End The Drought, Draft Geno Smith Now! PART II of III


End The Drought, Draft Geno Smith Now! PART II

To read Part I, go here.

In PART I of “End The Drought, Draft Geno Smith Now!” we covered the Drought  Sequence, the Fan-dalism outlining the fans vs. John Dorsey and Andy Reid’s roles, the Coach’s Reproach and the Pioneers who have gone before to see that a QB is taken in the first round.

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Three Important Factors

There are three important factors driving the movement to end the drought and draft Mr. Smith now:

1. END THE DROUGHT- The drought must end ASAP. Not next year. Not in the second round of the draft this year, or any other round for that matter. Not in free agency where we already know what the choices will be and there is no franchise player there to be had. I’m sure that Reid and Dorsey can’t fully grasp how tired and wasted Chiefs fans are of one coach or GM after another waltzing into KC and trying to be tricky: making the reshaping of the roster all about themselves, by attempting to take lesser clay and molding it into their own da Vinci masterpiece. There is not a 6th rounder like Tom Brady just waiting around every corner of the 2nd, 3rd, 4th, 5th, 6th, or 7th rounds of the draft. Do the right thing by taking the best QB in this draft, immediately.

2. NO PREMIERE PROSPECT- After personally researching the top ten NFL draft prospects for the 2013 draft, no one is head and shoulders above anyone else. Period. No question in my mind. I’m convinced that there’s not one of them who stands out over all of the others. Not one. All of them have… chinks in the armour.

To begin with, consider what an evaluator must do: they have to come up with a way to say that this OLB prospect is better than that LT prospect (or could you ever really compare a long snapper to a CB?). Can you see the dilemma? You really can’t do it. One position, in many cases can’t be compared to another. Still, one principle every evaluator agrees upon is: the QB position is the most important position on the field.

Still, let’s look at a few top prospects.

Take LT Luke Joeckel from Texas A&M. His run blocking lags behind his pass blocking. His pass blocking is pretty good, but remember he was blocking for a Heisman Trophy winner, the elusive and quick release artist: Johnny Football (Manziel). So, if the Chiefs take a “good” LT but still don’t have an elusive and quick-release QB of their own, do you think Joeckel will still look as good? Ask Jamaal Charles if he wants an average rookie LT blocking for him in the running game next year. Plus, do you really want to take Joeckel when Branden Albert ranks 5th in the league in Pass Blocking Efficiency? Joeckel may never reach that level of proficiency and how do you say no to an excellent LT who still wants to be part of this team? If the Chiefs draft Joeckel first it will only be because of financial considerations because that move will not make the Chiefs a better team. That’s the primary reason you have to doubt that Hunt, Reid & Dorsey (HRD) would make Joeckel their choice.

Maybe you want another edge rusher like Georgia OLB Jarvis Jones? I’m at the apogee of my skepticism when I view Jones’ so-called highlight reels because I have to repeatedly ask myself, “Where’s Waldo… er… I mean Jarvis.” When a player disappears as much as he does, you should take him off your list. Jones may have great closing speed when it comes to defending both the pass and the run, but when teams run right at him he doesn’t have enough size to shut it down. Jones’ lateral agility isn’t what a great OLBs should be but he’s an extremely agile player otherwise. CBSSports.com says Jones, “will draw comparisons by many to Denver Broncos pass rusher Von Miller, but Jones doesn’t have the same body type or power to consistently shed once engaged.” And… why do the Chiefs need an OLB? Would you really take an outstanding OLB first in the draft just to allow him to sit behind two starting Pro Bowl players (Justin Houston Named To The Pro Bowl) already on your roster? I really can’t see HRD making this move either.

What about Utah DT Star Lotulelei? He really is a stud. I’ve seen him dominate. At the one minute mark of this video, a game against USC, earlier in the season when the Trojans were ranked #13, Star took a USC RB and flung him with such ease, like he’s a throwing a discus straight into the ground. However, I watched the whole game tape and Lotulelei’s effectiveness fades in the second half. That seems to be his pattern.

Todd McShay loves Lotulelei too and says the Chiefs could use him as an interior rush lineman to get after the QB. However, he’s not perfect by any means. He typically can’t get tall enough to block many passes because he has short arms. Last year, having “short arms” sent prospect Melvin Ingram’s stock plummeting and the same is likely for Lotulelei.

Rob Rang of CBSSports.com says Star has marginal technique and that he hasn’t developed enough moves yet. Lotulelei should be an excellent DL in the league one day but Walterfootball.com calls him raw and best suited for a 4-3 defensive front.

Hmm, raw? Better suited for the 4-3?

Do you really want another Glenn Dorsey? Or even a Tyson Jackson or Dontari Poe?  Since 2008, Clark Hunt has unloaded the Bank of Hunt for the Chiefs Defensive line: 51 Million contract for Dorsey (Dorsey was one of the top 25  richest players in the league at that point), 57 million contract for Tyson Jackson with 31 mil guaranteed, and then there’s the post-CBA bargain contract with Dontari Poe at only 11.32 million (with a 6.67 Mil signing bonus).

Will Clark Hunt want to invest another whopping wad of wealth for a defensive lineman? Will John Dorsey and Andy Reid even think of asking Hunt to do that… when the Chiefs’ best defensive line play is coming from other players not considered Fortune 500 millionaires?

This is a good example of why I don’t buy into it when GMs and coaches say, “We’ll only take the BPA.”

All of the top ten prospects look like they could… succeed… or bust… to the same degree. Including Geno Smith. So, why am I pushing for him to be the Chiefs #1 pick? See number one on this list. Besides, doesn’t the “tie go to the runner?” In this case… the passer.

If the Chiefs don’t take Geno Smith at #1, I’m also convinced that whoever does take him (is there any doubt that Jacksonville will take him at #2?), will make the Chiefs forever regret that they didn’t take him.

Like the Dallas Cowboys, who are forever grinding about passing on Randy Moss. Does Geno Smith have “character issues” like Moss did coming into the league? No. None. The worst criticism I’ve heard is that he was typified as “pouting” during the 4th quarter loss of the Pinstripe Bowl — I saw it when it happened — and he was angry, if anything, and attempting to fire his teammates up.

Geno’s upside is just as high as what we ever thought Moss’ upside was when he entered the league, but aside from their upside there’s not any other reason you should compare Randy Moss and Geno Smith, unless some reckless GM allows him to slide in the draft too.

3. GENO IS THE BEST- Geno Smith is the best QB in this draft.

A. NFL.com analyst Bucky Brooks says the best QB is Geno Smith.
B.
CBSSports.com say the best QB in this draft is Geno Smith.
C. Self-proclaimed draft guru, Mel “The Sniper” Kiper, says it’s not Geno Smith but, ESPN lists Geno above all other QBs in this draft.
D.
Walter Football says the best QB in this draft is Geno Smith.
E. Matt Fitzgerald of The Bleacher Report says: Geno Smith.
F. Dan Hope of the Bleacher Report says its Matt Barkley.
G. SB Nation says it’s Geno Smith.
H. Todd McShay says its Geno but, here’s his explanation of why this year’s QB draft class ranking seems murky.
I. NFLDraftScout.com says its Geno Smith.
J.
Gil Brandt- long time Vice President of player personnel for the Dallas Cowboys (1960-1989) says the best QB in this draft is Geno Smith even though he doesn’t rank a QB in the top 25. Go figure. One might deduce that the current pro-passing game has passed the 79 year old Brandt by. At least he can see that Geno Smith is the best of all QB prospects.

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Finally, in PART III we’ll show a Comparison and Statistics, the Precedence for Geno Smith being taken #1 in this draft as well as the Ego Hurdle, the Subterfuge, and the Campaign to let Clark Hunt know who Chiefs fans want most. See you tomorrow.

 

Tags: Featured KC Chiefs Popular

  • http://www.facebook.com/truman.yeary Truman Yeary

    End the drought, draft Tyler Wilson. He will become the number 1 QB by April.

    • ladner morse

      Can you point me in the right direction of some stats or footage or an article or two that shows why Tyler Wilson would be better than Geno? I love Tyler Wilson but, just don’t see him as having as many skills, the body of work nor the body for that matter… that Geno exhibits.

      • Kyle ferguson

        He is a smart kid with a big arm his numbers last year are better than this year, hangs in the pocket and delivers when the hit is coming, I think he is the best leader as far as qb’s in this draft go, and has played in a pro style system vs the best d’s in college football. I think he will impress a lot of people in his interviews

      • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark
        • ladner morse

          So one guys observations hooked you huh? His views were split about 50/50 too. So .. some reason a guy watching Tyler likes him better and you use that to say Tyler is a better prospect than Geno? Really?

          • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark

            No! You asked for one article. Hahaha. So I quickly found exactly what you asked for. Ive been sold on TW for the last couple months now.

          • ladner morse

            Well I like Tyler Wilson a lot and will be happy and support our Chiefs if they take him… but I see Geno as having more upside.

          • Kyle ferguson

            Lets say Tyler didn’t have the shake up at Arkansas last year with the coaching situation and put up numbers like he did the year before, then would you feel the compation is closer than it is now? I just feel like Tyler will be able to sell him self with the coaches and can raise is stock a lot by April. I’m not saying he is or isn’t better than geno just feel that even if geno has more physical potential, maybe they see a better work ethic in Tyler and decide to go that way… Maybe geno has a better work ethic, the main thing I think I’m trying to get at is lets not lock in to one guy lets look at all the options and pick the guy that’s going to be a leader of this team the next 10-12 years

          • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark

            Agreed. An Ive said a ton of times, Geno is an incredible talent. I just like wilson better. He seems, to me, the kind of guy that can get his team fired up and include everyone down to the towel boys in a victory. Dozens of articles habe talked about the kids leadership abilities. And THAT is what this team needs. Look at the way RG3 stepped up and took control of his team this year. Looking completely past his athletic ability and focusing solely on his character, we need that type of guy behind center.

      • http://www.facebook.com/truman.yeary Truman Yeary

        Stats don’t show the intangibles. Tyler is a proven leader, has better footwork and mechanics, is tough, and competitive till the end.

        I would not be upset if the Chiefs draft Geno, however I believe Tyler is the better choice.

        • ladner morse

          Tyler was my choice at the end of last season… and then he decided to return to school for another year. He may have a bit more in the leadership department but, other than that I don’t grade him higher tha Geno in any category. How do you see him as better… in what ways besides footwork and mechanics because I don’t see that at all. I rate both Geno and Tyler at 9 out of 10 on the competitive scale.

    • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark

      Ths I can get on board with. Wilson, like Smith, didnt face many high profile defences, BUT when he did, he was able to keep his composure much better. Having a better college career? That belt goes to Geno, its simply undeniable. Who will fare better at the next level? I believe that has TW’s name written all over it.

  • http://www.facebook.com/jonathan.aldridge.73 Jonathan Aldridge

    I love it! Finally someone clears it all up that there is no clear-cut decision on who is worthy of the first pick. Geno is the best QB and we need a QB. During the NFL Combine and West Virginia’s Pro Day you can bet that the Chiefs will focus in on Geno Smith the most. About Mel Kiper saying Geno isn’t the best, why would anyone believe Mel? He said we should get Glenn Dorsey and look how that worked out. The only thing that worries me is that the Chiefs might fall in love with a QB at the Senior Bowl and stick with that guy no matter what. As for character issues, Geno might get a temper every now and then but if you were a record breaking QB with a defense that blew just about every game you would be upset, too. Bottom line, if the Chiefs don’t get Geno Smith, then all I can expect from the Chiefs is more disappointing seasons.

    • ArrowFan

      A QB with a little fire in him is just what the Dr. ordered.

      • ladner morse

        That exactly what I’m thinking and I don’t don’t why his fire is looked at as anything but that. The guy is a competitor.

  • Chief Hokie

    Excellent piece Ladner. But tell me, if you could see into the future that Geno would turn into another Blaine Gabbert, would you still want him to be the pick? In other words, how much of this is about ending the drought of drafting a QB in the first round, and how much of it is based on your confidence that Geno can be our franchise QB?

    • ladner morse

      What do they say about hindsight (besides I enjoy looking at some hinny) …

      Anyway… Geno’s mechanics are so much better than Gabbert’s, his performances stand out over any of Gabbert’s, his stats are not only better than Gabbert’s but better than 99% of any QB to come out of the college ranks, Plus, I also believe that Geno being tutored by Andy Reid makes his flopability much less flopable.

      • superman_25_58

        Geno is “better than 99% of any QB to come out of the college ranks”, This is the Truth I reasearched this and came up with same conclusion. “Plus, I also believe that Geno being tutored by Andy Reid makes his flopability much less flopable”.This is about the smartest thing I’ve heard in awhile! EXCELLENT!! I would add Nagy and Pederson to this too bc they are all Qb coaches so ya I agree, would make it hard to flop.

      • KCMikeG

        On top of his fantastic stats he is careful with the ball and takes very few sacks plus he is a student of the game. All this for only one #1 pick. I seriously doubt that RGIII will have 3.2 (two more #1′s and a #2) times better stats and success in the NFL than Geno will. Sign me up.

    • ArrowFan

      Playing scared will never win a playoff game or the Super Bowl, just ask Marty One can never hit a home run unless you swing for one. I say swing away and if we strike out then try and hit one next time.

      • KCMikeG

        There is Tajh Boyd next year if Geno doesn’t work – which he will.

  • Justin Jones

    im liking Tyler Wilson much better.

    • http://www.facebook.com/jonathan.aldridge.73 Jonathan Aldridge

      I’m fine with either Geno or Tyler. We just need to find out who’s better.

    • Danny W

      I would be tickled silly if we drafted both right now we need a QB so stinking bad.

  • Joe Myers

    Well like I said if we don’t draft Geno im out of sports

    • http://www.facebook.com/jonathan.aldridge.73 Jonathan Aldridge

      Don’t give up on us! We need you!

    • ladner morse

      Don’t leave us man… we need you brother!

    • Michael Shaw

      Come on man!! Really? Really? Really! You can’t leave us just because they don’t draft who you want. Otherwise I would have left last year!!!!

    • http://www.arrowheadaddict.com Patrick Allen

      Its true. We need all the help we can get. (some of us more than others)

    • Patriot42

      Bye!

  • Scott Mahurin

    Love the read…can’t fight your logic. (Although, I know others will try.) I came to the same conclusion a month ago. DRAFT GENO SMITH.

    • ladner morse

      Maybe you could go to work for the Chiefs because if they don’t get the logic… maybe you could make it happen!

      • KCMikeG

        Thanks Ladner. Hopefully rational calm minds will prevail and Geno will lead us to much greater places or even the promised land. What is it that makes him NOT the BPA? I have heard about a bad game or two and nobody is perfect but everything else about this kid is what we have been missing. Unless we can trade back (which I doubt) and are willing to suffer through another QB rebuild/reload while positioning ourselves to have the top QB pick next year then we better just pick Geno.

  • tm1946

    If the Chiefs can find a trading partner and trade down, then they can look at Geno with first pick. But they cannot have the image of the new Chiefs on a possible miss with the first pick, Geno can be the best QB but what if he is not the best talent, as in cannot miss? T. Jackson look like the face of the Pioli era…..maybe?

    • ArrowFan

      As bad as the QB play has been the last two years my grandma could come in here and impress.

    • superman_25_58

      The BPA in this case is the Best Available QB considering we don’t even have a decent back-up. The QB is the motor that makes the tank run without that motor this will be another slaughter house season with the other teams doing the slaughtering…… I would rather draft the best Qb available with the #1 “another in the 3rd” this way we can atleast say we went and got the best if it doesn’t work out, ok…… keep trying! Every1 saying let’s get a Qb outta the FA….why? All this talk about FA being a 3-4 yr stop til we get one developed and I don’t know why people would rather go this route than just to sign a rookie to do the same thing except the rookie will have a better chance becoming the Franchise Qb. Their is no Franchise Qb in FA so why pay on a guy who couldn’t win a spot from rookies or the cheerleaders? Easy answer you don’t!!! Get Geno and let’s compete!!!

      • Danny W

        I agree Scott with one exception. I say draft one in the first and third, and get one in free agency. Turn over every stone and leave no dollar left unspent on a qb.

  • Kyle ferguson

    Word on the street is Tyler Wilson is impressing chiefs scouts looks like geno maybe hurting himself by skipping senior bowl

    • Danny W

      I don’t care if it’s Wilson or Smith just get me a QB baby. In the first round preferably.

  • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark

    So the argument is that GS is the best because other people say he is? Come on man, youve gotts do better than that for me. By no means am I saying he isnt talented, but the “record breaking” QB didnt exectly face top defences. I am no where near sold on GS at this point, I would hate to have a mini Vick come in with all this hype and get hurt halfway through the season because he trusts too much in his “elusiveness”. At that point, were stuck worse off than we are now.

    • ArrowFan

      Geno doesn’t run like Vick he is a pocket passer.

      • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark

        Geno can be a pocket passer when he is allowed to be, sure. And he has shown that he also has a pretty solid deep ball. Which our team has lacked for years now. However, it is fairly easy to throw a deep ball when you are facing some of the worst pass defences in the NCAA. Like I said, Geno is certainly talented, I just dont believe he is the answer for. This paticular rain dance.

        • ArrowFan

          Watch the WV Oklahoma game and then get back with me.

          • Michael Shaw

            Or watch the K-State Game or the Bowl game they lost!!!

          • ArrowFan

            http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=LZCPd5u6f3c
            3:38,6:08,7:24,7:35 I think we should be looking to get Bailey as well.

          • KCMikeG

            I liked Austin at first but Bailey is the right one for him. Geno has been playing with him since high school. He will be available in the 3rd or 4th round.

          • KCMikeG

            Thank you! Not sure why some want to act like he played Blue Mountain State every week? Geno ran on average less than 7 times a game for a whooping 335 yards over three years. No injury issues and can make all the throws.

        • Danny W

          Can you name one game in which Geno Smith has just looked horrible? I mean Matt Cassel like? I’ve seen plenty of games were he quote on quote struggled but never gave up a pick. I’ve seen him have a a quote on quote bad game and be on the field for maybe five minutes because his defense gave up 3 or 4 bills rushing the football. You come at this article and opinions with just opinions on why you don’t like him and expect stats like they haven’t been shown any where on here before when there everywhere on this site Jordan honestly they are. I’ve never had any nay sayer give specifics as to why Geno Smith is a bad prospect. I would honestly like a good objective assessment as to why? Hope this doesn’t seem like I’m coming at you but really would like to know why you don’t like him and another quarterback better? If so who and why?

    • superman_25_58

      You are making an arguement about two Qb’s in which the one you say is worse your points are invalid and false. Geno IS NOT a running Qb, can he run yes but he prefers to stand in pocket and throw strikes all day. His Elusiveness kicks in when the pocket breaks down than he uses his “Elusiveness” to escape pressure while keeping eyes down field to throw yet another strike.

      • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark

        I appreciate your opinion man, but I completely disagree with you. I do not see a pocket passer in Geno. Can he stck it out and make downfield throws? Yes. I never said he wasnt athletic. And to state my point once again, I think he is a great college QB. I do NOT think all the hype about him is justified. Wll he succeed in the NFL? Sure, with the right sceme and a set of highly talented recivers. Hll he might even win a playoff game or two over the next decade. But he is NOT the all-star that everyone wants him so badly to be. He is an electric player and is fun to watch against High School equivalent defences. Any farther than that and I think youre tricking yourself into seeing what you want to be there and not what actually exists.
        I dont think he is the right move for our team.

    • ladner morse

      NOOO… I say Geno is best because — I say he is. This is the third piece I’ve done on him and I’ve been evaluating him for over a year. I list all the other sources to SUPPORT my position.

      I’m wondering what you can list to support your position because… in Geno’s 3 worst games this year his QB Rating was 101.0, 101.2 and 114.3. Other than those three “abysmal” efforts — his lowest QBR was 135.5. Maybe you would be gracious enough to accept Geno’s apology games in which he only had QBRs of 248.0 and 271.2.

      The Chiefs only had 2 games all year long in which their QBR was above 100.

      • http://www.facebook.com/profile.php?id=647645645 Jordan Clark

        Hahaha. Ill have to get ahold of him and demand an apology for that.
        Im I feel like Im reiterating myself every post though. Im at work right now so its tough respond quickly. Would you mind reading my responce to Scott just a couple comments above this, and responding to that? Thanks man.
        PS. Dont get me wrong, you wrote a great piece and Im excited to read the next one tomorrow, but just try to get some more content behind it. So far all Ive taken from it is; Part 1- I love Geno and I think we should take him because he plays a position that we need and havent drafted in 30 years.
        Part 2- Geno is he best, here is a list of people that think the same way.
        I mean all of ths respectively of course. Please dont take it as a personal attack or anything.

        • Danny W

          Laddie is dragging every detail of GS games over and over again because they’ve been done over and over again. It would be like watching a rerun. In the top part of this site’s homepage in the search column, type in Geno Smith, all the numbers, top defenses, stats, highlight video’s you could ever dream about are on there. Go to AP too plenty of posts on GS there all the time. A little leg work won’t take that long. Peace man.

  • ArrowFan

    At this time all evidence points to grabbing Geno. The trade back and hope he is there will not work, because if we don’t get him Jacksonville or the Faiders will. The safest thing to do is just pick who ever is the best QB with the first pick.

    • ladner morse

      That’s the essentially what I’ve been saying. QB first.. then work everything out after that..

  • Outback Chief

    if we dont trade down this is my draft wants

    1st DT Star Lotulelei
    2nd QB Tyler Wilson or Ryan Nassib
    3rd OT Kyle Long or DT Sylvester Williams DT Brandon Williams
    4th DT Kwame Geathers or OT Brennan Williams
    5th WR Marquise Goodwin
    6th ILB AJ Klien
    7th FS Bradley Mcdougald
    FA RB Kerwynn Williams
    FA WR Tyrone Goard
    FA OLB Ja’Gared Davis
    FA QB Collin Klein
    And somebody find a TE
    And yes I want more D-Line help to get some push in the pocket so draft 2 of them

    • Michael Shaw

      I actually think Collin Klein goes in round 1-4 to someone that needs a good backup.

      • Danny W

        I don’t see Klein going any where close to the first round on all the mocks I’ve seen. He’s lucky to go in the fourth but who knows at this point.

    • Danny W

      If the Chiefs draft a D lineman in the first round number one overall I’m going to stroke out I will be so pissed. Infuriated will be an understatement. Star isn’t Suh and we need a quarterback.

    • cyberry

      I would rather have Sheldon Richardson(projected around 15 to 20ish pick) than Star..so there is a large argument on reaching on DE at the #1 pick rather than Geno..