Few teams received better value for their picks than the Chiefs.


A good friend of mine from ChiefsPlanet who goes by the username of “patteeu” posted up some phenomenal analysis on the board there involving the value of each pick the Kansas City Chiefs made in the 2011 NFL Draft compared to other teams.  He compiled his stastics using two of the best full seven-round mock drafts on the internet: Walter Football (which he selected for its objectivity) and the annual ChiefsPlanet Mock Draft (which I participate in every year).

His conclusion: few teams did better than KC.

Explanation, and all the nerdy goodness your heart desires, after the jump.

In pat’s own words:

Every player drafted is assigned a “cost” based on the value assigned to his draft position by the Draft Value Chart. He’s also assigned a “value” based on his position in each of the mocks. The team that drafted that player then gets a score based on the difference between his cost and his value. A positive score indicates a “steal” and a negative score indicates a “reach”.

For example, consider DeMarco Murray:

  1. He’s taken 64th overall in the Official ChiefsPlanet Mock for a “value” of 452.
  2. He’s taken 91st overall in the WalterFootball Mock for a “value” of 290.
  3. In the real NFL Draft, he’s taken by Dallas with the 71st overall pick for a “cost” of 396.
  4. Compared to the Official ChiefsPlanet Mock, Dallas gets a score of 452-396= +56
  5. Compared to the WalterFootball Mock, Dallas gets a score of 290-396= -106

The team’s overall score is calculated by adding the scores from each of it’s draft picks. The higher the score, the better the draft.

The following lists are based on what pat’s found:

Results using the Official ChiefsPlanet Mock:

01. Tampa Bay Buccaneers  2347.5
02. New Orleans Saints    1738.5
03. New York Giants       1555.0
04. Kansas City Chiefs    1022.0
05. Cincinnatti Bengals    332.0
06. Jacksonville Jaguars   306.0
07. Minnesota Vikings      287.0
08. Green Bay Packers      248.0
09. Arizona Cardinals      217.5
10. Detroit Lions          197.5
11. Pittsburgh Steelers    170.0
12. Chicago Bears           90.5
13. Washington Redskins    -28.0
14. Indianapolis Colts     -80.5
15. Baltimore Ravens      -126.0
16. Atlanta Falcons       -174.0
17. Oakland Raiders       -199.0
18. New England Patriots  -216.5
19. New York Jets         -271.0
20. Tennessee Titans      -307.0
21. Houston Texans        -308.5
22. St. Louis Rams        -410.5
23. Dallas Cowboys        -696.0
24. Miami Dolphins        -805.0
25. Denver Broncos        -851.0
26. San Diego Chargers    -926.0

27. Cleveland Browns     -1091.0
28. Buffalo Bills        -1167.5
29. Seattle Seahawks     -1188.5
30. San Francisco 49ers  -1291.5
31. Philadelphia Eagles  -1478.0
32. Carolina Panthers    -1524.0

Results using WalterFootball Mock:

01. New York Giants       1960.0
02. New Orleans Saints     999.5
03. Green Bay Packers      739.0
04. Pittsburgh Steelers    680.0
05. New York Jets          432.5
06. Baltimore Ravens       284.5
07. Kansas City Chiefs     203.0
08. Tampa Bay Buccaneers   192.5
09. Chicago Bears          115.5
10. St. Louis Rams          99.5
11. Atlanta Falcons         92.0
12. Indianapolis Colts      26.0
13. Miami Dolphins          22.0
14. Cincinnatti Bengals    -25.5
15. Jacksonville Jaguars   -27.0
16. Minnesota Vikings      -49.0
17. Carolina Panthers     -105.5
18. Oakland Raiders       -169.5
19. Arizona Cardinals     -205.5
20. Detroit Lions         -220.5
21. Denver Broncos        -224.5
22. Houston Texans        -300.5
23. Washington Redskins   -358.0
24. Tennessee Titans      -462.0
25. Cleveland Browns      -472.5
26. Dallas Cowboys        -539.0
27. San Francisco 49ers   -586.0
28. Buffalo Bills         -641.0
29. Seattle Seahawks      -681.5
30. Philadelphia Eagles   -694.5
31. New England Patriots -1049.0
32. San Diego Chargers   -1087.0

C’mon, folks!  This is really awesome stuff.  Football and statistics!

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