Question: How many rookie holdouts can you recall where the player turned out to be a stud? Can you recall any? Tough isn’t it?
How many rookie holdouts can you recall where the player turned out to be a bust? Now, that is a different story. How about Jamarcus Russell, Brady Quinn, Derrick Harvey, and Aaron Maybin to name a few recent examples?
“Any player who misses more than three days of camp is taking a serious risk,” said Gil Brandt, long-time personnel director for the Cowboys who now is an analyst with NFL.com. “What rookies see at OTAs and minicamps doesn’t compare to what they see at training camp. Everything is accelerated 100 percent.” “Historically, rookie holdouts have a hard time playing well and they often suffer injuries after they show up.” (See Andre Smith for recent proof).
Holding out not only hurts the player, it hurts the coaches, the team and the fans. How, you ask? Well, the player misses valuable training and practice time; the coach loses out on evaluation of personnel; scheme implementation and instruction; the team loses out on cohesiveness and chemistry, and us fans, well it just pisses us poor people off.
More after the jump.
Of all our rookies, Mr. Eric Berry is most likely the only rookie player who could hold out. (When was the last time you heard a second or third round player holdout?) According to Brian DiTuillo of the Bleacher Report, he places Eric Berry’s potential holdout at a whopping seventy (70) percent! (Click on the link to get his reasoning).
I disagree with Mr. DiTuillo, or at least I hope he is incorrect. Even if Eric Berry takes the lowest possible slotted salary for his draft position he will still be the highest paid safety in league history. How could he possibly holdout? Holding out would appear to be just plain greedy (even more than the usual greed of players who hold out).
He also knows it would piss off Haley and Pioli. It would run contrary to the attitude and atmosphere of the new regime. Eric Berry by all accounts is a high character guy, who is all about the team, and cannot wait to get on the field to work with his friend Brandon Flowers and get some instruction from Romeo. This is the same guy who helped the equipment managers before the game. There is no way he is going to holdout, right?
Plus, Eric Berry would be wise to check the track record of rookie holdouts. He would quickly realize just what a bad idea it is. Mr. Berry needs the valuable time to adjust to the pro game. So, based upon that, I put his hold out at zero (0) percent. Am I out of my mind? What do you think?