Accuscore: Jaguars vs. Chiefs

I apologize for the lateness of this post.  I know some of you are rabid.  Accuscore has us favored for the first time this season.  Here is what the program has to say:

The Kansas City Chiefs are a solid favorite with a 68% chance to beat the Jacksonville Jaguars. Jamaal Charles is projected for 61 rushing yards and a 34% chance of having at least 1 rushing TD. In the 32% of simulations where Jacksonville Jaguars wins, Trent Edwards averages 0.52 TD passes vs 0.41 interceptions, while in losses he has a ratio of 0.33 TDs to 0.68 interceptions. Maurice Jones-Drew averages 107 rushing yards and 0.87 rushing TDs when Jacksonville Jaguars wins and 67 yards and 0.34 TDs in losses. The Kansas City Chiefs has a 59% chance of forcing more turnovers than they commit. Positive turnover margin helps them win 85% of the time. SPREADS / TOTALS: Current Point Spread is KC -4.5 — Over/Under line is 43

So what say ye Addicts?  How are we going to beat the Jags?  Sound off!

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