Geoff Burke-USA TODAY Sports

KC Chiefs Likely To Get 3rd Round Compensatory Pick In 2013


The Kansas City Chiefs may have one more high draft pick in 2013 thanks to the NFL’s compensatory pick rules.

According to the Blogging the Beast, a site that analyzes and tries to predict compensatory picks, the Kansas City Chiefs will likely receive a bonus third round pick and a seventh round selection in this year’s draft.

While the compensatory pick rules are a bit complicated and can be hard to predict, we’ll try to put them in as simple terms as we can.

Teams that lose a player in free agency, that is to say, the player’s contract expires and they sign elsewhere, can sometimes be compensated in the form of draft picks. Only players that leave in free agency are counted into consideration. Players that are cut to retire do not count.

Compensatory picks begin in the third round of the NFL draft and are added to the end of each round. Third round compensatory picks are rare. Only one was given out in both 2011 and 2011. Three were given out in 2010.

The NFL has a formula to determine whether or not a team is due a compensatory pick. It has in large part to do with the contract the departing players signs as well as the contracts of the free agents the team signs. If the NFL determines that the team’s free agent acquisitions were close or equal in value to the free agents they lost, then no compensatory pick would be awarded.

The folks over at Blogging the Beast are very, very good at predicting compensatory picks. Last year, they correctly predicted or came within a round of 26 of the 32 picks that were given out.

The Chiefs lost a couple of high-priced free agents last offseason.

Chiefs Carr (5 yr $50.1 million), Orton (3 yr $10.5 million), McClain (3 yr $8.25 million) Hillis (1 yr $2.8 million), Quinn (1 yr $1 million)

There is also a bit about Barry Richardson:

I awarded 30 normal comp picks. Last year the cutoff for considering players eligible was in the $800k-$900k range. I counted several players that received 1-year contracts for $890k, but not Barry Richardson, who received a 1-year deal for $800k. He ended up starting for St. Louis, so he may be counted, which would give Kansas City a 6th round pick (see below, for Orton, Quinn would then cancel out Richardson). This is the tricky area because the location of the cutoff line could affect multiple picks. Tennessee, Atlanta, and San Francisco could lose 7th round picks, and Houston and the Giants could gain 6th round picks if particular older players making the veteran minimum are not counted.

The big one here is obviously the third round selection the Chiefs could be awarded in large part, thanks to Brandon Carr’s huge contract with the Cowboys.

If the projection is right, the Chiefs could have two picks very close together at the end of the third round and the beginning of the fourth. Depending on how things shake out, the picks could even be back to back.

Since all of the Chiefs’ picks are of high value in each round, this extra pick could really increase the team’s flexibility to move around via trade if it so desires.

While this prediction isn’t an exact science, the size of Carr’s deal and the loss of Orton should all but guarantee KC lands an extra third rounder/early fourth rounder.

Visit Blogging the Beast for the complete prediction list.

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Tags: Kansas City Chiefs

  • ArrowFan

    Good value at that spot

  • chiefridgy

    I’ll take it

  • john woodley

    At least we get something from pioli

    • Desiree

      Yeah, but I bet you it’ll end up being a 6th and a 7th…

  • Trent Taylor

    I’d rather have B. Carr. Another fine mov Dick, errrrr Scott.

  • Matt Dickson

    Ironically, this may be the deepest CB class in over half decade so landing a strong #2 CB to pair with Flowers is realistic. Especially if we draft him at the top of the 2nd round where a wealth of CB riches are likely to still be on the table.

    I wouldn’t mind seeing us go back “to the well” and draft another CB with our second 3rd round pick (the compensatory) to deepen our CB corp cuz I’m not convinced either Jalil Brown or even Javier Arenas are enough depth to guard us against pass-first offenses.

    Besides, with this deep of a CB class, we can probably get a guy at the end of the 3rd round who’d otherwise be carrying a 2nd round grade any other year. We should really take advantage of this classes depth at that position and draft there multiple times.

    • Darkwolf1414

      There are some real good CBs that are still going to be available in the 3rd and 4th RD. My mock draft has us taking David Amerson from NC State with our 3rd RD pick. He’s big, at 6’2″, and set the ACC single-season interception record in 2011 with 13. I think he’ll be a good pairing with Flowers and Amerson also like coming up and playing the run.

  • Danny W

    Could be huge. We could find who knows what down there. Hopefully we haven’t waited to draft a quarterback by then.

  • superman_25_58

    I could of swore they were talking about comp picks in the second half of this last season, and the analysts said that we could end up with 10-12 picks this draft. Normal 7 picks and than 3-5 comp picks. Ended up being like three picks for carr since he id good and signed a $50 million deal, 2 for like Orton, and 1 for Mcclain or vise versa on the last 2. NOT SAYING I’M RIGHT OR THE ANALYST ARE RIGHT WOULD BE SWEET THOUGH IF THEY WERE! We could use a good amount of picks out this years draft.

  • yeah33

    bet KC takes a corner in the first 4 rounds. really good depth there this year. an extra third would be freaking huge
    even the seventh is another guy that we may have missed out on in udfa that we now get to bring to KC
    good stuff!

  • Don417

    Guess the dumdum that wrote this doesn’t realize comp picks cannot be traded.

    • Merlin_Arrowhead_Addict

      I think the idea is that you could trade your original 4th round pick because you have a 3rd round comp pick.

  • Outback Chief

    I think this means a trade up for the Chiefs in any given round even from 2nd to 1st, but there are a lot of worthy players to be had in the 3rd even another QB like EJ Manuel or Tyler Bray, Nassib maybe.We definitely can’t have too many QB’s in camp this year.