id love it if GENO SMITH brought the national media attention Tebow brought to the broncos. Instead of P.Manning, ESPN can lead off each day with the Chiefs news.

          • dominicscarlatti

            It also split the fanbase, squad and organization. Elway couldn’t wait to ditch Tebow at the end of the season, and that was a smart, if obvious, decision.

        • dominicscarlatti

          Didn’t we already make the fan base (and players) deliriously happy by hiring Romeo Crennel before last season? Making critical personnel decisions based on emotional or psychological factors is a horribly flawed methodology. Isn’t that the lesson we learned from our Scott Pioli nightmare? Look, I like Geno, and would be quite happy to see us draft him with the #1 pick, but if we do so, it should be because Dorsey and Reid see him as the best pick, based on quantitative values and assessments.

          • micah stephenson

            Us wanting GENO is based off of his game play, Video, stats, & personality. And if you really wud b happy if we drafted GENO, then act like it. I sense more hate for Geno than love when it comes to wat you say.

          • dominicscarlatti

            Don’t be so annoying. I like Geno, think he’s fine for the #1 pick, and have said so, time and again. If you cannot accept that at face value, you’re manifesting your own issues, not mine.

    • David Fritch

      Jamarcus Russel and Vince Young are my thoughts too. It might be unfair to stereotype Geno with those two, but I can’t help the feeling.

      • micah stephenson

        WTF? Why Russel or Young? Why not at least R.Wilson or C.Kopernick?

        • David Fritch

          To be honest however, I’m a terrible judge of QB talent (I thought Croyle and Quinn could be good if given a chance) so maybe Geno will be a pro-bowler because I’m worried about him.

          I do know we paid a very high price for Smith and don’t feel KC would have given up so much if they planned on just drafting a QB with their fist pick.

          • Specner

            think of it like this….when a QB mainly a rookie QB is with complete crap teams they often don’t get better (especially O-Line)

            David Carr..was sacked over 70 times in one year his sophomore year in the NFL….he was sacked the most over his time span as the starting QB in houston by far and away….that line was awful…he got scared and mentally he lost it for the game of the NFL…he got to jumpy

            Quinn….never had any such thing as a receiving core or running backs behind him in Cleveland…he never had a chance to get better because he never had the time or the players around him to allow him to relax and let the game come to him…he learned how to force it…and you can’t force things in the NFL…

            Croyle before even coming into the NFL was scared mentally….once he got hit u just winced….he didn’t have the body for it…he knew it…we all knew it when he got hit

            point being…every QB drafted in the 1st rnd easily has the talent to be stars…its all the mental game and the surrounding pieces (Especially the 1st 2 years of starting IMO)…the biggest thing for the Chiefs and getting Geno is we have the surrounding pieces…we have a good Line that is underrated IMO…he has patience and doesn’t look like a Young or Russel, or Vick mentally (not preparing for NFL games or taking the game seriously)…we look like a perfect landing spot for a young rookie….either you can learn and sit behind Smith for a yr or 2….or even 3, and we have the pieces where you can come in…start and be able to learn the game and let it come to you

          • David Fritch

            You make a good point

        • elly violette

          Why not Sam Bradford or Matt Ryan. Do you really think Geno Smith has less talent than these two coming into the league?

          • micah stephenson

            Me? Confused face. Think that? Aw knaw! I think Geno is on a A.Luck/P.Manning level. If I was coach I wud draft Geno and expect to score 40-50 pts a game. Id expect to score on every drive with Geno at the helm once I got my wrs and oline right.

          • elly violette

            40 to 50 a game??? I like the idea of that… just not sure Geno is THAT good. :)

          • micah stephenson

            Hey becus of WVs bad defense he is use to having to score on most drives. Its not a pressure sit to him, its normal. Id keep him having that mentality. Hey kid we needed you to score on every drive. Jus hand it off to Charles. When we pass just get it to the wrs and let them work. The line is gone give u time but if it breaks down jus do wat you do. Buy some time to get the pass off or run for the 1st.

          • elly violette

            Wow… I really do love Geno… and the idea of Geno and JC in the same backfield drives me nutty with visions of TD paradise games on end. Please God… let there be Geno in red and gold.

          • micah stephenson

            Mayby not. But you aim for the sky. The worst thing that cud happed is you still end up really high. If you suceed well thats what we do. Id expect to win. I want 40-50. If I only get 21-35 well hopefully my defense kept me in it.

          • elly violette

            You know our defense is going to be much better this year …. because they will spend a lot less time on the field… becasue the offense will be better………. PLUS……. they won’t be playing from behind so much…… hopefully.

          • steve james

            I hope so you can tell they were really getting gassed by the end of the year. Being able to be healthy at the end of the year is a key thing in the playoffs which is where I would love to go.

          • micah stephenson

            Yea. Thats good.

          • dominicscarlatti

            Sorry, Micah, but Luck is NOT on Manning’s level, at least not yet.

          • Darkwolf1414

            I think he was saying that Geno and Luck are/were on the same level as Peyton when he came out of college.

          • micah stephenson

            Yet! But at least you see the potential.

          • dominicscarlatti

            Yes, I agree completely with you about that.

      • ladner morse

        Yes… not a good stereotype to perpetuate. If you have time… look up information about the type of person Geno Smith is… including his positive relationship with his mother.

      • Darkwolf1414

        You’re right, it is unfair to stereotype him like that. He doesn’t have a playing style that’s anywhere close to those two. TOTALLY different type of QB. Not to mention the fact that he is a hard worker and Jamarcus and VY were not.

    • micah stephenson

      Every single QB in the history of football is “unproven” on the NFL level untill he gets drafted and given a chance. Cant use unproven as an excuse not to draft a player. Every player in the draft is unproven for right now.

    • micah stephenson

      I only have one thing to say about GENO SMITH…mayby 2…Russel Wilson…. Colin Kopernick.

    • micah stephenson

      Do you think Sea cares about Matt Flyn being slaped in the face by drafting R.Wilson? Do you think the 49s care about A.Smith getting slapped in the face by drafting C.Kopernick? Do you think the Chiefs, Jags, Raiders, Eagles, Jets, Bills, Cardinals, Browns, care if they QB gets slapped in the face by drafting GENO SMITH?

    • micah stephenson

      How is using your 1st and 2nd rd pick on going from having no QBs and being in the worst QB situation in the nfl to having 2 QBs and being in a really really good situation at QB wasting picks?

    • elly violette

      Jason… are you saying that you think Geno Smith will fail like… JaMarcus Russel and Vince Young….. for what reason??? Because they are “black” like Geno? Because I see no other possible correations between any of them. So, what are you really saying?

      • steve james

        You are looking for things I guess. I didn’t get that at all from his post.

        • elly violette

          It’s hard to digest other comments people make when they make obviously socailly inappropriate comments first.

        • Darkwolf1414

          I don’t think they are looking for things at all. Perhaps that is not what Jason meant. However, notice he DID list 2 QBs, who failed in the NFL and are in NO WAY anything like Geno Smith. Other than the fact that they are all black. Their skin color is their only common characteristic. They don’t even play the QB position in similar fashions. Much of VY’s and JaMarcus’ failures stemmed from not wanting to work hard. They figured that their physical gifts would be enough to make them succeed in the NFL. Ryan Leaf was the same way. By all accounts, Geno Smith knows he needs to put in the work and he is already a “film rat”. In mentality, toward the game, Geno Smith is more of an RG3 or Peyton Manning. He not only knows that he needs to do the work to succeed but he also has the desire to do that work.

      • micah stephenson

        I didnt want to say it but I was just wondering why when its A.Luck its he is the next P.Manning but when its Cam Newtown, RG3 or Geno its “its gon take some time”? I promise I was just wondering how would the people who dont like Geno feel if he was white? I wonder if all of a sudden they wud b like “OMG did you see his arm” “OMG did u see how he can scramble when needed” “GENO cud b the next A.Rogers” but instead of A.Rogers he gets J.Russel comparisons. Why?

        • elly violette

          Nail on the head. Thank you for everything you just said! Bingo. Becasue really… Geno reminds me a whole lot more of Aaron Rodgers than JaMarcus Russel.

          • micah stephenson

            Yea. I think if Geno was white, you would never eva hear him compared to J.Russel. Im not saying the same people wud think he is good but comparing him to J.Russel is ludacris.

          • elly violette

            Couldn’t agree more!!!!!!!!!!

        • dominicscarlatti

          Geno and Jamarcus Russell are competely dissimilar. Geno has good speed and can scramble effectively, but he’s not a running QB, as he has the natural instincts of a pocket passer, which is one of many reasons I like him as a prospect. Unfortunately, many people categorize others based first on race or ethnicity, as though there were some kind of predictive value in that…!!

  • elly violette

    I want to see if Donnie Avery & Dwayne Bowe will have less drops this season with Alex Smith, who is a an accurate passer, throwing them the ball. If they have less drops…….. they could be the biggest positive for the Chiefs offense.

    • micah stephenson

      Wat do dropped passes that bounce right off the wrs hands haft to do with the QB? It aint like Cassel and now Smith throw so hard that the wrs cant handle it.

      • dominicscarlatti

        Cassel never delivered the ball where it could be easily caught. Behind, above, in front, at the knees (or ankles), but never in the numbers or leading a receiver on a slant, etc. properly. That was obviously a significant factor in the problems with drops by our receivers, and has to factored into consideration. Then again, you sat here on AA talking up Cassel as though he was Pro Bowl material up to the bitter end, Micah. Your credibility re Matt Cassel is ZILCH.

        • Darkwolf1414

          Amen to your comment about Cassel’s lack of accuracy producing drops. As for the last part, I can’t comment.

        • micah stephenson

          How much better can you pass a ball that bounces off the wrs hands? Wat more cud Cassel do besides walk out there and hand the ball to the wr?

        • micah stephenson

          Matt Cassel did make the probowl. Thats wit one rb and one wr on the team. A LOOOOOOOT of people got to think you good to make the pro bowl. Cassel was a good QB. Was! Before he got shiped to the 4 win Chiefs team with no o line and only 1 decent wr. Before he was ruined by having 15,000 different o cordinators. Before he had an offensively clueless Romeo C in charge? Cassel was decent but his career was run into the ground here. I liked Cassel more than Haurd, Thigpen, & Croyle but not more than Luck, RG3, Tannehill, Foyles, P.Manning, Orton,

          • dominicscarlatti

            Cassel is a dog, but you’re quite correct that the last regime did him (and other Chiefs QB’s) no favors with the personnel they asked him to lead.

          • elly violette

            Are you talking about Barry Richardson… or some one else?

  • jbyrd

    Well written article sir! Keep up the good work. You’ve just added a new subscriber.

    • elly violette

      Yea… I enjoy his articles too. Have been following him for awhile now.

  • Chris Tarrants

    There is one tipping point that you forgot to mention, our special teams play should be top notch thanks to Reid for bringing in Chicagos guru. Chicago had won several games with special teams, we don’t even have to score to make them successful because if they fear the fact that we can score on every ST play then they will play us safe which will net us even better field position more times than not

    • ladner morse

      Not to mention the tipping point of them signing Colquitt to the highest contract in in NFL history for a punter. I agree completely. Our special teams is going to be just that — special.

  • micah stephenson

    I remember last yr, 2 months before the draft I wud mock RG3 to us at 12. I wud get blasted. “aw man RG3 played fo Baylor” “RG3 dont play under center” “RG3 ran up his stats with screen passes” whaaa whaaa whaaa “RG3 had a bad bowl game” “RG3 played weak competition” and on and on. By the time the draft arived, Washington had traded up for him and he was the rave. Same thing this yr. “Aw man Geno played against the big 12″ “Geno’s team lost some games” “Geno got mad about losing and pouted about it on the sidelines instead of having that stupid Herm Edwards we are down by 30 in the 4th QT but everything is gonna b ok look on his face” “Geno didnt hav a good Bowl game” & same as last yr as the draft gets closer GENO SMITH is starting to look better and better. I hope we dont pass him up.

  • steve james

    Well Buffalo just picked up Kolb. So much for them trading up for Geno…..

    • micah stephenson

      Why do people say that? Just cus you pick up Kolb, Flynn, T.Jackson, Fitzpatrick, or Palmer does not mean you are set at QB. Those guys suck! You still need GENO before anything else if those are yo QBs.

      • steve james

        They are paying him almost sure starter money. Not saying they wouldn’t draft him if he fell to them but I think that probably means they wont trade up to number one with us for him.

        • micah stephenson

          Tavaris Jackson and Kevin Kolb??? Sounds like buff is getting desperate and needs to trade up for Geno but know the Chiefs are getting him.

          • ladner morse

            I agree… and those guys, TavJack and KevKo are known — not so good — quantities. Geno is an unknown quantity with a much better pedigree than any of them… which also means he can be a guy you can train to play the way you want before he’s learned any bad NFL habits.

  • Danny W

    Rainbows and butterflies today aye ol boy. I love the Chiefs as much as anyone but I don’t know about any kind of tipping points yet.

    • Darkwolf1414

      I’m waiting to see who they draft to get excited at all. 1) If they draft a freaking LT then I’m going to be extremely disappointed. 2) If the only QBs we get out of the offseason are A.Smith and Chase Daniel then Daniel better be a badass cause he’s gonna be starting a few games. I’m also reserving judgement until I see the product on the field. Winning the offseason doesn’t win you any games. I am usually an optimist, albeit cautious, when it comes to the Chiefs. I want to believe that Dorsey and Reid are making the right moves. I wanted to believe that Haley and Pioli were making the right moves, too. I’m not jumping off the Chiefs bandwagon. I don’t think that would ever be a possibility. I’m just taking a wait and see approach.

      • ladner morse

        Actually, I think many people are taking a wait and see attitude too but, ask yourself, are you more excited about the team now than in December? Someone must be more excited because ticket sales are up so high. And that growing excitement? At some point you got more excited than before…….. THAT was your tipping point.

        • Darkwolf1414

          I was REALLY excited when they resigned Bowe and Colquitt. Those signings were huge. Franchising Albert was huge, as well. Since then they have been seesawing me back and forth.
          At this point, I’ll be excited if they draft Geno. That will be MY big tipping point. If they draft a LT, quite honestly, I’ll be as livid as when Pioli drafted a 5 technique with the 3rd overall pick in 2009. I like Tyson Jackson. He’s good against the run and I don’t expect him to get a lot of sacks because he’s a 3-4 DE. However, was he worth the 3rd overall pick. No.
          I could stand them taking a stud defender at #1 but I just think the Geno Smith pick has the possibility to be a once in a lifetime pick. He can make the throws, he’s perfect for a West Coast offense team, he wants to work his butt off to succeed, etc, etc. If they pick him and he fails then at least they took the shot. I can live with that. It’s no longer like it was under the old CBA where the #1 pick QB was going to cost you tons of money and you’re screwed if he fails. It’s a much more friendly, fail and move on system now.

          I know I’m preaching to the choir making these statements to you, Ladner. However, I’m just stating how I feel personally.
          It was a very good article. There must be more people in KC who think Alex Smith is a great QB than here in Cali. They are seriously laughing at us over here. Really, off season ticket sales are up 112%!? I’m contemplating canceling my NFL Sunday Ticket if they don’t get a QB other than Alex Smith. Chase Daniel is an unknown commodity so I have no thoughts on him; other than he looked really good in the preseason. I know Alex is the starter but they’re going to need 3 QBs this year anyway. I can listen to Mitch and Len on the internet for free, while I work, but to watch the Chiefs have another “almost” season for $360 is silly to me.
          Just for people who want to jump on me for that statement. . .I will always love the Chiefs and I will set time aside for the games. I’ll just do it in a less expensive way. That’s my prerogative if I don’t agree with what they do. Yeah, yeah, Reid and Dorsey know better than I do but they don’t control my wallet.

      • Danny W

        I’m with you only I want a left tackle because we created a need at the right tackle position. I think Alex Smith is going to need a beast of an O line to do anything because he does hold onto the ball longer than most to avoid costly mistakes. He takes more sacks but his completion percentage is getting better every year.

    • ladner morse

      The tipping point is partly an emotional experience — you either feel more excited now than you did three months ago — or not. Well, do you?

      And is you do… when did that happen.

      Ticket sales would tell me a boat load of people in KC are having that experience… and I thought I’d heard you say as much before this Danny.

      • Danny W

        I’m optimistic about this coming up year but I’m still not confident. The offensive line is where my tipping point teeters as of right now. We beef up the line specifically right tackle of course and I’m as happy as a lark. I will agree 100% that the masses have tipped. The ticket sales prove that and Clark Hunt deserves it. He did exactly what he was supposed to do other than possibly demand that we once and for all try and draft and home grow our very own QB for the first time in eons. I also want you to know I think your doing an excellent job coming up with new material each week in what is considered some of the slower points of the entire year. Now and June seems to be just a terrible drought.

  • chri herring

    I’m shock!!! Another artical with a writer who’s stupid enough to think Geno Smith is a (champions type QB). Man u writers and fans who believe G Smith is a top signal caller really need to find a new hobby. Forreal is sickening how u believe the dual threat qb who makes stupid decisions with the football will turn the chiefs around. QBs that run the ball nevee make it and i know what u guys are thinking, Kap did it right? Trust me when i say this Chiefs fans. Your coaching staff made a brilliant movw with Alex and QBs like Kap and Geno will fall to BELOW AVERAGE QBs because this is the NFL and that college offense that my beloved 49ers found success with this year will be shut down by these great defensive minded coachs so chiefs fans should be super siked to have Alex. Enjoy the PLAYOFFS but the 49ers won’t be there. Watch and see what I’m talking about. You wait and see.

    • micah stephenson

      How do completing about 70% of yo passes & have a 4/1 td/int ratio b considered to make stupid decisions? QBs who can run never make it? Yea It didnt work fo A.Rogers or Kopernick(who was 1 play or holding call away from wining a superbowl) did it? And while defenses are learning to stop the read option, those good offensive minded coaches will b working on something new for the d to learn to stop next yr.

      • Darkwolf1414

        Not to mention that Geno isn’t the kind of QB you strictly run the read option with.

    • Darkwolf1414

      Why do people like you assume because the dude is black that he’s a running QB? Watch some film on the guy for godsake! He’s NOT a running QB AND he doesn’t make dumb decisions with the ball, as is shown by his TD/INT ratio, as my pal, Leno Smithcastle, mentioned. RIFREAKINDICULOUS!

      • ladner morse

        Plus… Geno makes all the throws — the hard crossing route passes… the soft touch passes gently lofted to RBs out of the backfield… the long accurate passes….. the hard and quick throws to the sidelines. Why can’t people see it.

        People who have any doubts about Geno Smith need to re-watch Lyle Graversen’s video:

        http://arrowheadaddict.com/2013/01/14/video-geno-smith-is-worthy-of-the-1-pick/

        • Darkwolf1414

          No doubt!

        • elly violette

          What Merrill Hodge says about Geno is the most critical I have seen anyone be. But when I watch Lyle’s video, I don’t know how anyone can even say the things Hodge says.

    • ladner morse

      Wow… you’re calling Geno Smith a running QB. He had just over 300 rushing in a 4 year career — 44 college games — 7.7 yards per game…… and you call him a running QB.

      Bad decisions? 98 TDs and only 21 INTs in four years isn’t good enough for you? 291 yards passing per game in his Sophomore, Junior and Senior seasons is not consistency?

      Once again… wow.

    • David Fritch

      Calling Geno a running QB made me laugh :)

  • chri herring

    Leon. Arron Rogers is a pass first QB and u are right he was 1 plat away from the Championship win but one play short is still not getting it done right? Look, it a proven fact that Qbs with the type of skill set that is the dual threat don’t win SB. Payton Manning, Tom Brady, BigBen, Joe Flaco, Drew Brees. All suprrbowl winning QBs but neither will really beat u with there legs ,tho some of them can run. Vick, Mcnabb, V Young, Kap who still lost, the list is endless. I’m in no way saying there not talented, im simply saying they WILL NOT win a SB. Arron Rogers. LMAO

    • oldchiefsfan

      What many are asking is why you think Geno Smith is a running QB. He is most definitely not a running QB. He is a pocket passer QB as anyone who has watched him play knows. What gives you the impression he is a running QB?

    • Darkwolf1414

      Aaron Rodger won Super Bowl XLV (45). He was the MVP.

      • elly violette

        Isn’t that the Super Bowl where the Black Eyed Peas performed at half time? One of the better games

        • Darkwolf1414

          I thought it was Madonna but I looked it up and you’re right. It was the Black Eyed Peas.

  • dominicscarlatti

    Fascinating article, Ladner, but I felt almost “tipsy” reading it’s breathlessly delirious prose. Are you sure “The Tippling Point” wouldn’t be an even better title? ;-)

    • ladner morse

      The TippLing Point? That would technically make us … The Kansas City CHEFS…….. wouldn’t it?

      http://www.tipplingclub.com/

      • dominicscarlatti

        Touché…nice one, Ladner !

        • ladner morse

          Touché?… or bon appetit? The Chiefs will be “cooking” this year!

  • Darkwolf1414

    I’ve seen a few people complain about some of the writing here on AA. Misspellings, repeated sentences, etc. I see it but I let it go because I know these guys are on a time crunch to get some of this stuff out. Anyway, if you ever feel yourself getting bothered by the aforementioned issues; just read this line from the Chargers’ FanSided page and you will realize it’s not that bad.

    “I am pretty sure that this photo will come in useful at some point down the future.”

    HUH!?

    • ladner morse

      I’m not sure what … “misspellings or repeated sentences” you’re referring to but, we welcome any grammar catches our readers might find. We have several editors, so by all means, if something gross pops out at you and looks like it needs addressing, please let us know. I always thank my readers for the “catch.”

      BTW… cute example…

      http://boltbeat.com/2013/03/29/thats-our-head-coach/

      • Darkwolf1414

        I’m a pretty big stickler, generally, when it comes to spelling and things. Of course I make errors myself. I haven’t seen the repeat sentences recently. I usually just let it go because I appreciate what you guys do. Also, I don’t want to seem like the prick who is always pointing out the errors.

        • ladner morse

          We’re all novice writers here… for the most part non-paid. So, we do this for the love of it. When Patrick hired me two years ago I was already writing and commenting enough on other Chiefs web site that I was glad to get the opportunity to focus what I had to say specific to Arrowhead Addict’s needs.

          I’ve enjoyed it a ton. If you ever think you’d be interested in participating in AA… either as a writer or an editor… I’m sure Patrick would be like to know.

          • elly violette

            I think AA is the Chiefs best site going. I appreciate all that you guys do. Thanks.

          • Darkwolf1414

            Cool, I’ll keep it in mind.

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