Five Preseason Predictions: Offense

by Chiefs
ATLANTA - AUGUST 13: Jamaal Charles  of the Kansas City Chiefs rushes away from Curtis Lofton  and Stephen Nicholas  of the Atlanta Falcons at Georgia Dome on August 13, 2010 in Atlanta, Georgia. (Photo by Kevin C. Cox/Getty Images)

Source: Yardbarker

The Kansas City Chiefs play their final game of the preseason tonight, and although they may have only found one win — I’m predicting they beat the Packers — they did discover a few things about their players, and possibly their football team as a whole. The front office probably won’t be forthcoming with these findings, so that leaves the door open for us fans to speculate. Although the preseason may not give us much indication of what we can expect from the 2010 Chiefs, it’s all we have to go on for now. Based on what we’ve seen in the first three exhibition games, below are five predictions from the offensive side of the ball. Look for five more from the defensive side next week.

1. The Chiefs will be one of the best rushing teams in the NFL.

The Chiefs currently rank second in the league for preseason rushing yards per game. Todd Haley said they were going to run the ball, and it looks like he meant business. Jamaal Charles didn’t gain all the yards, but that doesn’t mean he won’t be the featured back. Haley knows this year–as he did last year–that Charles is the most exciting running back in KC since Joe Delaney. Haley was obligated in the first half of 2009 to showcase Larry Johnson in an attempt to get some kind of pick for him. Although it didn’t work, he really didn’t need to waste the precious carries of a premier running back during the first year of a reconstruction era. The same reasoning was used this preseason while restricting Charles’ snaps. Every team does this with their elite talent during these “practice games”. Although we don’t know yet how many carries Charles will get this year with Charlie Weis calling the plays, if Charles doesn’t lead the league in rushing, he will lead the league in average. He’s that good! (There’s a bonus prediction at no extra charge!)

2. The offensive line will be improved.

Maybe Charles and company are making Kansas City’s front five look more effective this year over last in their run blocking, but I think they are getting better. Not only is the offensive line starting to open up holes for the running game, they have also taken steps to decrease the 45 sacks they suffered last year, which was the fifth worst in the league. Some of the responsibility fell on Matt Cassel, but look for that number to drop this year with the upgrades to the line. Weis will keep using the speed of Charles and Dexter McCluster to shorten the time the line has to hold their blocks. Hopefully Tony Moeaki will develop into another dump-off point for Cassel, which will help the pass protection as well. Although we didn’t invest that much in the guys up front this year, look for them to continue to improve over the course of the season.

3. McCluster will get the ball often, and he will take the hits.

Weis is going to find ways to get McCluster the ball. The Chiefs didn’t hide him in the first game against Atlanta, and there are no plans to start. Hopefully, the genius of Weis will keep surprising defenses in the way he gets him the ball. If anyone was worried about McCluster’s smallish frame, he showed in the preseason that he plays tough. As long as his body holds up against the punishment this year, Weis will continue to create plays which hand, pitch, or pass him the ball all year long.

4. The offense will put up more points.

Last year in four preseason games the Chiefs put up 42 points. That’s their total going into tonight’s game, so unless they get shut out — and they won’t because I’m predicting a win — they will have improved from last year. That total still puts them toward the bottom of the league for the preseason, but they have added play-makers on both sides of the ball and on special teams. Those players will get in the end zone, or set up a short field for the offense to score. This year’s new players will provide an increase in the total points per game. We’ll wait until we’re into the real season to factor in way the Chiefs will benefit from Weis calling the plays, but no doubt they will.

5. Matt Cassel will not win a Super Bowl — ever.
One of the biggest unsolved mysteries about the Chiefs is their refusal to draft and develop a super-star at the QB position. To some the Cassel trade added fodder to this burning question. To date, he hasn’t taken many steps toward winning over any in that camp. He hasn’t had a good preseason showing, and he‘s never been able to stretch the field. He’s a quality back-up–proven by his collegiate career spent in that role. He might even be a decent starter for a team in transition, but he’s not the type of QB that can step up and win games on his own. ESPN’s John Clayton ranked him the 22nd best QB above Mark Sanchez. I agree with Clayton’s conclusion: “Chance of being elite: 0 percent.” Personally, I’d rather have Sanchez with his upside. I hope Cassel makes both Clayton and I eat our words at some point, but I doubt that he will. There’s a reason he was a back-up in college.

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Plenty of QB's have won a superbowl with a great rushing attack. In my opinion, that is just too bold to predict that. Dilfer won one, Kerry Collins played in one, plenty of lower tier QB's have been in the big show. And for Cassel to be snubbed as not good enough because he was a backup would be exactly the same attitude that the NFL scouts had with Brady when he split playing time 50/50 in Michigan as a QB. It's how you develop in the Pro's that makes you a great QB. College is only a stepping stool, that doesn't necessarily mean you will be a stud in the Pro's. Cassel has a great chance of being up in the top with QB's if he is given the talent like in New England when he won 11 games and passed for over 3,500 yards. Cassel has a huge heart, and desire which will make him one of the best to play behind the center in KC. I can't stand the Cassel skeptics out there. He deserves alot more credit than he's given. This is not a Grbac, or Bono folks. This will be his year. Trent's second year was a huge improvement too.

I agree with you

What are you talking about when you say that Brady split time in Michigan 50/50? He sat 2 years behind Brian Greise and then started 2 years playing in the Citrus and Orange bowl, winning them both (at least the Orange bowl for sure). Much of the Cassel debate comes down to our trust of the "front office" and Haley, as head coach. Do we trust that they can actually evaluate talent? Are they just drinking the Cassel Kool-Aide? etc.

Disagree with the Cassel... I like Matt Cassel... I know he can be a Good QB... you will see once we get into the Regular Season and Charlie Wies Start's Opening up the Play Book...

Please be right, James! Nothing would please me more than to say, I was wrong about him. He's a good QB, but just not very good, so far.

I hope that I am wrong as well. It is just so painfull to see the rest of the team playing so well this pre-season and the only glaring weakness in my eyes has been the QB position. And on the other hand Matt is on his 3rd OC in 1 1/2 years so there may be a learning curve. But like Robert says if ya can't throw the long ball to loosen up the D they will squat on routes all day!

The hit with Cassel is that they did not draft a QB late in the draft when they had the possibility of taking one. Because if Cassel stinks, they did not have a QB to groom this year, and the team will still at point 0, because they'll have no valid QB to put at helm; and they may have a standing too high for the top ones next draft.

Very true, that's another reason why the trade was such a disappointment.

Totally disagree on Cassel, agree with anything else. I'm not predicting he does win a super bowl yet, but i know he can win and he doesn't blow games when they're on the line, infact he often wins them. Pittsburgh and week two against the faiders are prime examples, too bad the D blew it after that great drive. Now i'm not trying to overhype Cassel or anything, i'm saving judgment for the regular season, as a good qb should be effective with the offense we've built now, but so far i've no real reason to say Cassel isn't the guy. By the way, i think we'll see more deep stuff as his confidence in Bowe grows, assuming Bowe keeps catching and not dropping passes. Mccluster can Horne could help in that department as well.

You made some good points, Lenny. I hope he's "the guy" too. I just don't see it happening.

Mark Sanchez will never be an elite QB. He has no leadership skills, or confidence and is immature. Mark it Down. I would much rather have Cassel. Nice article.

That's good, because he's all ours! Betcha Sanchez is in a pro-bowl before Cassel.

Okay Robert, I honestly can't take it. You claim the following: "Haley knows this year–as he did last year–that Charles is the most exciting running back in KC since Joe Delaney. Haley was obligated in the first half of 2009 to showcase Larry Johnson in an attempt to get some kind of pick for him. Although it didn’t work, he really didn’t need to waste the precious carries of a premier running back during the first year of a reconstruction era. The same reasoning was used this preseason while restricting Charles’ snaps." With all due respect and nothing personal, friend, that is total bullshit. Just calling it what it is. Not only do you give Todd Haley way too much credit, but you even go so far as to prop him up with some ridiculous excuse for the LJ catastrophy on the apparent basis that he employs some super awesome secret strategy that has him sandbagging Charles' talents last year (because he had no other option?) and now this preseason? Really? Hello? Grassy Knoll? No huge beef with the rest of what you have to say.

That's cool. I won't take it personally. I've noticed a clear pattern of you and I being on the opposite fence, but that's okay. There's no "conspiracy theory" here as you suggest. It comes down to looking at football as big business, and that's how GM's and even head coaches have to look at it. That's why you think preseason wins count and I don't: game vs. business. Each time I admit it's a business it kills the game aspect for me, but it's the business angle is real. BTW...I'm not a Haley Homer...he has a lot to prove to me, but I don't think he's a moron. That's the only logical conclusion if he's really "overlooking" Charles as it's been suggested. Good debate! Keep it coming.

Prediction 6 Randy and Double D will be rippin up in the stands tonight!

I don't agree with the Cassel comment at all. What about his 11 win season with the Pats? That record would have taken us post season/

His 11 season win with the Pats? Are you kidding me? My 87 year-old grandmother could've won at least 10 games with all the talent on that team. The Pats that year had massive yards after the catch stats -- and Cassel was still throwing the 4, 7 and 11 yard passes he's become infamous for in Kansas City. The Pats also had a very decent, consistent O-Line that allowed Mr. Indecisive to wait ... and wait ... and wait ... and then throw to the underzone back for 6 and 7 yard tosses. Cassel tried that same, lame drill right out of the box in Kansas City with our embarassingly bad front line and what happened? Oh, yeah ... oops ... 45 sacks and a horrible yards per throw average. There is no possible, sane way to compare his stats in New England to what he is capable of in Kansas City. It was the entire offensive machine that Cassel plugged into that led to the success, not the other way around. Don't agree? So how did it turn out last year when we plugged the "superstar" quarterback into a mediocre team? Exactly. Using that argument is almost as embarassing as our current vice-president Bite Me out every day trying to make us believe that well, "It could've been much worse, see, yeah, that's it, we kept it from being REALLY bad ..." Lmao. We've got the coaches now to develop a strong quarterback talent, so let's go get one next year. My guess? We'll be drafting very high .... AGAIN. Jeesh.

I totally agree with the Cassel comment. The only thing I see him doing consistantly is indecisisive decision making. He holds on to the ball too long, he throws the ball up for grabs way to much, and when he does have time he doesn't seem to find the open reciever. I'm just not very happy with his progression, or lack of this pre-season.

Guess, we're two of the few. You sited most of the reasons I don't think he's a great QB. Gotta be able to stretch the field.

Nice to know I'm not alone in my current thoughts about Cassel.

Plenty of QB's have won a superbowl with a great rushing attack. In my opinion, that is just too bold to predict that. Dilfer won one, Kerry Collins played in one, plenty of lower tier QB's have been in the big show. And for Cassel to be snubbed as not good enough because he was a backup would be exactly the same attitude that the NFL scouts had with Brady when he split playing time 50/50 in Michigan as a QB. It's how you develop in the Pro's that makes you a great QB. College is only a stepping stool, that doesn't necessarily mean you will be a stud in the Pro's. Cassel has a great chance of being up in the top with QB's if he is given the talent like in New England when he won 11 games and passed for over 3,500 yards. Cassel has a huge heart, and desire which will make him one of the best to play behind the center in KC.

I can't stand the Cassel skeptics out there. He deserves alot more credit than he's given. This is not a Grbac, or Bono folks. This will be his year. Trent's second year was a huge improvement too.

I agree with you

What are you talking about when you say that Brady split time in Michigan 50/50? He sat 2 years behind Brian Greise and then started 2 years playing in the Citrus and Orange bowl, winning them both (at least the Orange bowl for sure).

Much of the Cassel debate comes down to our trust of the "front office" and Haley, as head coach. Do we trust that they can actually evaluate talent? Are they just drinking the Cassel Kool-Aide? etc.

Disagree with the Cassel... I like Matt Cassel... I know he can be a Good QB... you will see once we get into the Regular Season and Charlie Wies Start's Opening up the Play Book...

Please be right, James! Nothing would please me more than to say, I was wrong about him. He's a good QB, but just not very good, so far.

I hope that I am wrong as well. It is just so painfull to see the rest of the team playing so well this pre-season and the only glaring weakness in my eyes has been the QB position. And on the other hand Matt is on his 3rd OC in 1 1/2 years so there may be a learning curve. But like Robert says if ya can't throw the long ball to loosen up the D they will squat on routes all day!

The hit with Cassel is that they did not draft a QB late in the draft when they had the possibility of taking one. Because if Cassel stinks, they did not have a QB to groom this year, and the team will still at point 0, because they'll have no valid QB to put at helm; and they may have a standing too high for the top ones next draft.

Very true, that's another reason why the trade was such a disappointment.

Totally disagree on Cassel, agree with anything else. I'm not predicting he does win a super bowl yet, but i know he can win and he doesn't blow games when they're on the line, infact he often wins them. Pittsburgh and week two against the faiders are prime examples, too bad the D blew it after that great drive.
Now i'm not trying to overhype Cassel or anything, i'm saving judgment for the regular season, as a good qb should be effective with the offense we've built now, but so far i've no real reason to say Cassel isn't the guy.

By the way, i think we'll see more deep stuff as his confidence in Bowe grows, assuming Bowe keeps catching and not dropping passes. Mccluster can Horne could help in that department as well.

You made some good points, Lenny. I hope he's "the guy" too. I just don't see it happening.

Mark Sanchez will never be an elite QB. He has no leadership skills, or confidence and is immature. Mark it Down. I would much rather have Cassel.

Nice article.

That's good, because he's all ours! Betcha Sanchez is in a pro-bowl before Cassel.

Okay Robert, I honestly can't take it. You claim the following:

"Haley knows this year–as he did last year–that Charles is the most exciting running back in KC since Joe Delaney. Haley was obligated in the first half of 2009 to showcase Larry Johnson in an attempt to get some kind of pick for him. Although it didn’t work, he really didn’t need to waste the precious carries of a premier running back during the first year of a reconstruction era. The same reasoning was used this preseason while restricting Charles’ snaps."

With all due respect and nothing personal, friend, that is total bullshit. Just calling it what it is.

Not only do you give Todd Haley way too much credit, but you even go so far as to prop him up with some ridiculous excuse for the LJ catastrophy on the apparent basis that he employs some super awesome secret strategy that has him sandbagging Charles' talents last year (because he had no other option?) and now this preseason? Really?

Hello? Grassy Knoll?

No huge beef with the rest of what you have to say.

That's cool. I won't take it personally. I've noticed a clear pattern of you and I being on the opposite fence, but that's okay. There's no "conspiracy theory" here as you suggest. It comes down to looking at football as big business, and that's how GM's and even head coaches have to look at it. That's why you think preseason wins count and I don't: game vs. business. Each time I admit it's a business it kills the game aspect for me, but it's the business angle is real.

BTW...I'm not a Haley Homer...he has a lot to prove to me, but I don't think he's a moron. That's the only logical conclusion if he's really "overlooking" Charles as it's been suggested. Good debate! Keep it coming.

Prediction 6 Randy and Double D will be rippin up in the stands tonight!

I don't agree with the Cassel comment at all. What about his 11 win season with the Pats? That record would have taken us post season/

His 11 season win with the Pats? Are you kidding me? My 87 year-old grandmother could've won at least 10 games with all the talent on that team. The Pats that year had massive yards after the catch stats -- and Cassel was still throwing the 4, 7 and 11 yard passes he's become infamous for in Kansas City. The Pats also had a very decent, consistent O-Line that allowed Mr. Indecisive to wait ... and wait ... and wait ... and then throw to the underzone back for 6 and 7 yard tosses. Cassel tried that same, lame drill right out of the box in Kansas City with our embarassingly bad front line and what happened? Oh, yeah ... oops ... 45 sacks and a horrible yards per throw average.

There is no possible, sane way to compare his stats in New England to what he is capable of in Kansas City. It was the entire offensive machine that Cassel plugged into that led to the success, not the other way around. Don't agree? So how did it turn out last year when we plugged the "superstar" quarterback into a mediocre team? Exactly.

Using that argument is almost as embarassing as our current vice-president Bite Me out every day trying to make us believe that well, "It could've been much worse, see, yeah, that's it, we kept it from being REALLY bad ..."

Lmao. We've got the coaches now to develop a strong quarterback talent, so let's go get one next year. My guess? We'll be drafting very high .... AGAIN. Jeesh.

I totally agree with the Cassel comment. The only thing I see him doing consistantly is indecisisive decision making. He holds on to the ball too long, he throws the ball up for grabs way to much, and when he does have time he doesn't seem to find the open reciever. I'm just not very happy with his progression, or lack of this pre-season.

Guess, we're two of the few. You sited most of the reasons I don't think he's a great QB. Gotta be able to stretch the field.

Nice to know I'm not alone in my current thoughts about Cassel.