A Look At The Chiefs’ AFC West Rivals Going Into Free Agency

by Chiefs

Is anybody else sick and tired of talking about the NFL lockout and new CBA agreement? Me too, that’s why I am promising not to use the words “lockout” or “CBA” for the rest of this piece. If I absolutely feel the need to reference them I will simply refer to them as the “situation”. Otherwise this post will stick to some good old-fashioned NFL offseason talk. With free agency about to begin most of us have a pretty good grasp of where the Chiefs stand. If you feel behind, I’ll catch you up. We have a ton of money to spend, we need to resign Tamba Hali, and we still need a nose tackle (and depending on who you talk to, maybe a RT or WR too). There, you’re good to go.

The rest of this post will give you a look at where our AFC West rivals stand. I’ll show you how much cap space they have to work with, what players they have that are free agents, and what their top needs currently are. The goal of every team is to win the Super Bowl. The first step to meeting that goal is making the playoffs and the only way you can insure that you do that is to win your division. Last year the Chiefs were able to do that despite the fact that the Chargers were seen as the “better” team and the Raiders went undefeated in the division. Then there were the Broncos (insert Tebow/Elway/McDaniels joke of your choice here). So will the Chiefs be able to maintain their hold on the division now that the other teams will be gunning for them? Obviously there will be many factors that determine the answer to that question, but how each team handles the upcoming free agent frenzy will have a major impact for sure.

A look at each of the Chiefs’ rivals after the break.

Before we get started I’ll let you know where I am getting the information for these breakdowns.

For each team’s current salary cap situation I used THIS article from ESPN’s John Clayton.

For the current team needs going into free agency I used THIS breakdown by Scout Inc.’s Matt Williamson.

For the list of each teams’ free agents I used THIS database from Pro Football Focus.

Now let’s take a look at the AFC West regarding the salary cap and free agents.

Denver Broncos

Let’s start with the team most of us see as the weakest in the division, the Broncos. I can’t believe I’m going to say this, but I actually feel bad for Broncos fans. First, because they’re Broncos fans, that just has to stink in general. More specifically, I feel bad for them because Josh McDaniels acted like a spoiled 17 year old who got handed the keys to a brand new Camaro and then went out and crashed it into a telephone pole at 70 MPH. Now don’t get me wrong, I’m still thrilled it happened because its better for the Chiefs, but ouch that was painful to watch. Now they are in full rebuild mold, which may or may not include turning over the QB spot to the “golden boy” Tim Tebow.

When you look at their roster, free agents, and salary cap space it doesn’t look like they will be big players on the free agent market.

Salary Cap Space: About 1 Million Under the Cap

Free Agents: (Name, Position, Status) * indicates a starter in 2010
Justin Bannan, DE*, Cut
Kyle Eckel, FB, UFA
Ronald Fields, DT, UFA
Daniel Graham, TE*, Cut
Ryan Harris, RT*, UFA
Laurence Maroney, RB, UFA
Matt Prater, K*, RFA
Marcus Thomas, DL, UFA
Jamal Williams, NT, Cut

Top Current Needs: DT, RB, OL

Summary:
The Broncos have the fewest in house free agents of everyone in the division. That’s good because they are only about a million dollars under the cap. They will likely have to trim some current players off the roster in order to resign or sign players to fill their major needs that include DT, RB, and a RT.

Oakland Raiders

Next up, let’s look at the team that went undefeated in the division and still has a hard time being taken seriously, the Oakland Raiders. What the Raiders have going for them: they went undefeated in the division last year, Darren McFadden, Jacoby Ford, Richard Seymore, and a tough and physical attitude. What they have going against them: Crazy Al Davis, a new head coach with no OTAs, Jason Campbell, and a bad salary cap number.

Salary Cap Space: About 10 Million OVER the Cap

Free Agents:
Nnamdi Asomugha, CB*, UFA
Khalif Barnes, OT, UFA
Ricky Brown, LB, UFA
Michael Bush, RB, RFA
Jon Condo, LS, UFA
Charlie Frye, QB, UFA
Robert Gallery, G*, UFA
Bruce Gradkowski, QB, UFA
Mario Henderson, OT, UFA
Johnnie Lee Higgins, WR, UFA
Thomas Howard, LB, UFA
Michael Huff, S*, UFA
Zach Miller, TE*, UFA
Jarvis Moss, DE, UFA
JT O’Sullivan, QB, UFA
Samson Satele, C*, UFA
Langston Walker, OT*, UFA
Sam Williams, LB, UFA

Top Current Needs: TE, OL, DB

Summary:
The Raiders have major problem with their free agent to cap space ratio. Forget Asomugha, the Raiders have other free agents that were starters like Gallery, Huff, and Miller that they either have to cut players to clear space to sign or allow them to walk. The Raiders have a lot of young talented players and if Hue Jackson can get them to play up to their talent they will be a solid team. However, it appears they will lose the best cover CB in the game and that will hurt. It will also take some impressive cap management just to keep in house talent like Huff and Miller. I don’t see any way the Raiders are major players with any big name free agents, they just don’t have the cap space. Since their draft wasn’t exactly amazing if their roster talent is just going to be as good as it was last year, it is going to take a great coaching job by a first time head coach.

San Diego Chargers

Finally, we have the team that most experts will once again pick to win the AFC West, the San Diego Chargers. Even if you don’t like the Chargers, you have to admit they have some very good players. Last year they used a revolving door of players at both WR and RB and yet Phillip Rivers was still able to lead their offense to some of the best numbers in the league. They do have several key free agents, but of all the Chiefs’ AFC West rivals, the Chargers have the most money to spend.

Salary Cap Space: About 19.4 Million Under the Cap

Free Agents:
Antwan Applewhite, LB*, RFA
Antwan Barnes, LB, UFA
Kevin Burnett, LB*, UFA
Tyrone Carter, S, UFA
Jacques Carter, DE*, UFA
Jeromey Clary, OT*, UFA
Stephen Cooper, LB*, UFA
James Dearth, LS, UFA
Malcom Floyd, WR*, UFA
Dante Hughes, CB, UFA
Vincent Jackson, WR*, Fran. Tag
Travis Johnson, DE, UFA
Randy McMichael, TE, UFA
Brandon Moore, LB, UFA
Scott Mruczkowski, C, UFA
Legedu Naanee, WR, UFA
Ryan Neill, LS, UFA
Paul Oliver, S, UFA
Brandon Siler, LB, UFA
Darren Sproles, RB, UFA
Mike Tolbert, RB*, RFA
Billy Volek, QB, UFA
Kelley Washington, WR, UFA
Pat Watkins, S, UFA
Eric Weddle, S*, UFA

Top Current Needs: OLB, FS, WR

Summary:
The Chargers have some serious holes to fill. They have 6 FA LBs, 3 of which have started multiple games (Applewhite, Burnett, and Cooper). They also have their three best WRs as FAs (Jackson, Floyd, and Naanee). Finally, if they don’t resign Weddle, they will have to sign someone because it doesn’t appear that his replacement is on the roster. The good news for the Chargers is that with over 19 million dollars they should be able to fill those spots. Jackson will cost them if they do in fact keep him and the good news for the Chiefs is that it may take most of their cap space just to sign their draft picks and keep or replace the key free agents that they have. So much like the Raiders (or even more so) their improvement will likely rely on developing the talent they have (or just maximizing it for once).

Kansas City Chiefs

So how do the situations of our hated rivals compare to that of the Chiefs? Let’s take a quick look and see.

Salary Cap Space: 34.3 Million Dollars Under the Cap

Free Agents:
Charlie Anderson, LB, UFA
Jackie Battle, RB, RFA
Brandon Carr, CB*, RFA
Tim Castille, FB, UFA
Terrance Copper, WR, UFA
Brad Cottam, TE, RFA
Mike Cox, FB*, UFA
Brodie Croyle, QB, UFA
Kevin Curtis, WR, UFA
Travis Daniels, CB, UFA
Ron Edwards, NT*, UFA
Wallace Gilberry, DE, RFA
Tamba Hali, LB, Fran. Tag
Maurice Leggett, CB, RFA
Corey Mays, LB, UFA
Jon McGraw, S, UFA
Rudy Niswanger, C, UFA
Ryan O’Callaghan, OT, UFA
Leonard Pope, TE, UFA
Barry Richardson, OT*, RFA
Shaun Smith, DL, UFA
Mike Vrabel, LB*, retired
Casey Wiegmann, C*, UFA

Top Current Needs: NT, OL, OLB

Summary:
Hali will be on the roster next year either via the franchise tag or a new contract, either way it will take a chunk or our cap space. After that the Chiefs will have to address the NT and OL spots. They could be filled in house (Edwards, Smith, Wiegmann, Richardson, etc.) or via free agency (or both). The difference with the Chiefs is that they have the cap space to sign every one of their current free agents, their draft picks, and will have enough left over to bring in a couple high priced free agents. So yes, the Chiefs have a harder schedule this year and must improve to win the division again this year. The good news for the Chiefs is that their team is made up of young talented players that should only get better AND they have the money to add additional talent to the roster. If Scott Pioli is as good as his reputation, he should come away from this frantic free agency period with a clear upper hand over the other AFC West teams.

So now you have an idea what to watch for when this “situation” clears up and football is officially back on.

As always, thanks for reading and GO CHIEFS!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!!

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New CBA has placed specific limits on what each rookie can make so if Houston is indeed holding out for 1st round money it is ill informed. That's why we haven't heard about any rookies holding our this year. So, again... I'm doubly confused by Houston's absence. @tm1946

@laddiemorse

Local media suggested Houston "may" have an issue with 3rd round money. It was suggested he considers himself 1st round talent and expects that kind of money. Of course, this is all speculation, no on is talking but he is not in camp and no one there has anything to say to dispell the rumor.

Lyle, awesome read. Thanks for all that information... well organized. I have been speculating for some time now why the Chiefs have been so very far under the cap but, I haven't come up with any solid reasons. What do you think? And... have you heard anything about Justin Houston? I logged into the Chiefs.com Live chat forum with Josh Looney tonite at 8:00 and asked about Houston but, he had nothing to say about him. Can you speculate. I hope he not disappearing down a rabbit hole. Thanks again for catching us up on all the Division rivals... thought about doing that... so... it's good to know how this off-season competition is going in the mean time.

@Jim from KC Wiegmann is listed at 285 and he's played in the NFL for over 15 years. I agree that it is a disadvantage going against big NTs, but that's where how you use them comes into play. When Wiegmann was a pro-bowl caliber center during the Vermeil years it wasn't because he could lock onto a DT and drive him out of Priest's way. It was because his agility and athleticism allowed him to do so many things. I remember many a run Priest broke outside where Casey pulled and was leading the way for him. As far as the players I listed below, I was only looking at FAs in the AFC west. Zach Miller will cost too much when we have a good young TE in Moeaki and could sign Pope cheap to be a solid #2. I agree that Yanda and Gaither are good RA linemen, but they both seem much better suited to a power run game then a ZBS like we run. Now, if the Chiefs decided to go with a more power game behind Albert, Asamoah, and someone like Gaither, I wouldn't have a problem with that, but if they keep their current scheme I don't think they'll go after the huge mauler type OL.

@Big Matt Basically subtract about 15 million dollars, so that would put the Chiefs about 20 mil from the floor. However, there is some additional clause about teams spending 99% of the cap in cash. I'm not really smart enough to understand exactly what the difference is. I think it has something to do with bonuses. My understanding (so this may not be correct) is that it works something like this: If a player signs a 4 year contract that has a 10 million dollar signing bonus the signing bonus counts 2.5 million against the team's cap number for four years even if it is paid all up front. However, I think the 10 million bonus would all count towards their "cash spending" for that year. So I think the Chiefs "official cap number" will need to be somewhere in the 105-108 million range, but they will need to spend close to the 120 million in "cash spending". Anybody else have a headache now?

Lyle, I would think that both Yanda and Gaither would be better if we are looking at the future. With Gaither I would only sign him if a contract heavy with incentives can be signed with a small bonus stretched over 3 or 4 years. the only guy I see in the division that is worth consideration is Zach Miller from the Raiders. Also Kirkpatrick and Barnes are a couple of undrafted FA's that should be brought in. I am still not sold that hudson can put on the weight and hold it through an NFL season.He played in college at 285 or so and that might be his playing weight. If so he will never make it at center no matter how good he is. Those huge NT's will have a feast on him.

How far below the floor are we? Something tells me thats the # we should be looking at.

@merlin_AA Thanks Merlin, I think there are several guys that we could sign pretty cheap that could if nothing else add some depth. Just at a glance: Ron Fields and Ryan Harris from Den. Kevin Burnett, Jeromey Clary, and Legedu Naanee from SD The Raiders are meh. Of those Harris is the only one that might cost us much. Tolbert would be great, but I don't see any way SD lets him walk.

Great breakdown, Lyle. Are there any free agents from other teams in the West that you would like to sign?

laddiemorse 205 pts

Lyle, awesome read. Thanks for all that information... well organized. I have been speculating for some time now why the Chiefs have been so very far under the cap but, I haven't come up with any solid reasons. What do you think? And... have you heard anything about Justin Houston? I logged into the Chiefs.com Live chat forum with Josh Looney tonite at 8:00 and asked about Houston but, he had nothing to say about him. Can you speculate. I hope he not disappearing down a rabbit hole. Thanks again for catching us up on all the Division rivals... thought about doing that... so... it's good to know how this off-season competition is going in the mean time.

tm1946 183 pts

laddiemorse

Local media suggested Houston "may" have an issue with 3rd round money. It was suggested he considers himself 1st round talent and expects that kind of money. Of course, this is all speculation, no on is talking but he is not in camp and no one there has anything to say to dispell the rumor.

laddiemorse 205 pts

New CBA has placed specific limits on what each rookie can make so if Houston is indeed holding out for 1st round money it is ill informed. That's why we haven't heard about any rookies holding our this year. So, again... I'm doubly confused by Houston's absence. tm1946

Jim from KC 5 pts

Lyle, I would think that both Yanda and Gaither would be better if we are looking at the future. With Gaither I would only sign him if a contract heavy with incentives can be signed with a small bonus stretched over 3 or 4 years. the only guy I see in the division that is worth consideration is Zach Miller from the Raiders. Also Kirkpatrick and Barnes are a couple of undrafted FA's that should be brought in. I am still not sold that hudson can put on the weight and hold it through an NFL season.He played in college at 285 or so and that might be his playing weight. If so he will never make it at center no matter how good he is. Those huge NT's will have a feast on him.

LyleGraversen 313 pts

Jim from KC Wiegmann is listed at 285 and he's played in the NFL for over 15 years. I agree that it is a disadvantage going against big NTs, but that's where how you use them comes into play. When Wiegmann was a pro-bowl caliber center during the Vermeil years it wasn't because he could lock onto a DT and drive him out of Priest's way. It was because his agility and athleticism allowed him to do so many things. I remember many a run Priest broke outside where Casey pulled and was leading the way for him.

As far as the players I listed below, I was only looking at FAs in the AFC west. Zach Miller will cost too much when we have a good young TE in Moeaki and could sign Pope cheap to be a solid #2. I agree that Yanda and Gaither are good RA linemen, but they both seem much better suited to a power run game then a ZBS like we run. Now, if the Chiefs decided to go with a more power game behind Albert, Asamoah, and someone like Gaither, I wouldn't have a problem with that, but if they keep their current scheme I don't think they'll go after the huge mauler type OL.

Big Matt 199 pts

How far below the floor are we? Something tells me thats the # we should be looking at.

LyleGraversen 313 pts

Big Matt Basically subtract about 15 million dollars, so that would put the Chiefs about 20 mil from the floor. However, there is some additional clause about teams spending 99% of the cap in cash. I'm not really smart enough to understand exactly what the difference is. I think it has something to do with bonuses. My understanding (so this may not be correct) is that it works something like this: If a player signs a 4 year contract that has a 10 million dollar signing bonus the signing bonus counts 2.5 million against the team's cap number for four years even if it is paid all up front. However, I think the 10 million bonus would all count towards their "cash spending" for that year. So I think the Chiefs "official cap number" will need to be somewhere in the 105-108 million range, but they will need to spend close to the 120 million in "cash spending". Anybody else have a headache now?

merlin_AA 191 pts

Great breakdown, Lyle. Are there any free agents from other teams in the West that you would like to sign?

LyleGraversen 313 pts

merlin_AA Thanks Merlin, I think there are several guys that we could sign pretty cheap that could if nothing else add some depth. Just at a glance:

Ron Fields and Ryan Harris from Den.

Kevin Burnett, Jeromey Clary, and Legedu Naanee from SD

The Raiders are meh.

Of those Harris is the only one that might cost us much. Tolbert would be great, but I don't see any way SD lets him walk.