2012 NFL Mock Draft

by Armchair Addict

My first 2012 NFL Mock Draft is now complete. I decided to take this mock up to the Chiefs’ second round pick. So I guess you could call it about one and a half rounds. I did include a couple of trades and some justifications for each pick. Feel free to tell me where I’m off base.

Also, for more great mock drafts, be sure to visit DC Pro Sports Report (home of the original mock draft database), Walter Football and Hail Redskins.

1. Indianapolis Colts
Andrew Luck
QB – Stanford

I may miss every other pick in this mock, but I feel pretty good about my chances with this one. Andrew Luck is the most hyped prospect that I can remember in my lifetime. Between the hype and all the drama involving Peyton Manning, anything short of multiple Super Bowls for the kid would be a let down.

2. Cleveland Browns (from St. Louis)
Robert Griffin III
QB – Baylor

Okay, in this mock the QB situation shakes out like this. Peyton Manning isn’t healthy and hasn’t signed with anyone and no one knows if he will ever play again. Matt Flynn signed with the Dolphins. That leaves Cleveland and Washington in a bidding war to get Griffin. In the end, Cleveland has to give up its other first round pick (#22) to get their man.

3. Minnesota Vikings
Matt Kalil
OT – USC

The Vikings choose to protect Ponder’s blind side instead of getting him a #1 WR in Blackmon. I actually think they will take a good look at Morris Claiborne as well. In the end, their need for a LT and the fact that Kalil is a near can’t miss makes him the pick.

4. St. Louis Rams (from Cleveland)
Justin Blackmon
WR – Oklahoma State

The Rams would probably have preferred Kalil, but since they now have an additional first-round pick to address the offensive line they get Sam Bradford, an elite WR, and hope he does for him what Megatron did for Matt Stafford.

5. Tampa Bay Buccaneers
Morris Claiborne
CB – LSU

After the way Ray Rice carried Schiano’s Rutgers team to national recognition, he may very well decide to try the same thing in the NFL and draft Richardson here. However, I think Claiborne is the best player available and Schiano is a defensive minded coach. Also, Ronde Barber is no spring chicken and Aqib Talib looks like the next Pacman Jones (in a “going to jail and kicked off the team” kind of way).

6. New York Jets (from Washington)
Trent Richardson
RB – Alabama

After losing out on the RG3 bidding war, the Redskins are left with little choice but to go after Ryan Tannehill, but the sixth pick is too high for him. So they trade down and allow the Jets to move in to take Richardson. Rex Ryan is hoping that a super star RB will take some of the heat off Mark Sanchez.

7. Jacksonville Jaguars
Riley Reiff
OT – Iowa

Jacksonville’s RT Guy Whimper may have been the only starting tackle capable of giving Barry Richardson a run for his money for the “worst starting tackle in the NFL” award. Reiff will be an immediate upgrade at RT and could even eventually unseat Eugene Monroe at LT.

8. Carolina Panthers
Devon Still
DT – Penn State

Carolina got its offense going last season but their defense was horrible. They were equally bad against the run and pass. Still helps in both areas with the ability to stuff the run but also push the pocket and get pressure on the QB on passing downs.

9. Miami Dolphins
Quinton Coples
DE – North Carolina

The word is that the Dolphins may be switching to a 4-3 defense next year. Even though Coples has some work ethic questions, he’s the best pass rusher in this draft and pairing him with Cameron Wake will give the Dolphins a scary pass rush for years to come.

10. Buffalo Bills
Courtney Upshaw
OLB – Alabama

Like Carolina, the Bills defense was also really bad. They didn’t have a single consistent pass rush threat on the roster. With Coples off the board, Upshaw is probably the number two pass rusher in the draft and OLB is definitely a need.

11. Kansas City Chiefs
Jonathon Martin
OT – Stanford

Martin will be a HUGE upgrade over Barry Richardson in pass protection. Martin’s athleticism will also make him an ideal fit in the Chiefs’ zone-blocking scheme. Martin’s teammate David DeCastro is also an option here (and may even be the better player), but ultimately Richardson needs upgraded much more then Ryan Lilja and I think the guards still available later on in the draft will be of better value then the tackles.

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Browns trade up to Rams. Maybe but not for two first rounds. Rams are needing to make a change this year. They need either a weapon like Blackmon or LT like Kali. They can't drop to #6 and still go one of those. So the Browns have a power play there. Problem is if Rams pick Kali or Blackmon the Vikings could trade down to #6 or lower. I believe Griffin will fall to the Browns #4. They will trade down to the highest bidder

I think we should trade down...way down, pick up a load of picks, sign a tackle and or guard in FA and get quality guys because Martin is "inconsistent" and so is Adams and Reiff won't likely be there.

I really like the Idea of signing Demetrius Bell from the Bills for the RT spot in free agency and trading down in the first round. If we trade down ten spots we can gain an extra third round pick. After trading down I would like to see them pick Konz at center(moving Hudson to guard). Then using the extra third round pick we gained from trading down we could, we could package it with our second round pick and trade up to the patriots pick and select Nick Foles QB from Arizona. We would still have our original picks, so the QB of the future could be gained and the line fortified without giving up the ability to fill other holes like NT, second RB, and second TE.

@LetsGoChiefs That is an interesting idea. My worry with Bell is that he is almost the only real starting caliber OT on the market so he'll be over priced. When you add that to his injury concerns I'm not sure Pioli will do it, but we'll see. Foles scares me a little. He looks the part but he seems to check down way too much. I think he has an NFL arm, he just seems scared to use it sometimes.

[...] Chiefs Go OT In This Mock Draft [...]

I would trade down, the Chiefs have a lot of option, there are a good amount of 1st round OTs and that G from Stanford or the linebacker Luke Kuechly (spelled that wrong but you get the idea). Just trade down snatch up a 3rd or maybe 2nd and see whose left on the board

@KC_for_life I don't agree on the 1st round OTs. Kalil, Reiff, and Martin are all likely to go in the first 12 picks and then after that it pretty much just Mike Adams. Everyone else with a first round grade is best suited on the interior.

@LyleGraversen I doubt all 3 of them will go in the top 15 - 17. if so then the G or Lb will probably be there

G and LB are not our R1 needs IMO; OT is! And OT is one of those few "premium" positions where the top players go quickly to the teams who do need them (QB and CB are other premium positions). Can't see rolling the dice on our #1 need at a premium position if one of the top 3 is available.

@KC_for_life I would be willing to make a wager that all three are gone by pick 17.

@LyleGraversen@KC_for_life It's hard to disagree with your statement about the OT's. However, Mike Adams is going to be in the mix. Despite the early rankings, he looked like a potentially elite left tackle at the Senior Bowl. He has smooth feet and movements, pretty good technique already, and he has the size and length to anchor effectively. My guess is the Chiefs will have a shot at one of the four top OT's. Hopefully Adams will still be on the board at eleven or twelve. If a player like him can step in at LT right away, BA could be moved to RT, thereby upgrading both positions at once. The added benefit is BA would be a very athletic RT in pass protection. Very few teams have bookends who excel in pass protection.

I agree Lyle. OT is our #1 need. We need to maximize our chances for success in meeting this need and minimize the chances of "outsmarting" ourselves by trading down. Now if all of the top 3 OTs are gone, then it may be another matter.

I bet we find an OT in free agency, I thought our inability to run the ball was directly attributed to a weak interior line, Hudson may not be the answer at C no one really knows. So I would like to see the Chiefs make a move to get at least one interior lineman. As for justifying a 1st round Lb, are we sure we want an offensive player? What if our OC sucks again and is unable to make improvements even with a new RT. Wouldn't it be better to draft someone who we know e can coach up. Houstan, Berry and Lewis had great rookie seasons and DJ showed great progress under Crennel.

@KC_for_life Go look at the OT free agent list, its not pretty. If KC did draft both Martins I feel confident that they would have an elite run game again and that should open things up for Cassel. The defense will be solid. They get Berry back and maybe sign one of the FA nose tackles and they'll be fine. We need help on offense if we want to be able to win playoff games.

@KC_for_life We HAVE to fix the OC and staff problem this offseason; assuming failure can NOT be an option. Then we have to FIX the shortest leg of our 3-legged stool (offense, defense, special teams), namely by filling the more numerous personnel holes on offense (ROT, RBF, QB depth, TE depth, OL depth--assuming Bowe is resigned). These mainly have to be filled through the draft and undrafted FAs. We have 8 draft picks (2 in R7) and possibly a compensatory pick at the end of R3, others say. And we are way under the spending cap, even after both Bowe and Carr are resigned. So we have plenty of firepower to get the job done THIS OFFSEASON! Assuming Hunt/Pioli will not use this firepower is also NOT an option. Finally, with a complete 2012 supporting cast in place, if Cassel still can't cut it, then we have to focus 2013 firepower on the QB position. SO LET IT BE WRITTEN; SO LET IT BE DONE!

A NT would be ideal but if not an LB would be awsome in R1, anybody would be an upgrade over richardson. And take into account how bad our O line coach is (he might have been fired or maybe he will be). We've had a bad Oline for awhile, and remember when he said Gaither sucked. Play to your coaching strengths and try to get a defensive player if possible if not go OT, but I find that guard more interesting. If you draft an OT you get a good solid 3rd ranked OT in the draft. But if ou draft this David guy you get the best OG prospect in a while, which I find to be more important.I'm not saying let Richardson play,I'm saying get it in either free agency or rounds 2 or 3. Get an under the radar OT in free agency and then grab a 3rd round tackle with a pick you got from trading down.

@LyleGraversen @KC_for_life Lyle, if we could pick up a LT in free agency then trading down could make sense and get a G.

idk if nigel bradham will fall out of the first round either.. i think he will turn some heads at the combine i think kc def goes line. pass rusher in the second

@aliveoutofhabit I think bradham would have to run REALLY fast to go in the first, but certainly could be wrong. When you say pass rusher, do you mean another OLB? I can't see that with Houston and Hali. If you mean a d-line that could come in on passing downs, maybe. I just think getting a good RB is a bigger deal then some people think. For Cassel to succeed he needs a top run game for the defense to key on. If Charles doesn't come back the same player he was before, we need more then Battle and McCluster to give Cassel the help he needs to open up the passing game.

My only question is about Donta Hightower. I'm not sure he'll go that low.

@laddiemorse Yeah, to be honest the hard thing when you sit down to do a mock this year is that the guys between picks 15-45 seem to be close enough in value that it makes it hard to figure who may slip farther then expected.

@LyleGraversen Lyle... good observation about the 15-45 being close in value and I agree. I just think that coming off of a National Championship... and with all that big time exposure... it would be hard for him to drop that far. I'm guessing he'll go before Zach Brown. My other question is... do you think the Giants would actually add another piece to their already formidable front seven?

I like it a lot. I notice the moves you made in the top ten too. This may actually be one scenario that come to fruition. I also like the Martin pick. Am pretty sure Reiff will be gone but, I'm not sure that Martin isn't a better fit for CK anyway. Great Lyle Excellent post. As usual.

I like the OT Martin in the 1st. My only hope is that we get some help on the D-Line aswell. I would like to see the Chiefs get an OL and DL with their first two picks. RB Martin has looked good and might be a great pick here, but with Charles and Battle I feel that KC has a good 1-2 punch. What I believe is your OL and DL are what seperates the good from the bad teams. We need just a little help on both and KC is right there. Cassel will do fine with more weapons around him and a solid OL to protect him, we can win with him.

@bowler7310 If there was a top NT prospect then I might buy that, but about the only NT option I see for KC in the 2nd round is Alameda Ta'amu out of Washington. If he shows well at the combine then maybe I'd get on board with that. Anyone else they might take in round 2 I would see more as someone the Chiefs would use in a rotation next year and I think Doug Martin could make a bigger impact.

@LyleGraversen @bowler7310 Agree 100% with R1. Torn about R2 and think Josh Chapman, SR NT from Alabama would be a better alternative than Ta'amu and fear he might be gone by the time we pick in R3, although our R2 pick may be a bit of a reach for him. But I have to agree with your analysis and conclude that we either have to get our NT in FA or do so trading up into the bottom half of R2 to get Chapman. Bottom line, OT, NT and RBF are, IMO, our top 3 needs and we can't always draft in need order.

@JohnMorrow @bowler7310 Yeah, the possible NT free agents look a lot better to me then trying to find someone who could step in and start in the draft this year.

It does take time for most DLs to develop. Which FAs do you have in mind?

@JohnMorrow In order: P. Soliai - Mia. S. Pouha - NYJ A. Garay - SD A. Franklin - NO SL Hill - Det. S. Rogers - NO B. McKinney - Balt.

Maybe Crennel's reputation and the remaining quality of our D will be helpful in securing one of these and continuing Powe's mentoring. Needs to happen pre-draft though.

KNOPF007 5 pts

Browns trade up to Rams. Maybe but not for two first rounds. Rams are needing to make a change this year. They need either a weapon like Blackmon or LT like Kali. They can't drop to #6 and still go one of those. So the Browns have a power play there. Problem is if Rams pick Kali or Blackmon the Vikings could trade down to #6 or lower. I believe Griffin will fall to the Browns #4. They will trade down to the highest bidder

Chiefsaddict77 5 pts

I think we should trade down...way down, pick up a load of picks, sign a tackle and or guard in FA and get quality guys because Martin is "inconsistent" and so is Adams and Reiff won't likely be there.

LetsGoChiefs 6 pts

I really like the Idea of signing Demetrius Bell from the Bills for the RT spot in free agency and trading down in the first round. If we trade down ten spots we can gain an extra third round pick. After trading down I would like to see them pick Konz at center(moving Hudson to guard). Then using the extra third round pick we gained from trading down we could, we could package it with our second round pick and trade up to the patriots pick and select Nick Foles QB from Arizona. We would still have our original picks, so the QB of the future could be gained and the line fortified without giving up the ability to fill other holes like NT, second RB, and second TE.

LyleGraversen 313 pts

LetsGoChiefs That is an interesting idea. My worry with Bell is that he is almost the only real starting caliber OT on the market so he'll be over priced. When you add that to his injury concerns I'm not sure Pioli will do it, but we'll see. Foles scares me a little. He looks the part but he seems to check down way too much. I think he has an NFL arm, he just seems scared to use it sometimes.

KC_for_life 23 pts

I would trade down, the Chiefs have a lot of option, there are a good amount of 1st round OTs and that G from Stanford or the linebacker Luke Kuechly (spelled that wrong but you get the idea). Just trade down snatch up a 3rd or maybe 2nd and see whose left on the board

LyleGraversen 313 pts

KC_for_life I don't agree on the 1st round OTs. Kalil, Reiff, and Martin are all likely to go in the first 12 picks and then after that it pretty much just Mike Adams. Everyone else with a first round grade is best suited on the interior.

KC_for_life 23 pts

LyleGraversen I doubt all 3 of them will go in the top 15 - 17. if so then the G or Lb will probably be there

JohnMorrow 151 pts

G and LB are not our R1 needs IMO; OT is! And OT is one of those few "premium" positions where the top players go quickly to the teams who do need them (QB and CB are other premium positions). Can't see rolling the dice on our #1 need at a premium position if one of the top 3 is available.

LyleGraversen 313 pts

KC_for_life I would be willing to make a wager that all three are gone by pick 17.

scastagnoli1 17 pts

LyleGraversenKC_for_life It's hard to disagree with your statement about the OT's. However, Mike Adams is going to be in the mix. Despite the early rankings, he looked like a potentially elite left tackle at the Senior Bowl. He has smooth feet and movements, pretty good technique already, and he has the size and length to anchor effectively.

My guess is the Chiefs will have a shot at one of the four top OT's. Hopefully Adams will still be on the board at eleven or twelve. If a player like him can step in at LT right away, BA could be moved to RT, thereby upgrading both positions at once. The added benefit is BA would be a very athletic RT in pass protection. Very few teams have bookends who excel in pass protection.

JohnMorrow 151 pts

I agree Lyle. OT is our #1 need. We need to maximize our chances for success in meeting this need and minimize the chances of "outsmarting" ourselves by trading down. Now if all of the top 3 OTs are gone, then it may be another matter.

KC_for_life 23 pts

I bet we find an OT in free agency, I thought our inability to run the ball was directly attributed to a weak interior line, Hudson may not be the answer at C no one really knows. So I would like to see the Chiefs make a move to get at least one interior lineman. As for justifying a 1st round Lb, are we sure we want an offensive player? What if our OC sucks again and is unable to make improvements even with a new RT. Wouldn't it be better to draft someone who we know e can coach up. Houstan, Berry and Lewis had great rookie seasons and DJ showed great progress under Crennel.

LyleGraversen 313 pts

KC_for_life Go look at the OT free agent list, its not pretty. If KC did draft both Martins I feel confident that they would have an elite run game again and that should open things up for Cassel. The defense will be solid. They get Berry back and maybe sign one of the FA nose tackles and they'll be fine. We need help on offense if we want to be able to win playoff games.

JohnMorrow 151 pts

KC_for_life We HAVE to fix the OC and staff problem this offseason; assuming failure can NOT be an option. Then we have to FIX the shortest leg of our 3-legged stool (offense, defense, special teams), namely by filling the more numerous personnel holes on offense (ROT, RBF, QB depth, TE depth, OL depth--assuming Bowe is resigned). These mainly have to be filled through the draft and undrafted FAs. We have 8 draft picks (2 in R7) and possibly a compensatory pick at the end of R3, others say. And we are way under the spending cap, even after both Bowe and Carr are resigned. So we have plenty of firepower to get the job done THIS OFFSEASON! Assuming Hunt/Pioli will not use this firepower is also NOT an option. Finally, with a complete 2012 supporting cast in place, if Cassel still can't cut it, then we have to focus 2013 firepower on the QB position. SO LET IT BE WRITTEN; SO LET IT BE DONE!

KC_for_life 23 pts

A NT would be ideal but if not an LB would be awsome in R1, anybody would be an upgrade over richardson. And take into account how bad our O line coach is (he might have been fired or maybe he will be). We've had a bad Oline for awhile, and remember when he said Gaither sucked. Play to your coaching strengths and try to get a defensive player if possible if not go OT, but I find that guard more interesting. If you draft an OT you get a good solid 3rd ranked OT in the draft. But if ou draft this David guy you get the best OG prospect in a while, which I find to be more important.I'm not saying let Richardson play,I'm saying get it in either free agency or rounds 2 or 3. Get an under the radar OT in free agency and then grab a 3rd round tackle with a pick you got from trading down.

ArrowFan 205 pts

LyleGraversenKC_for_life Lyle, if we could pick up a LT in free agency then trading down could make sense and get a G.

aliveoutofhabit 5 pts

idk if nigel bradham will fall out of the first round either.. i think he will turn some heads at the combine i think kc def goes line. pass rusher in the second

LyleGraversen 313 pts

aliveoutofhabit I think bradham would have to run REALLY fast to go in the first, but certainly could be wrong. When you say pass rusher, do you mean another OLB? I can't see that with Houston and Hali. If you mean a d-line that could come in on passing downs, maybe. I just think getting a good RB is a bigger deal then some people think. For Cassel to succeed he needs a top run game for the defense to key on. If Charles doesn't come back the same player he was before, we need more then Battle and McCluster to give Cassel the help he needs to open up the passing game.

laddiemorse 205 pts

My only question is about Donta Hightower. I'm not sure he'll go that low.

LyleGraversen 313 pts

laddiemorse Yeah, to be honest the hard thing when you sit down to do a mock this year is that the guys between picks 15-45 seem to be close enough in value that it makes it hard to figure who may slip farther then expected.